NFL Week 13 Picks Against the Spread: New York Jets to Cover?
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Last week's against the spread record: 3-4
Overall against the spread record: 56-37 (60%)
It seemed like last week there were so many games I missed.
Dallas, Jacksonville, Chicago. They all covered and did I pick them?
I admit I have slipped the last couple of weeks, but I still only have two weeks were I had a losing record.
This week, I am excited about some great games and hopefully some spread upsets.
So let's take a look at which nine games I have picked this week from the following game lines.
Houston at Philadelphia: Philadelphia -8.5
Buffalo at Minnesota: Minnesota -5.5
Cleveland at Miami: Miami -4.5
Jacksonville at Tennessee: Tennessee -2
Denver at Kansas City: Kansas City -8.5
Washington at NY Giants: NY Giants -7
Chicago at Detroit: Chicago -4.5
San Francisco at Green Bay: Green Bay -9.5
New Orleans at Cincinnati: New Orleans -6.5
Atlanta at Tampa Bay: Atlanta -3
Oakland at San Diego: San Diego -13
Carolina at Seattle: Seattle -6
Dallas at Indianapolis: Indianapolis -5.5
St Louis at Arizona: St. Louis -3.5
Pittsburgh at Baltimore: Baltimore -3
NY Jets at New England: New England -3.5
Houston +8.5 at Philadelphia
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I know, I know.
This game has already happened and Houston didn't cover.
But I'll be honest and say I had this game picked against the spread.
Houston had the lead for a while and for most of the game they were able to keep it within the 8.5 point spread.
In the end, some costly mistakes cost the Texans and myself a loss this week.
Buffalo +5.5 at Minnesota
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Buffalo has finally become predictable this season.
They will always lose, but they will always keep it close.
Somehow, the Bills find a way to lose even though they fight so hard the entire game.
Minnesota is all but impressive right now and if Buffalo can keep it close with teams like Pittsburgh and Baltimore, they can definitely keep this game within 5.5 to cover.
Take Buffalo against the spread, but I wouldn't go as far as saying they will win straight up.
Cleveland +4.5 at Miami
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I have noticed a trend of the Cleveland Browns ending up in my articles every week.
Last week it was for Carolina to cover against the Browns, which they did.
Peyton Hillis and the Cleveland Browns are just a few tweaks away from being a winning team.
Considering six of their seven losses have been by one score or less, the Browns are even closer than the Bills from winning extremely close games.
Don't be surprised if Cleveland wins this game, but if nothing else, take them to cover the spread.
Denver +8.5 at Kansas City
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Kansas City is one of the biggest surprise teams in the entire NFL.
I still can't figure out how they are 7-4 and on top of the AFC West.
Either way, Kansas City is doing pretty good while Denver isn't.
But I can't help thinking Denver is still a good team with potential Pro Bowlers Kyle Orton and Brandon Lloyd.
Take Denver to keep it within the 8.5 to cover.
Washington +7 at NY Giants
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The Giants are playing some pretty good football right now.
Along with the Chiefs, they are one of the upset teams of the season that has been able to do some damage.
On the flip side, you have the Redskins.
I admit, I thought Washington would do a lot better this season, but its mediocre 5-6 record speaks for itself.
Maybe it's just a hunch, but Washington could be a lot worse and New York could be a lot better.
On a nice day for a spread upset like Sunday, I'm taking Washington to cover.
Chicago -4.5 at Detroit
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It's so hard to stay away from teams like Detroit this season in the game line picks.
Detroit is able to put up points and even with Drew Stanton at quarterback, I'm going bold and saying Detroit can cover this game.
Chicago is 8-3 but I just can't take them seriously.
Detroit should have won in their first meeting and I expect Detroit will want payback.
I don't expect them to get it, but I expect them to cover.
San Francisco +9.5 at Green Bay
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I think it's only a matter of time before Green Bay starts winning every week and wins the NFC North like they are supposed to.
Tainted with a ton of injuries, the Packers can and will still win this game.
However, Brian Westbrook looked pretty good last week and I think this game might be a little closer than you think.
Take the 49ers to cover to keep it within 9.5.
Oakland +13 at San Diego
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Just a few weeks ago spectators considered the Oakland Raiders potential AFC West champions.
To all of those people, as long as San Diego still has Philip Rivers, they will be the division favorite.
San Diego should definitely win this game, but with a lot of injuries slowing the team down, Oakland has a chance to prove their first win against San Diego wasn't a fluke.
I doubt they do that, but I do think they will cover the spread.
NY Jets +3.5 at New England
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I remember when these two teams met the first time. I took the Jets against the spread and if you remember correctly, the Jets actually upset the Patriots.
I expect them to upset again.
The Jets secondary is more than capable of keeping up with the Patriots receivers, especially without Randy Moss this time around.
New England may be able to find a way to win this game and avoid the division sweep, but it won't be easy.
Take the Jets to cover or if you're feelin' froggy, take them to win straight up.