NFL Picks Week 11: Predicting the Outcome for Every Game
This week in the NFL is packed with extraordinary matchups, such as the Packers-Vikings, Giants-Eagles and Colts-Patriots.
With the 2010-11 NFL season more than half over, Week 11 will prove to be a crucial one for teams in the hunt for a Super Bowl appearance, while it could also completely shatter playoff hopes for other organizations.
Who will outperform the other, Peyton Manning or Tom Brady?
Can the New York Giants bounce back from a tough loss?
Will the Oakland Raiders continue their hot streak?
Find out more...
Buffalo Bills (1-8) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-7)
The Buffalo Bills earned their first win of the season last week against the Detroit Lions, but do not expect them to go on any kind of streak. The Bengals have struggled this season, but take a look at their competition. Cincinnati has gone up against the Patriots, Ravens, Buccaneers, Falcons, Steelers and Colts.
Cincinnati's rushing game hasn't been very productive, but expect them to get something going in Week 11 against the Bills' 32nd ranked rushing defense, giving up an average of 166.9 yards per game.
Predicted Outcome: Buffalo Bills 16 - Cincinnati Bengals 24
Detroit Lions (2-7) at Dallas Cowboys (2-7)
In his first game as Interim head coach, Jason Garrett was able to get the Cowboys to perform the best they have this entire season, coming away with the 33-20 victory over their division rival New York Giants.
With Matthew Stafford out indefinitely due to an injured shoulder, Shaun Hill will be get the start once again. Hill has earned one of the Lions' two wins this season, but is definitely less productive than Stafford, who has completed 59.4 percent of his passes this season for 535 yards, six touchdowns and only one interception.
In Week 11, Dallas will battle a 2-7 Lions team that is better than it's record might suggest. The Cowboys seem to react extremely well to Jason Garrett and his style of coaching, so you can expect them to be a dominant force for the remainder of the season.
Predicted Outcome: Detroit Lions 17 - Dallas Cowboys 30
Washington Redskins (4-5) at Tennessee Titans (5-4)
After starting off the season 5-2, the Tennessee Titans have lost their last two games to the San Diego Chargers and Miami Dolphins. This week against the Redskins, one of the worst overall defenses in the NFL, the Titans should put up a ton of points—too many for Donovan McNabb to keep up with.
The Washington Redskins have the 31st overall passing defense, giving up 286.6 yards per game, and the 25th overall rushing defense, giving up 128.8 yards per game.
Tennessee comes away with the win in dominant fashion, making the Redskins suffer their third consecutive loss.
Predicted Outcome: Washington Redskins 30 - Tennessee Titans 48
Arizona Cardinals (3-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-4)
Statistically, the Arizona Cardinals are one of the worst overall teams in the National Football League in both offense and defense.
The Cardinals have lost four games in a row since their bye week, and that streak will continue through Week 11 against the Kansas City Chiefs and their first overall rushing offense in the league.
Arizona has the 28th overall-ranked rushing defense this year, giving up an average of 132.4 YPG, so you can expect Thomas Jones and Jamaal Charles to be very productive.
Predicted Outcome: Arizona Cardinals 20 - Kansas City Chiefs 30
Green Bay Packers (6-3) at Minnesota Vikings (3-6)
The Minnesota Vikings have continuously struggled this season, but will come away with a big win this week against the Green Bay Packers.
Although the Vikings have a record of 3-6, they have the 10th overall rushing attack, ninth overall passing defense and ninth overall rushing defense.
With playoffs hopes quickly slipping away from Minnesota, they shall prevail against their NFC North division rival this Sunday. With a win in Week 11, they would be only two games behind the Packers and three games behind the Chicago Bears, the division leader.
Predicted Outcome: Green Bay Packers 26 - Minnesota Vikings 27
Houston Texans (4-5) at New York Jets (7-2)
Coming off of two big overtime wins the last couple of weeks, the Jets should be able to finish off the Houston Texans in regulation.
Houston's passing defense is the overall worst in the National Football League, giving up an average of 301.3 yards per game. Expect Mark Sanchez to have a big game with multiple touchdowns.
Sanchez's play has been pretty poor in recent games, but he has still found a way to lead his team to victory. Four touchdowns and six interceptions in his last four games is not pretty, but Sanchez still guided his squad to a 3-1 record.
As long as the Jets' defense can limit Matt Schaub and Arian Foster, Sanchez should be able to get the job done.
Predicted Outcome: Houston Texans 20 - New York Jets 34
Oakland Raiders (5-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (6-3)
The Oakland Raiders have been playing outstanding of late, winning four out of their last five games. But Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh Steelers will prove to be too much for the Raiders to handle.
Oakland's rushing attack is second overall in the NFL, but will face a serious challenge this week going up against the best rushing defense in the league. The Steelers only give up an average of 63.2 yards per game, so if the Raiders want to win this game, Jason Campbell must have a huge performance.
This should be an exciting game that comes down to the final minutes.
Predicted Outcome: Oakland Raiders 23 - Pittsburgh Steelers 27
Baltimore Ravens (6-3) at Carolina Panthers (1-8)
After suffering a close, disappointing loss to the Atlanta Falcons in Week 10, the Baltimore Ravens will be playing at an extremely high level this week to bounce back.
Don't expect much out of the Carolina Panthers, who have the worst passing offense in the NFL, and one of the worst rushing attacks. It should be a fun day for the Baltimore Ravens defense.
Predicted Outcome: Baltimore Ravens 27 - Carolina Panthers 10
Cleveland Browns (3-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars (5-4)
After getting off to an upsetting 1-5 start this season, the Cleveland Browns have been very impressive the past three weeks, defeating the New Orleans Saints, New England Patriots, and taking the New York Jets to overtime, although they lost.
The Browns' offense seems to react well to the rookie Colt McCoy, going 2-2 with the 24-year-old at quarterback. He will most likely make the start over Seneca Wallace once again this week.
Colt McCoy has been conservative of late, not throwing an interception in the last three games. This week could be the first multiple touchdown game of his career.
Predicted Outcome: Cleveland Browns 27 - Jacksonville Jaguars 17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3) at San Francisco 49ers (3-6)
Josh Freeman and the Buccaneers head into San Francisco tied for second in their division with the New Orleans Saints and one game behind the Atlanta Falcons.
San Francisco, on the other hand, has a record of 3-6 and is only two games behind the division-leading Seattle Seahawks.
Somehow still in the place hunt after winning two consecutive games, the 49ers will be playing will a lot of intensity, but fall short at the end of a very close game.
Predicted Outcome: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30 - San Francisco 49ers 27
Seattle Seahawks (5-4) at New Orleans Saints (6-3)
After two impressive performances against the Pittsburgh Steelers and Carolina Panthers, the Saints will extend their winning streak to three in Week 11 when they go head to head with the Seahawks.
The Saints have one of the top five best passing games in the NFL, as well as the best passing defense in the entire league. Seattle is a very talented football team, sitting atop the NFC West, but they are not on the same level as New Orleans.
Seattle's defense will have a difficult time with Drew Brees, who is due for a big game.
With a Seattle Seahawks loss this week, dropping to 5-5, the NFC West becomes very interesting with the St. Louis Rams currently 4-5 and both the San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals being 3-6.
Predicted Outcome: Seattle Seahawks 16 - New Orleans Saints 30
Atlanta Falcons (7-2) at St. Louis Rams (4-5)
The St. Louis Rams have been terribly inconsistent this season, and will be no match for the Atlanta Falcons.
The Falcons have one of the most dynamic offenses in the NFL, averaging 369.2 yards per game. In Matt Ryan's last three games, he has thrown a total of seven touchdowns and only one interception.
Atlanta will put too much pressure on Sam Bradford, causing him to make numerous mistakes, throwing his first interception in the last four games.
Predicted Outcome: Atlanta Falcons 31 - St. Louis Rams 20
Indianapolis Colts (6-3) at New England Patriots (7-2)
In what will be the most exciting game of the week, you can expect a duel between the National Football League's two best quarterbacks.
Peyton Manning and Tom Brady have similar numbers this season, which will make for a fascinating outing. Manning has thrown for 2,663 yards, 16 touchdowns, four interceptions and a 93.9 QB rating. So far Brady has 2,176 yards, 17 touchdowns, four interceptions and a 98.8 QB rating.
This matchup has the potential to be a thrilling overtime game. I'm expecting Peyton Manning to lead the Indianapolis Colts in a last minute drive, defeating the Patriots in the final seconds.
Predicted Outcome: Indianapolis Colts 30 - New England Patriots 27 OT
New York Giants (6-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (6-3)
The New York Giants were embarrassed by the Dallas Cowboys last week, but are looking to bounce right back against another divisional rival in the Philadelphia Eagles. The Giants and Eagles are tied at 6-3 on top of the NFC East.
Although the Eagles have one of the top 10 offenses in the NFL, the Giants will be too much to handle, being sixth overall in passing offense, fifth in rushing offense, fourth in passing defense and third in rushing defense. Sure, stats aren't everything, but the Giants have a more complete team than the team from Philadelphia.
This will be a close game, but the Giants will come from behind in the fourth quarter, defeating the Eagles and taking over the No. 1 spot in the NFC East.
Predicted Outcome: New York Giants 24 - Philadelphia Eagles 23
Denver Broncos (3-6) at San Diego Chargers (4-5)
In this Monday Night showdown, the second overall passing offense of the Denver Broncos will be taking on the best passing offense in the National Football League in Phillip Rivers and the San Diego Chargers.
Phillip Rivers is really beginning to make his mark as one of the better quarterbacks in the National Football League and will have an amazing performance this week. So far this season, Rivers has thrown for 2,944 yards, 19 touchdowns, eight interceptions and a 102.9 QB rating. Eight interceptions may be a bit high, but he has thrown the ball 329 times already, while his career high for throwing attempts in a season is 486.
Both teams have losing records, but the Chargers have never lost a game by more than eight points. San Diego stays competitive in every game they play. In a fairly high-scoring game, the Chargers win by over two touchdowns.
Predicted Outcome: Denver Broncos 24 - San Diego Chargers 41