NFL Picks Week 5: The Kansas City Chiefs and Teams That Will Cover The Spread
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Last week's against the spread record: 6-2
Overall against the spread record: 21-9
So far this season, if you actually bet an equal amount on every game I have picked against the spread, you have won some money.
This week however, is definitely the hardest thus far to pick.
With the bye weeks coming in, there are less games to pick from.
But I assure you, there are still plenty of games worth saying "You know what? I'll take that bet."
Out of these 14 games ready to go down this weekend, which games am I talking about?
Denver at Baltimore: Baltimore -7
Tampa Bay at Cincinnati: Cincinatti -6.5
Jacksonville at Buffalo: Push
Kansas City at Indianapolis: Indianapolis -8
St. Louis at Detroit: Detroit -3
Atlanta at Cleveland: Atlanta -6.5
Chicago at Carolina: Chicago -2.5
Green Bay at Washington: Green Bay -2.5
NY Giants at Houston: Houston -3
New Orleans at Arizona: New Orleans -6.5
San Diego at Oakland: San Diego -6
Tennessee at Dallas: Dallas -6.5
Philadelphia at San Francisco: San Francisco -3.5
Minnesota at NY Jets: NY Jets -4
Jacksonville at Buffalo: PK
Jaguars running back Maurice Jones-Drew
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How the heck this game has no line, I have no idea.
To me, it's a no brainer.
The Jaguars finally got Maurice Jones-Drew off and running last week and I don't see him slowing down against this weak Buffalo team.
Ryan Fitzpatrick officially "won" the starting quarterback job for the Bills, but he isn't really much of an upgrade.
Since Vegas wasn't willing to give us a point spread for this game, I will just have to give one myself.
Philadelphia +3.5 at San Francisco
Eagles quarterback Kevin Kolb
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I realize that Michael Vick was on a hot streak and made this entire Eagles offense look brilliant.
But am I the only one who also thinks Kevin Kolb can take the reigns of this one with confidence?
The 49ers are struggling to be the favorite they were to win the division and the Eagles are right up there with the best in the entire NFC in my opinion.
Even without Michael Vick.
If Philly doesn't win it would surprise me. If they don't at least cover the spread, I will be outright shocked.
Green Bay -2.5 at Washington
Redskins running back Ryan Torain
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Alright class, here's a question for you.
What does Mike Shanahan specialize in?
If you answered taking a no-name running back and turning him into a star, you answered correct.
And that is exactly what is happening right now with Ryan Torain.
I mean, did anyone else see him flatten the Eagles defender on his way to scoring that first touchdown?
Still, the Packers are one of the best teams in the NFL so the Redskins may not win this one.
But I like to think they can at least keep it close enough to cover.
Chicago -2.5 at Carolina
Panthers quarterback Jimmy Clausen
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Chicago was showing signs of hope as they started the season 3-0 before facing a relentless New York Giants defense and were brought back down to the level of mediocrity which they belong.
And while the Panthers aren't much better, they at least showed us they can hang right in there with the best of them.
The best being the defending Super Bowl champion New Orleans Saints.
Jimmy Clausen looked pretty good this past Sunday and I honestly just see this Panthers team having more weapons all around than the Bears.
I expect a very close game here even if the Panthers lose.
But I could easily see the Panthers pulling this one off.
Tennessee +6.5 at Dallas
Titans quarterback Vince Young
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Even though part of me hated it, I was right about the Titans last week against Denver.
That doesn't mean that I think Tennessee is a bust, though.
This Titans team still has a lot of weapons at the helm.
And while Dallas definitely has the talent to win this one, I see Tennessee surprising a few Cowboys fans.
The Titans may not win this game straight up, they will keep it within the 6.5 point spread to cover.
Atlanta -6.5 at Cleveland
Browns wide receiver Josh Cribbs
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If I didn't know any better, I'd say this Browns team just upset the Cincinnati Bengals last week.
I'd also say they were finally starting to show some signs of life with Peyton Hillis at running back and Josh Cribbs who is capable of playing just about any position on the field.
Luckily I know better and I still think Atlanta will win.
But don't be shocked when this Browns team has Falcons fans biting their nails by keeping it too close for comfort.
Kansas City +8 at Indianapolis
Chiefs quarterback Matt Cassel
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You know how you will be reading an article and you might agree with just about everything except for that one opinion or pick that just seems out of place?
Well here is my pick that might seem a little out of place.
This Chiefs team is 3-0 coming off the bye week and no one can say "They haven't played any good teams yet."
They beat San Francisco and San Diego.
This week against Indianapolis is without a doubt the toughest game thus far for the Chiefs, and I am not sure if they can pull this one off or not.
But I definitely think they can keep it within 8 to cover.
Minnesota +4 at NY Jets
Vikings wide receiver Randy Moss
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Randy Moss is about to play the Jets for the second time this season and may have a slightly different approach this time around.
Though it will likely take some time to learn the playbook and get the chemistry down, make no mistake that Moss is excited about going back to his original team to play with Brett Favre.
Whether or not Moss is ready, you can bet Favre will look his way plenty of times with some hope that Moss will be better than what he had to work with before hand.
Still, this Jets team has a stingy defense so Minnesota has their work cut out for them to get the win.
But keeping it within 4 is definitely reasonable for this Vikings team.