Week 15 Fantasy Football Breakdown: Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts
Rankings based on top 16 QBs, 32 RBs, 48 WRs and 16 TEs
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Jacksonville Jaguars (Jaguars Schedule)
Opponent Defensive Ranks
Indianapolis Pass Defense – 2010: Yards Allowed/Game 8th - TDs Allowed T-10th
Indianapolis Rush Defense – 2010: Yards Allowed/Game 29th – TDs Allowed T-26th
Jacksonville Offensive Cast
David Garrard (QB Week 15 Ranking: Not ranked)
2010 Season: 1790/290 – for 2,141 yards & 20 TDs
The Jaguars will look to run the hell out of Maurice Jones-Drew and Rashad Jennings in order to slow down the Colts offense. It’s a plan that has worked in the past and did so in these teams' first meeting this year. With Garrard averaging just 149 yards passing and one TD a game over the last three weeks and Jones-Drew pretty much owning the Colts throughout his career, I’d suggest finding another QB to lead your fantasy squad this week.
Maurice Jones-Drew (RB Week 15 Ranking: No. 3)
2010 Season: 284 carries for 1,278 yards & 5 TDs || 32 receptions for 295 yards & 2 TDs
MJD is on a freakin’ tear right now putting up over 100 yards on the ground in each of his last six games. He’s only scored in three of them, but that shouldn’t be a worry against the Colts as he had two TDs against them the last time they played (Week 4). In fact, in his nine career games against Indy, Jones-Drew has averaged 98.1 yards rushing and 1.2 total TDs while failing to cross the goal-line in just one of them.
Rashad Jennings (RB Week 15 Ranking: Not ranked)
2010 Season: 44 carries for 306 yards & three TDs || 11 receptions for 96 yards & 0 TDs
Jennings looks like a great young back, but he’s not about to pass up MJD on the depth chart. Stash him in case of an injury.
Mike Sims-Walker (WR Week 15 Ranking: Not ranked)
2010 Season: 38 receptions for 489 yards & five TDs
Not only do the Jaguars want to run in this game, but Sims-Walker was held to zero catches in the first meeting, so you probably don’t want to take a chance here.
Mike Thomas (WR Week 15 Ranking: Not ranked)
2010 Season: 56 receptions for 649 yards & three TDs
Thomas has been doing nothing lately, so against a stingy pass D like the Colts, the only way you can think about playing him is as a flex in PPR leagues.
Marcedes Lewis (TE Week 15 Ranking: No. 6)
2010 Season: 45 receptions for 574 yards & nine TDs
Again, I have to say it, but Lewis is huge (6’6”, 275 pounds)! He also happens to be one of the more fluid tight ends in the league, so in a depleted database to chose from, Marcedes might be your best option against a Colts D that has been allowing TEs to roam free the past few weeks.
Indianapolis Colts (Colts Schedule)
Opponent Defensive Ranks
Jacksonville Pass Defense – 2010: Yards Allowed/Game 28th - TDs Allowed T-27th
Jacksonville Rush Defense – 2010: Yards Allowed/Game 18th – TDs Allowed T-26th
Indianapolis Offensive Cast
Peyton Manning (QB Week 15 Ranking: No. 1)
2010 Season: 378/569 – for 4,028 yards & 26 TDs
The Colts haven’t been in a position like this for a long time, meaning they haven’t had to fight for their playoff life since as long as I can remember. The one man they depend on the most is Peyton Manning, and he’ll be the one pulling them up from mediocrity back into the light.
The last time he threw for less than 300 yards against these Jaguars was early 2008 while averaging over two TDs against them during that span. Believe it, he’ll come alive this Sunday and show the football world what he’s made of again.
By the way, in case you hadn’t noticed, Manning is now leading the NFL in passing yards (4,028) and has an outside chance of outdoing Dan Marino’s record of 5,084 yards in a season.
Donald Brown (RB Week 15 Ranking: Not ranked)
2010 Season: 106 carries for 331 yards & one TD || 19 receptions for 201 yards & 0 TDs
Brown will get a decent amount of hand-offs this game, but when you’re running the ball at a 3.1 YPC clip and don’t even get the goal-line carries, you’re hardly worth starting in the world of fantasy.
Javarris James (RB Week 15 Ranking: No. 28)
2010 Season: 45 carries for 112 yards & six TDs || nine receptions for 63 yards & 0 TDs
Javarris has six touchdowns in his last six games, with three of them coming in the last two weeks alone. Coupled with the fact he got 17 carries last weekend, and you’re looking at a pretty good fantasy play here. With Addai almost assuredly sitting out again, go ahead and take a chance on Edgerrin James’ cousin.
Joseph Addai (RB Week 15 Ranking: Not ranked)
2010 Season: 93 carries for 406 yards & three TDs || 18 receptions for 118 yards & 0 TDs
Addai seemed like he was getting close to a return again, but it looks like he’ll be sitting out for at least one more week.
Mike Hart (RB Week 15 Ranking: Not ranked)
2010 Season: 43 carries for 185 yards & one TD || six receptions for 25 yards & 0 TDs
Doesn’t look like Hart will make it back this week either.
Reggie Wayne (WR Week 15 Ranking: No. 3)
2010 Season: 94 receptions for 1,213 yards & five TDs
Wayne had a monster game against Jacksonville the first time around, going off for 15 catches and 196 yards. With Manning realizing his Colts are backed into a corner right now, I’m not sure it’s going to matter what the Jags do to slow him and Wayne down this Sunday. Their 28th ranked pass D is simply over-matched.
Pierre Garcon (WR Week 15 Ranking: No. 9)
2010 Season: 52 receptions for 627 yards & four TDs
Manning has been passing the ball a ton lately, and I don’t expect the Colts to all of the sudden turn to the run at this point in the season. Garcon’s numbers have been steadily increasing since he was called out for his butterfingers problem over a month ago, culminating in a two-TD, 93-yard effort last week against the Titans. Both Pierre AND Wayne have a chance to put up WR1 numbers this weekend.
Austin Collie (WR Week 15 Ranking: No. 35)
2010 Season: 50 receptions for 562 yards & six TDs
Collie went through a full practice each day this week, which bodes well for his return this Sunday against the Jags. He might be eased back into things a bit as the Colts will definitely want to take caution with his concussion issues, but he could be another nice sleeper for fantasy owners this weekend.
Blair White (WR Week 15 Ranking: Not ranked)
2010 Season: 29 receptions for 268 yards & four TDs
With Collie’s return, White will be stuck manning the WR4 position on the team. Stash him in case Collie goes down again.
Jacob Tamme (TE Week 15 Ranking: No. 3)
2010 Season: 46 receptions for 452 yards & three TDs
Tamme will get his catches and targets this game no matter what, so with the Jags being the eighth worst defense in defending the tight end, you shouldn’t have any worries due to his lack of production the past couple of weeks.
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