NFL Picks Week 17: Setting the Upset Odds for St. Louis-Seattle And Every Game

David DanielsSenior Writer IDecember 29, 2010

NFL Picks Week 17: Setting the Upset Odds for St. Louis-Seattle And Every Game

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    Elsa/Getty Images

    Will the New England Patriots rest Tom Brady?  Will the New York Jets rest Mark Sanchez?  Will the Philadelphia Eagles rest anyone?

    Those are the questions that make Week 17 final scores so hard to predict.

    On top of that, each game is a division rivalry which makes upsets even more difficult to predict.

    Knowing that, here are the odds of an upset occurring for each match-up in Week 17:

Miami at New England

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    Scott Cunningham/Getty Images

    Quick Take:

    Even with the Patriots dominance in this past decade, the Dolphins have often kept things very close, and even stole a few games. The Patriots have beaten teams by an average of 11.6 points this season.

    Line: Patriots by 3

    Upset Odds: 5:1

Buffalo at New York Jets

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    Rick Stewart/Getty Images

    Quick Take:

    Each of these teams are coming off devastating losses: the Bills, a 34-3 slaughter at the hands of the Patriots, and the Jets, a 38-34 heart breaker against the Bears.  This game could get dull quickly as Mark Sanchez's ability to play is up in the air and other Jets could follow him out of the game.

    Line: Jets by 1

    Upset Odds: 4:1

Cincinnati at Baltimore

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    Matthew Stockman/Getty Images

    Quick Take:

    The Ravens have been very consistent all season long, never losing to a team by more than one score, but some wins have also been by slim margins.  The Bengals are actually one of the few teams that have beaten the Ravens and are on a two game winning streak.

    Line: Ravens by 10

    Upset Odds: 4:1

Tampa Bay at New Orleans

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    J. Meric/Getty Images

    Quick Take:

    The Buccaneers are going to play out of their mind to keep their playoff hopes alive.  The Saints have even less of a chance than the Buccaneers do for their playoff status to improve as they must rely on the Panthers to come away with a win, but Sean Payton has confirmed he won't rest his starters either way.

    Line: Saints by 7.5

    Upset Odds: 3:1

Carolina at Atlanta

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    Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

    Quick Take:

    Carolina's offense is the worst in the NFL by far, but their running game has perked up a bit lately with Jonathan Stewart.  That may not make much of a difference against a Falcons defense that seemingly shut down an explosive Saints offense on Monday night.

    Line: Falcons by 14.5

    Upset Odds: 10:1

Minnesota at Detroit

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    Jeff Gross/Getty Images

    Quick Take:

    The Favre-less Vikings should be ignited with energy after rookie super freak Joe Webb led the team to an upset victory over the Eagles which shocked the nation.  The Lions are hot and on a three-game winning streak, a streak that has to be one of their longest in a while.

    Line: Lions by 3

    Upset Odds: 2:1

Oakland at Kansas City

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    Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images

    Quick Take:

    Yet another storied rivalry with take place on Sunday afternoon as the overachieving Chiefs will battle the renewed Raiders.  Something has to give as the Raiders are undefeated within the division while the Chiefs are undefeated at home.

    Line: Chiefs by 3.5

    Upset Odds: 3:1

Pittsburgh at Cleveland

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    Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

    Quick Take:

    It's impressive how this rivalry has kept it's intensity through years and years of the Steelers dominating the Browns.  Cleveland has found a new hope though in the quarterback dubbed the savior of the franchise in Colt McCoy.

    Line: Steelers by 6

    Upset Odds: 4:1 

Jacksonville at Houston

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    Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

    Quick Take:

    The Jaguars must win to keep their playoff hopes alive, and the fact that they rarely are in this position will serve as extra motivation.  The Texans probably won't care too much as this isn't a huge rivalry, they have nothing to play for, and their season ended with a major disappointment.

    Line: Jaguars by 2.5

    Upset Odds: 3:1

Arizona at San Francisco

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    Christian Petersen/Getty Images

    Quick Take:

    The 49ers are probably going to be dazed and confused about the direction of the team after Mike Singletary was fired right after their last loss.  With no Frank Gore on top of that, look for the Cardinals to see an opportunity to close with two straight wins and take it.

    Line: 49ers by 6

    Upset Odds: 2:1

Chicago at Green Bay

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    Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

    Quick Take:

    This line baffles me because this is one of the most heated rivalries in the NFL; the Bears aren't going to coast against the Packers.  The Packers may be hyped after their thrashing of the Giants, but the Bears have won seven of their last eight games.

    Line: Packers by 10

    Upset Odds: 2:1


Tennessee at Indianapolis

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    Andy Lyons/Getty Images

    Quick Take:

    The Titans are to the Colts what the Dolphins are to the Patriots: they almost always keep it close, or steal a victory despite being underdogs.  The reason: these teams that are playing know each other so well.

    Line: Colts by 10

    Upset Odds: 5:1


San Diego at Denver

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    Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images

    Quick Take:

    Each of these teams are out of the playoffs and have nothing but pride to play for.  Team morales though have to be in opposite directions as the Chargers must be crushed after last weeks playoff eliminating loss to the Bengals, but the Broncos on the other hand are ecstatic about Tim Tebow's play.

    Line: Chargers by 3.5

    Upset Odds: 2:1


Dallas at Philadelphia

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    Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

    Quick Take:

    After Tuesday's loss to the Vikings, the Eagles can't afford to coast as a loss would mean they played 11 bad quarters of football in their last three games (the one good quarter would be in the fourth quarter against the Giants).  The Cowboys' morale can't be chipper after a loss to the lowly Cardinals in Week 16.

    Projected Line (No line yet): Eagles by 3

    Upset Odds: 4:1


New York Giants at Washington

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    Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

    Quick Take:

    The Giants are going to play on fire this week as they must win to get in to the playoffs.  With all the negative media in the whole Donovan McNabb-benching controversy, the Redskins have to be distracted, not to mention that vacation in their near future.

    Line: Giants by 4

    Upset Odds: 7:1


St. Louis at Seattle

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    Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images

    Quick Take:

    The NFC West division title game: the 7-8 Rams vs. the 6-9 Seahawks.  Ignore the pathetic circumstances and this is the game of the week featuring two of the most overachieving, young football teams in the league.

    Line: Rams by 3

    Upset Odds: 2:1

    David Daniels is an NFL Featured Columnist and Writing Intern at Bleacher Report and a Syndicated Writer. Follow him at One Yard Short.com or on Twitter.