NFL Picks Against the Spread, Week 8: Take Buffalo and Houston Plus the Points
We are approaching Week 8 in the NFL season, and there have already been a number of surprises throughout this season. There have been some key trades and injuries throughout the league, with the latest occurring to Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo.
The season has been an interesting one, with many players we thought would perform well underachieving. Here are picks for every game against the spread, which teams I think will win, as well as if they will cover the spread.
These picks are more difficult to make, because not only do you have to know who will win, but also how much they will win by.
If you need help picking games this week, here are picks for every game in Week 8 against the spread.
Without any further ado, here we go.
Cincinnati (-2) Over Miami
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The Cincinnati Bengals have too much star power to be losing this many games. Their offense includes Carson Palmer, Cedric Benson, Terrell Owens, Chad Ochocinco and Jordan Shipley. If you have an offense that has that much firepower, then you should not be losing this many games.
Miami simply does not have the offense to stay with the Bengals. Even if the Bengals defense does not show up, which it normally does not, Miami still will not be able to stay with the Bengals offense.
Look for Palmer, Owens, Ochocinco and Shipley to have good games.
Cincinnati will easily cover the two-point spread this week.
Dallas (-6.5) Over Jacksonville
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The Jaguars have been probably the most inconsistent team this year, and their quarterback has been hurt the past few weeks. The good news is that David Garrard will be back this week.
The Cowboys are 1-5, and watched their season go down the drain on Monday night against the Giants. Early in the second quarter, Romo went down with a fractured collarbone that is expected to keep him out six-to-eight weeks.
In spite of these setbacks, the Cowboys will get the win and cover the point spread this week. Call me crazy, but I believe that Jon Kitna will lead the Cowboys (who have something to prove) to victory this week.
Look for the Cowboys to take this game by a touchdown, barely covering the point spread.
Detroit (-2.5) Over Washington
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The line in this game is a surprise, with the Lions having a 2.5 point advantage over the Redskins. The Lions, however, have one of the league's best offenses, and with Matthew Stafford set to return this week, the Lions are all set for a victory.
The Redskins are struggling this year, and a loss to the Lions is not far fetched, In fact, it is quite plausible.
Look for the Lions to easily cover the point spread in this game, winning by double digits.
Buffalo (+7.5) Over Kansas City
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The Bills are finally going to put it together this week. Ryan Fitzpatrick can throw the ball, we know this. The Bills have had struggles running the ball though. The tandem of Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller will overcome the running difficulties this week.
The Chiefs are overrated coming into this game, and the point spread is a little far-fetched. The Bills can throw the ball, and will keep the game close.
The Chiefs may end up coming away from this game with a victory, but they will not cover the point spread.
Look for Fitzpatrick to have a huge game.
Carolina (+3) Over St. Louis
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St. Louis has had a pretty good year so far, but Carolina has an extremely good pass defense. They will keep Sam Bradford for throwing the ball, forcing Steven Jackson to carry the ball excessively.
This will not bode well for the Rams. Bradford will not be able to get going offensively and this could lead to rookie mistakes.
Carolina has only one win, and it was against a bad 49ers team, but the offense of DeAngelo Williams, Jonathan Stweart, Steve Smith and David Gettis will be too much for the Rams.
Look for the Panthers to jump out to a big lead, and cruise from there.
New York Jets (-6) Over Green Bay
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The Jets have not been great against the pass this season, but All-World cornerback Darrelle Revis is coming back to team up with Antonio Cromartie to form one of the most dynamic secondaries in the NFL.
The Packers are a good passing team, but the loss of TE Jermichael Finley plus Revis and Cromartie being at full health will prevent the Pack from having much offensive success.
Look for LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene to rush for 80 yards each against the weak Packers defense, and for the Jets to win by two touchdowns.
Denver (-1) Over San Francisco
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San Francisco is just bad. The 49ers are not good, and they will not be good any time this season (I am sorry 49ers fans, but it is the truth). They have no offense, no defense and just struggle in all aspects of the game.
The Broncos, however, looked decent to me before last week. I thought that they had a legitimate shot at a playoff berth because of Brandon Lloyd and Kyle Orton. Last week, however, the Broncos were absolutely demoralized by THE RAIDERS!
I never saw that coming, and now I wonder if Orton is really the QB of the future for the Broncos.
This week will be ugly, with Troy Smith playing QB for the 49ers, and Orton for the Broncos.
The wild card in this game will be Tim Tebow. He will score a touchdown from the Wildcat, and the Broncos will pull out an ugly win.
Tennessee (+4) Over San Diego
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If you are looking for my surest pick of the week, this is it. San Diego is struggling, and the Titans are hot. I honestly do not know how the point spread came about for this week. I do not have a lot to say for this game, and here is my reasoning.
With Vince Young coming back, the Titans will dominate this game. Kenny Britt is absolutely on fire, and Chris Johnson is well, Chris Johnson.
The Titans can score quickly and in a bunch. Look for the Titans offense to explode.
The Titans will win this game by double digits.
Seattle (+2.5) Over Oakland
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This is not the most exciting matchup of the week, but it still will be an easy one to predict. Oakland is coming into a trap game, coming off a huge win against the Broncos last week. Raise your hand if you predicted that game last week. Only maybe the parents of the Raider players did.
There is no one in the world who believes that Oakland can do that again, and I fall into that category. I base my pick for this game almost solely on that.
Marshawn Lynch will have a good game, and Seattle will win the game easily.
New England (-6.5) Over Minnesota
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This is my pick for most interesting game of the week, and rightfully so. Randy Moss is coming back to New England, and you can be guaranteed that Moss will be ready for this game, but there is just one problem. Randy Moss cannot throw the ball to himself. Brett Favre may not even play, and if he does he will be limited.
There is no way the Patriots will let Moss beat them, and he will be covered on every play.
This game will go right down to the wire, with Favre getting picked off late in the fourth and the Patriots driving down and winning by seven on a Tom Brady to Deion Branch touchdown.
Tampa Bay (+3) Over Arizona
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This is not the pick for most exciting game of the week. Tampa Bay has got off to a relatively good start, but they are still not that great of a team. Their offense however can put up points occasionally.
Arizona, however, is horribly bad. They have no one who can play QB. Can you honestly tell me that having Matt Leinart would have been worse than this?
I am picking Tampa Bay in this game because the Bucs are not as bad as Arizona, even though they are bad.
The Bucs will win in an ugly game.
Next Pittsburgh (+1) Over New Orleans
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The Saints have struggled offensively this year. Whether it is a Super Bowl hangover or the "Madden cover" curse, they have not been able to get it going offensively.
Reggie Bush is still out this week with a leg injury. This makes this an easy game to pick.
Rothlisberger is back as the QB for the Steelers, and he will lead the Steelers offense to enough points to win. The Steelers will shut the Saints down, and will cruise to a relatively easy win.
Houston (+5.5) Over Indianapolis
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*Upset of the week*
The Texans have already beat the Colts once this season, and they will do it again for the same reason.
The Colts do not have a good run defense, and Arian Foster has been a monster this season. Foster may have another 200-yard game this week, and they could pull off the upset again.
The Colts need to watch out, or they could take a stumble this week against their division rival.
Look for the Texans to win by a field goal.
Prediction For MVP of the Week
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Jammal Charles is my prediction for MVP of the week.
If you have him on your fantasy team, you will want to start him this week.
Jammal Charles is poised for a breakout game, capped off by some long runs. Do not be the one who leaves Charles on the bench this week.
For questions regarding the article, please comment or send me an e-mail.
Paul Ferguson is an intern at Bleacher Report.
Follow him on twitter at: @paulwall5