NFL Picks Week 15: Can Tim Tebow and the Denver Broncos Cover the Spread?
Last weeks against the spread record: 2-6
Overall against the spread record: 62-48 (56 percent)
Last week was officially my worst week of the season.
I have to admit I am a bit disappointed in myself.
At Week 8 I was at 67 percent.
How the mighty have fallen.
Still, there is plenty of football left and in a week where nearly every home team is favored to win, I just can't see that happening.
Now the trick is to decipher which games are worth picking against the spread.
Here are each of the games for Week 15.
San Francisco at San Diego: San Diego -9.5
Kansas City at St. Louis: St. Louis -3
Houston at Tennessee: Tennessee -1.5
Jacksonville at Indianapolis: Indianapolis -4.5
Arizona at Carolina: Carolina -2.5
Cleveland at Cincinnati: Cincinnati -1
Buffalo at Miami: Miami -5
Philadelphia at NY Giants: Philadelphia -3
Washington at Dallas: Dallas -7
Detroit at Tampa Bay: Tampa Bay -4.5
New Orleans at Baltimore: Baltimore -1.5
Atlanta at Seattle: Atlanta -6
NY Jets at Pittsburgh: Pittsburgh -5.5
Denver at Oakland: Oakland -7.5
Green Bay at New England: New England -14
Chicago at Minnesota: Chicago -7.5
San Francisco +9.5 at San Diego
Not a good way to start the week, is it?
I confess, I picked the 49ers to cover this 9.5 point spread, but Philip Rivers proved me wrong.
These Chargers are for real and I can only imagine how good they could have been if Vincent Jackson had been playing all season how much more powerful could this offense had been?
If they can continue this hot streak and make the playoffs, they will be a very dangerous team in the post season.
Unfortunately, I went against them this week.
But I doubt I will be betting against this team again any time soon.
Kansas City +3 at St. Louis
Kansas City struggled without Matt Cassel in at quarterback, but that doesn't mean all is lost for this team.
Granted, it was against one of the hottest teams in the NFL in the San Diego Chargers so I can't think they are completely out of it.
Cassel should be back on Sunday and I see him picking up right where he left off.
Don't be shocked if the Chiefs win this one straight up, but they cover at minimum.
Houston +1.5 at Tennessee
I'm a Titans fan and I just don't see it.
There are too many questions and distractions for this Titans team to keep them in this game.
Not to mention Andre Johnson is ready to get his revenge on Cortland Finnegan by having a career day.
Houston is coming off a game that went to the wire with a very good Baltimore Ravens team.
Expect big things from this Houston Texans team on Sunday as they go into Tennessee to prove to the NFL they are better than their record says.
Houston should not only cover, but win this game.
Jacksonville +4.5 at Indianapolis
Who would have believed that by Week 15, Jacksonville would be leading the AFC South.
Still, the Jaguars have the lead and all they have to do is win these last few games and they playoffs are theirs.
Unfortunately for the Jags, to do that they will have to beat Peyton Manning for the second time this season.
A less than easy feat.
But no matter what happens, I think this game will be close enough for these Jaguars to at least cover the spread.
Arizona +2.5 at Carolina
Who is John Skelton?
I'll tell you who.
The future starting quarterback for the Arizona Cardinals.
After giving the Broncos meanest beat down of the season, the Arizona Cardinals are fighting for a playoff spot and they look more than capable of doing it if Skelton can continue to play at the level he played last week.
Take the Cardinals to cover, but I think they are more likely to win straight up.
Cleveland +1 at Cincinnati
Cincinnati just can't get it going.
They have all this talent and have only managed to win two games all season.
The Browns on the other hand, will have Colt McCoy back who has been a great leader and game manager for this team when he has played.
It's going to be a good game, but expect Cleveland to take care of business and win their sixth game of the season.
Denver +7.5 at Oakland
Mark it in your calendar.
On Dec. 19, 2010, Tim Tebow will make his first NFL start.
What does that mean?
Well, I'm not sure really.
But I am willing to take the chance.
I like what Tebow brings to the table in this game and I actually think he is more than capable of keeping his team within 7.5 points to cover the spread.