MLB Predictions: My 2010 Prophecies Were Two for Five

Cliff EasthamSenior Writer IIDecember 31, 2010

CINCINNATI - OCTOBER 10: Homer Bailey #34 of the Cincinnati Reds pitches against the Philadelphia Phillies during game 3 of the NLDS at Great American Ball Park on October 10, 2010 in Cincinnati, Ohio. The Phillies defeated the Reds 2-0. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

Before the sands of 2010 slide all the way to the bottom of the hourglass, I would like to reflect on the predictions I made for the 2010 MLB season.

My no. 1 prediction was that the Seattle Mariners would win the World Series. It is laughable now, but at the time it was not that far out.

When your most prolific power hitter, Russell Branyan, hit only 15 dingers, you knew there were problems. Throw in the fact that Junior couldn't stay awake and decided to retire early, and a train wreck was sure to ensue.

The fact that your only pitcher with double digit wins (even though he did embarrassingly win the Cy Young Award) was King Felix with 13 only adds fuel to the fire.

The Hitting Machine, aka Ichiro, collecting over 200 hits for his 10th straight year was perhaps the only bright spot of the year.



My no. 2 prediction was that the Cincinnati Reds would win the NL Central division title. I am sure many people are now attempting to jump on my bandwagon, but my prognostication is chronicled.

With NL MVP Joey Votto leading the way, the Reds had a dogfight with the defending champion St. Louis Cardinals until the last month of the season.

The Reds were the no. 1 team in the NL in both hitting and defense, before being mowed over by Roy Halladay in only the second no-hitter in post-season history.



The no. three prediction on my list was that Jason Bay would disappoint the New York Mets, who paid a king's ransom for the slugger from the Great White North.

I predicted he would hit less than 25 HR, drive in fewer than 75 runs and bat below .250.

As it turns out, he had only six HR and drove in 47, while batting .259. A huge disappointment indeed!



My no. four prediction was a triple crown for Detroit Tigers first baseman Miguel Cabrera. For all but perhaps the last month, he was in contention for the honor.

He finished the year with a .326 average, 38 HR and a league leading 126 RBI.



The no. five prediction on my list was that Homer Bailey of the Cincinnati Reds would win 20 games. I felt certain that this would be the year he would finally break out of the yo-yo pattern he had developed and lead the staff in wins.

Obviously that prognostication was way out of sync, as he won only four games in an injury plagued year. Bronson Arroyo led the team with 17 victories.



So, how does that stack up? Two out of five boils down to 40%. You know as well as I that a .400 average is nearly impossible to attain.


Stay tuned for my 2011 gaze into the crystal.