NFL Week 12: The 25 Most Disappointing Fantasy Duds of 2010

Ray TannockSenior Analyst INovember 29, 2010

NFL Week 12: The 25 Most Disappointing Fantasy Duds of 2010

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    HOUSTON - NOVEMBER 28:  Wide receiver Andre Johnson #80 of the Houston Texans is separated by umpire Garth DeFerlice #53 from cornerback Cortland Finnegan #31 of the Tennessee Titans after the two exchanged punches in the fourth quarter at Reliant Stadium
    Bob Levey/Getty Images

    This has been—by far—one of the strangest fantasy football seasons I have ever been a part of, both as a participant and as a writer. And through Week 12, we are beginning to feel the effects of the growing list of fantasy duds of the 2010 season.

    A little early if you ask me.

    Ah, it was only yesterday it seems. We were all bright eyed and bushy tailed over constructing our new teams with the reliable advice of projections, but now?

    Many of us stand in a heap of despair and confusion as our teams have been decimated by injuries, standing in the ruination that shattered the hope of a potential championship.

    Larry Fitzgerald has been replaced by Brandon Lloyd, Chris Johnson trumped by Arian Foster, and the Marshall being demoted to a mere deputy; it shall be a forgettable season to say the least.

    OK, so it’s a little dramatic, so what?

    Come with me and let’s all peruse the carnage that has been left behind thus far. Let us gaze at the ones that “could have been” and ponder just what went wrong.

Brett Favre

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    LANDOVER, MD - NOVEMBER 28:  Brett Favre #4 of the Minnesota Vikings sits ont the bench between offensive series against the Washington Redskins at FedExField November 28, 2010 in Landover, Maryland. The Vikings won the game 17-13.  (Photo by Win McNamee/
    Win McNamee/Getty Images

    OK, I could make this slide a novella if I really wanted to, so instead, I will do a very simple comparative analysis that should speak for itself.

    2009: 68.4 percent completion rate – 4,202 yards, 33 TD – seven INT
    2010:
    60.6 percent completion rate – 2,446 yards, 10 TD – 17 INT

    See what I mean?

Kevin Kolb

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    PHILADELPHIA - OCTOBER 17:  Kevin Kolb #4 of the Philadelphia Eagles passes against the Atlanta Falcons during their game at Lincoln Financial Field on October 17, 2010 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)
    Al Bello/Getty Images

    Coming into this season, Kolb was one of the top 10 QBs off the draft board and was highly touted by experts and analysts alike.

    And while Kolb did do a serviceable job when he did play (63.4 percent completion rate, 1,035 yards and a 6/4 TD INT ratio), Kolb was ultimately a surprising Vick-tim of a unexpected QB controversy.

    It has worked out beautifully for the Eagles, and even owners of DeSean Jackson, but for those who wasted an early pick on Kolb, not so good.

Donovan McNabb

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    LANDOVER, MD - NOVEMBER 15:  Donovan McNabb #5 of the Washington Redskins waits for play to resume in the fourth quarter against the Philadelphia Eagles on November 15, 2010 at FedExField in Landover, Maryland.  (Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images)
    Chris McGrath/Getty Images

    A show of hands: How many of you actually bought into the hype that McNabb was going to excel in Washington?

    After an excellent year in 2009 where McNabb threw 22 TDs and only 10 INTs, he has literally fallen off the map by barley completing 58 percent of his passes, alongside a 17:13 TD/INT ratio.

    McNabb’s underachieving and fantasy dud status also affects the receivers around him who have been average at the very best, so the snowball effect this had on fantasy owners looking to cash in on McNabb is unspeakable.

Chris Johnson

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    HOUSTON - NOVEMBER 28:  LInebacker Brian Cushing #56 of the Houston Texans throws running back Chris Johnson #28 of the Tennessee Titans out of bounds in the seond quarter at Reliant Stadium on November 28, 2010 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Bob Levey/Get
    Bob Levey/Getty Images

    Fantasy Dud: Definition - Wasted Draft Pick: A pick that was used as early as possible within a fantasy football draft on a specific player who was SUPPOSED to be the greatest thing since sliced bread, only to have said player wind up being toast!

    Whew! Good to get that out of my system!

    Chris Johnson rushed for over 2,006 yards with 14 TDs and a 125.4 yards per game average in 2009, and while most people entered this year understanding he may not get quite those numbers, no one expected Johnson to do so average up until this point in the season.

    Through 11 games, Johnson has amassed a mere 973 yards and nine TDs. I say mere because this is way below the skill set of Chris Johnson.

    Most of this has come on the realization that teams are using more eight man fronts on Johnson, but with the Titans' passing game being better than it was last year, that argument doesn’t hold as much water as one would think.

    By standard of what Johnson should’ve done, he is a dud. Not a bust, just a dud.

Frank Gore

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    SAN FRANCISCO - NOVEMBER 14:  Frank Groe #21 of the San Francisco 49ers enters the field for their game against the St. Louis Rams at Candlestick Park on November 14, 2010 in San Francisco, California.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
    Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

    Gore was fifth in RB ADP and flew off the draft boards last year only to come up near empty handed through Week 12, leaving many fantasy owners asking whether or not they should trade him.

    Or at least that’s what I get asked.

    Last year, Gore finished the year with 1,120 yards and 10 TD, and while the yards are there, the scores are not making him a Standard league dud, measured on his projections and overall ADP.

Jahvid Best

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    EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 17:  Jahvid Best #44 of the Detroit Lions rushes past the tackle of Kenny Phillips #21 of the New York Giants at New Meadowlands Stadium on October 17, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
    Nick Laham/Getty Images

    The rookie busted onto the scene this year not only as a hot pickup off the draft board early, but with a solid entrance into the 2010 season.

    In his first two games, Best exploded with a combined 98 rushing yards and four TDs on 31 carries and a whopping 170 receiving yards with a single TD on 14 receptions.

    Since then, he hasn’t done squat on the ground or through the air and hasn’t scored a single TD elevating him to certified dud status.

Randy Moss

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    NASHVILLE, TN - NOVEMBER 21:  Randy Moss #84 of the Tennessee Titans is introduced before a game against the Washington Redskins at LP Field on November 21, 2010 in Nashville, Tennessee.  (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)
    Grant Halverson/Getty Images

    2009 Resume:

    • Media Friendly
    • Team Player
    • Respectable member of the Patriots
    • 83 catches for 1,264 yards and 13 TDs

    2010 Resume:

    • Media Pariah
    • Team Liability 
    • 26 catches for 362 yards and 5 TDs
    • Fantasy dud

Steve Smith (Carolina)

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    CHARLOTTE, NC - NOVEMBER 07:  Steve Smith #89 of the Carolina Panthers sits on the bench against the New Orleans Saints during their game at Bank of America Stadium on November 7, 2010 in Charlotte, North Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
    Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

    Entering into this year, Steve Smith was still widely viewed as a top 25 WR that was sure to have a comeback year, especially with the Matt Moore under center.

    The two seemed to click last year, with Smith finishing 2009 with 982 yards on 65 catches with seven TDs.

    But Moore never lived up to his hype, and no other QB has been able to perform at an NFL level in Carolina, relegating Smith to dud status with 444 yards on 36 catches and only two TDs.

    But to be fair towards Smith, it's really not his fault.

Mike Sims-Walker

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    ARLINGTON, TX - OCTOBER 31:  Wide receiver Mike Sims-Walker #11 of the Jacksonville Jaguars celebrates a touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys in the first quarter at Cowboys Stadium on October 31, 2010 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty
    Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

    MSW is an interesting mention because of his breakout performance last year, and also because there was a near 50/50 split on people’s opinion about him as this year opened up.

    The majority swayed towards MSW having another solid year, which is why a lot of drafts saw him go pretty early.

    But his inability to deal with double coverage, and the emergence of Mike Thomas and even Tiquan Underwood, has left MSW putting up numbers that aren’t even really average.

    At this rate, MSW isn’t even on pace for an 800 yard season, making him a dud all around.

Brent Celek

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    PHILADELPHIA - OCTOBER 03:  Brent Celek #87 of the Philadelphia Eagles celebrates his fourth quarter touchdown against the Washington Redskins on October 3, 2010 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Redskins defeated the Eagles 17
    Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

    When fantasy owners were shopping around for a potentially huge TE at a value price, the consensus was Philadelphia Eagles TE, Brent Celek.

    The idea was, Kevin Kolb was going to rely on the short passing game to the backs and TEs early since he was going to acclimate himself to the starting role, and considering Celek’s 2009 performance ( 971 yards on 76 catches with eight TDs), the idea expanded into Celek being a quality grab in the early to mid rounds of the draft.

    Well, so much for that!

    Through 12 games, Celek has been basically MIA from the passing game, chiming in for only 287 yards on 26 grabs and three TDs.

Owen Daniels

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    LANDOVER - SEPTEMBER 19:  Owen Daniels #81 of the Houston Texans runs in the backfield during the game against the Washington Redskins at FedExField on September 19, 2010 in Landover, Maryland. The Texans defeated the Redskins in overtime 30-27. (Photo by
    Larry French/Getty Images

    And for those who wound up missing out on Celek the trend was to grab Houston Texans’ TE Owen Daniels who was on his way towards a stellar 2009 campaign (40 catches for 519 yards and 5 TD through eight games) before getting shut down with an injury.

    This year, through Week Seven—the last time he played—Daniels was nowhere near those numbers catching only 16 balls for 200 yards and zero scores.

    Daniels should finish this fantasy year with both the dud and bust tag.

Patrick Willis

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    HERTFORD, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 27:  Patrick Willis of the San Francisco 49ers talks to the media outside The Grove Hotel on October 27, 2010 in Hertford, England. The San Francisco 49ers will meet the Denver Broncos in the NFL International Series regular-se
    Julian Finney/Getty Images

    The number one overall ranked LB in fantasy has been less than impressive to say the least, and for those who dove in early for Willis in their IDP drafts, they have to be screaming dud.

    Last year, Willis had 113 tackles, 38 assists, and three interceptions, as opposed to his 71 tackles, 20 assists and zero interceptions.

    The cost of his ADP versus his performance has him sliding into dud territory.

Jon Beason

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    CHARLOTTE, NC - NOVEMBER 21:  Joe Flacco #5 of the Baltimore Ravens is tackled by Jon Beason #52 of the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium on November 21, 2010 in Charlotte, North Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
    Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

    Right behind Willis was the overall number two LB, Jon Beason who tallied up 112 tackles, 30 assists and three interceptions in 2009, but has yet to get on pace for even similar numbers this year.

    Beason has racked up only 61 tackles, 22 assists and a single interception, and is looking more and more as if he won’t even trump his own stats from a year ago.

    Again, because of his ADP against his performance thus far, he is flirting with dud status.

Wes Welker

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    DETROIT - NOVEMBER 25: Chris Houston #23 of the Detroit Lions tackles Wes Welker of the New England Patriots during the game against the Detroit Lions at Ford Field on November 25, 2010 in Detroit, Michigan. New England defeated Detroit 45-24.  (Photo by
    Leon Halip/Getty Images

    Wes Welker has always been a top notch fantasy football receiver; Mr PPR, if you will. But Welker hasn’t exactly put up the same type of numbers this year as we are used to year after year.

    It was noticeable that he was slow out of the gates following the knee recovery, but when Randy Moss left, he took an even bigger hit.

    Welker’s TD count is better (six this year as opposed to four from a year ago), but Welker has only chimed in for 592 yards on 65 catches, compared to the 1,348 yards and 123 catches in 2009.

    Welker has streaked the last two games, but I wouldn’t read too much into it since those last two competitors were Indianapolis and Detroit.

Jared Allen

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    MINNEAPOLIS - NOVEMBER 07:  Defensive end Jared Allen #69 of the Minnesota Vikings sacks quarterback Derek Anderson #3 of the Arizona Cardinals at Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome on November 7, 2010 in Minneapolis, Minnesota.  The Vikings won 27-24 in overti
    Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

    14.5 sacks, five forced fumbles, 43 tackles, and a feared and unstoppable force on the D-Line in 2009.

    7.5 sacks, zero forced fumbles, 29 tackles, and a not so feared presence in 2010 has dud written all over Jared Allen.

Minnesota Vikings Defense

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    TAMPA, FL - NOVEMBER 16: Defensive tackle Pat Williams #94 of the Minnesota Vikings lines up for play against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium on November 16, 2008 in Tampa, Florida.  (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)
    Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images

    When in Rome!

    The Vikings were the sixth ranked defense in 2009 and ranked first in sacks. It was very difficult to burn this team last year, and even more difficult to stop them, affording fantasy owners one of the more prolific fantasy defense in all of fantasy football.

    So naturally, owners made a run early on them, and are now paying the price.

    The Vikings are barley clinging onto ninth place and rank 20th in sacks and are basically bottom feeding in turnovers as a whole, making the 2010 version of this defense a fantasy defensive dud.

Green Bay Packers Defense

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    EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 31:  The defense of the Green Bay Packers celebrate a play against the New York Jets on October 31, 2010 at the New Meadowlands Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
    Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

    This team led the NFL in interceptions, dominated in turnovers as a whole and was the second ranked defense in all of football a year ago.

    And while the Packers are still playing tenacious football, they aren’t the turnover machine they were from a year ago.

    Again, many made a run for this defense hoping to have another year of cashing in on Dom Capers’ turnover friendly system, but injuries have decimated this team and forced them to change direction in scheme in 2010, which hasn’t produced as many turnovers.

    Because of the price paid to get them and their current return, they fall under dud status.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense

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    CINCINNATI, OH - OCTOBER 10:  Mike Williams #19 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers makes a 20-yard touchdown reception as Johnathan Joseph #22 and Chinedum Ndukwe #41 of the Cincinnati Bengals defend at Paul Brown Stadium on October 10, 2010 in Cincinnati, Ohio.
    Jamie Sabau/Getty Images

    Another turnover happy team that was a fantasy goldmine for points, the Bengals have literally and systematically done an unexpected 180 on owners who reached tor them too early.

    This is a defense that was a top five in the beginning of the season, showing signs of dominance only to fall to 16th; a decline that is gaining speed.

    The Bengals continue to fall apart on defense, making them a fantasy dud.

Bernard Pollard

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    HOUSTON - OCTOBER 17:  Jamaal Charles #25 of the Kansas City Chiefs is brought down by strong safety Bernard Pollard #31 of the Houston Texans at Reliant Stadium on October 17, 2010 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
    Bob Levey/Getty Images

    2009: four INT, three Forced Fumbles, 82 Tackles.
    2010:
    zero INT, zero Forced Fumbles, 62 Tackles as one of the top five drafted DBs in fantasy football
    Prognosis:
    DUD!

Adrian Wilson

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    ATLANTA - SEPTEMBER 19:  Michael Turner #33 of the Atlanta Falcons rushes against Adrian Wilson #24 of the Arizona Cardinals at Georgia Dome on September 19, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
    Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

    Another high end DB, who many thought—like myself—was set to have a monster season after chiming in for five INTs, two forced fumbles, and 63 tackles in 2009.

    But 41 tackles and two lousy interceptions for the price that was paid for him is nothing short of dud, unless he picks things up.

Brandon Marshall

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    MIAMI - NOVEMBER 18:  Receiver Brandon Marshall #19 of the Miami Dolphins runs as safety Charles Tillman #33 of the Chicago Bears defends at Sun Life Stadium on November 18, 2010 in Miami, Florida.  (Photo by Marc Serota/Getty Images)
    Marc Serota/Getty Images

    Many people felt that it didn’t matter where he played, because the Marshall was all money year in and year out, and why not after a solid 1,120 yard, 101 catch  and 10 touchdown performance in 2009.

    Now?

    Not only is his 58 catch 693 yard one touchdown line pedestrian at best, there’s rumors that he’s even being outplayed by fellow teammate Brian Hartline.

    Total dud, potential bust.

DeAngelo Williams

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    NEW ORLEANS - OCTOBER 03:  DeAngelo Williams #34 of the Carolina Panthers in action during the game against the New Orleans Saints at the Louisiana Superdome on October 3, 2010 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)
    Chris Graythen/Getty Images

    Williams was one of the better backs in 2009, and many felt he was only going to build on his 216 carries for 1,117 yards and seven touchdown season from a year ago.

    But that never really materialized, even when he was healthy.

    Williams looked sluggish, old, unable to get free off the line, and it showed in his 87 carries for 361 yards and a single score line.

    He’s on IR for the remainder of the year, but he was a dud before that ever happened.

Miles Austin

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    ARLINGTON, TX - OCTOBER 31:  Miles Austin #19 of the Dallas Cowboys looks on against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Cowboys Stadium on October 31, 2010 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)
    Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

    Thanks to Tony Romo getting hurt, and Jon Kitna’s affinity for fellow receiver Dez Bryant, Miles Austin has been fantasy MIA nearly all year.

    Austin has 52 catches with 757 yards and five scores through 12 weeks, which is way down from his 81 catches for 1,320 yards and 11 TDs from a year ago, putting him into dud status.

Visanthe Shiancoe

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    LANDOVER, MD - NOVEMBER 28:  Visanthe Shiancoe #81 picks up yards after a catch in the first quarter against the Washington Redskins at FedExField November 28, 2010 in Landover, Maryland.  (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)
    Win McNamee/Getty Images

    Where’s the shank? That’s what many owners who made a move on him early are now saying. Shank was project to have a monster season after catching 56 balls for 566 yards and 11 TDs in 2009, but the reality is, he has been less than average up until this point.

    Ya know, a dud.

    Through 12 weeks, Shiancoe has only caught 33 balls for 420 yards and two TDs.

Maurice Jones-Drew

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    EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 28:  Maurice Jones Drew #32 of the Jacksonville Jaguars in action against  the New York Giants on November 28, 2010 at The New Meadowlands Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)
    Al Bello/Getty Images

    One of the top five running backs in all of fantasy football last year, and the third ranked RB in most ADP forecasts this year, MJD was highly viewed as an elite back coming into this season.

    So it was no wonder why he went so fast in a running back-first heavy 2010 draft.

    But that was a huge waste of a pick considering last year, MJD had totaled 1,765 all-purpose yards with 16 all-purpose TDs.

    Why?

    This year MJD has a paltry 1,263 all purpose yards with a dismal six all purpose TDs—not quite the numbers fantasy owners were expecting from him.

    MJD winds up being a huge bust, if not one of the biggest in all of fantasy football, given the hype that surrounded him, his performance from a year ago, and the solid consensus that this was a top three running back.

    So much for forecasts and expert advice, huh?

    Well, that’s it. I am sure there are plenty of names that could’ve made this list, so feel free to add who you think is a fantasy dud. Perhaps someone you own?

    And please make sure to check out my Week 13 Start Sit Quarterback column.