NFL Picks Week 5: Breaking Down the Lines for Each Game

Bailey Brautigan@BBrautiganFeatured ColumnistOctober 5, 2010

NFL Picks Week 5: Breaking Down the Lines for Each Game

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    GREEN BAY, WI - OCTOBER 03: Jahvid Best #44 of the Detroit Lions moves to avoid Cullen Jenkins #77 and A.J. Hawk #50 of the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on October 3, 2010 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The Packers defeated the Lions 28-26. (Photo by Jona
    Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

    It's that time of the week again! Week 4 of NFL football wrapped up last night with the Patriots dominating the Dolphins in New England's first road win of the season, and we're on to Week 5.

    This week promises some great matchups with very few convincing favorites. Some teams will be going through changes this week, and this Sunday will make for another exciting weekend in the NFL.

    So which teams will add yet another win to their records?

    And which underdogs will pull off the upsets?

    Read on to find out!

Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills

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    ORCHARD PARK, NY - OCTOBER 03: Ryan Fitzpatrick #14  of the Buffalo Bills gets a pass off with pressure from Jim Leonard #36 of the New York Jets   at Ralph Wilson Stadium on October 3, 2010 in Orchard Park, New York. The Jets won 38-14. (Photo by Rick St
    Rick Stewart/Getty Images

    Line: Jags at -1

    Take the Points: I think the Bills have a shot at getting their first win of the season when they host the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 5.

    The Bills have the burden of being in such a strong division, and they haven’t exactly had the easiest opponents so far this season.  Even though the Jags will be coming off a big win over the Colts, I’m going with the Buffalo Bills on this one.

    Final Score: Jaguars 17, Bills 24

Denver Broncos at Baltimore Ravens

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    PITTSBURGH - OCTOBER 03: Joe Flacco #5 of the Baltimore Ravens throws a pass behind LaMarr Woodley #56 of the Pittsburgh Steelers on October 3, 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Baltimore won the game 17-14. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty I
    Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

    Line: Ravens at -7

    Give the Points: I’m really liking the Broncos this season (especially with the way Kyle Orton has been playing), but it is really hard for me to pick against the Ravens at home.

    Joe Flacco is visibly becoming more comfortable at the quarterback position, and he proved last week against the Steelers that he can perform in the clutch. I’ll give the Ravens the points this game.

    Final Score: Broncos 14, Ravens 28

Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts

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    JACKSONVILLE, FL - OCTOBER 03:  Quarterback Peyton Manning #18 of the Indianapolis Colts throws while taking on the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Field on October 3, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida. The Jaguars won 31-28.  (Photo by Marc Serota/Getty Ima
    Marc Serota/Getty Images

    Line: Colts at -8.5

    Give the Points: I know you Chiefs fans hate me by now, and this pick will not help my case. But I simply cannot bring myself to pick the Chiefs over the Colts.

    Indy has had a sort of Jekyll and Hyde season, and we’re not exactly sure which Colts squad will show up on Sunday. But I think they’ll beat the Chiefs. With the points.

    Final Score: Chiefs 21, Colts 31

St. Louis Rams at Detroit Lions

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    DETROIT - SEPTEMBER 19: Jahvid Best #44 of the Detroit Lions scores on a 75 yard pass from Shaun Hill #14 during the second quarter of the game against the Philadelphia Eagles at Ford Field on September 19, 2010 in Detroit, Michigan.  (Photo by Leon Halip
    Leon Halip/Getty Images

    Line: Lions at -3

    Give the Points: I am so excited to see the Detroit Lions get their first win this season when they host the Rams. The Lions have lost in close games all season, and they have held their own with the rest of their strong division.

    I expect the Lions to show us why we were talking about them so much in the offseason.

    Final Score: Rams 20, Lions 27

Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns

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    CLEVELAND - OCTOBER 03:  Running back Peyton Hillis #40 of the Cleveland Browns is tackled by defenders Keith Rivers #55 and Rey Maualuga #58 of the Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns Stadium on October 3, 2010 in Cleveland, Ohio.  (Photo by Matt Sull
    Matt Sullivan/Getty Images

    Line: Falcons at -3

    Take the Points:  That’s right, Browns fans. You’re not dreaming.  I’m picking your team two weeks in a row.  

    The Falcons are coming off a close win over the winless 49ers, but the Browns were much more impressive in their victory over the Cincinnati Bengals. Matt Ryan looks a little out of his element when he goes on the road, and I expect Atlanta to have trouble against the tough defense and rush offense of all the teams in the AFC North.

    Final Score: Falcons 21, Browns 24

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals

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    CLEVELAND - OCTOBER 03:  Wide receiver Terrell Owens #81 of the Cincinnati Bengals catches a pass in front of Joe Haden #23 of the Cleveland Browns at Cleveland Browns Stadium on October 3, 2010 in Cleveland, Ohio.  (Photo by Matt Sullivan/Getty Images)
    Matt Sullivan/Getty Images

    Line: Bengals at -6.5

    Give the Points: Even though the Bucs started their season strong and the Bengals had a tough loss to the Cleveland Browns, I think the AFC North is the strongest division in the NFL (and it’s not just because I’m a Steelers fan).

    Terrell Owens had a great game with 10 receptions for 222 yards in Week 4 against the Browns, and if Carson Palmer can step it up a bit accuracy wise, this shouldn’t be much of a contest.

    Final Score: Buccaneers 10, Bengals 24

Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers

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    EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 03:  Jay Cutler #6 of the Chicago Bears gets chased by Osi Umenyiora #72 of the New York Giants at New Meadowlands Stadium on October 3, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images)
    Chris McGrath/Getty Images

    Line: Bears at -3

    Give the Points: The Bears started the season with an unlikely undefeated record, pulling out wins any way that they could, but they eventually fell to the New York Giants. The Panthers…

    Well, they’re the Panthers.

    Don’t get me wrong here. A near-win over the New Orleans Saints is pretty impressive (or at least it would have been had every other one of New Orleans’ opponents not already accomplished this feat), but I think the Bears will find a way to win this one.

    Final Score: Bears 27, Panthers 21

Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins

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    PHILADELPHIA - OCTOBER 03:  Donovan McNabb #5 of the Washington Redskins celebrates after throwing a first quater touchdown pass against the Philadelphia Eagles on October 3, 2010 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Jim Mc
    Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

    Line: Packers at -2.5

    Take the Points:  What can I say? I’m liking the Redskins this year. They’ve had a slow start, but I think this team has what it takes to fight to the top of the NFC East.

    The Packers are coming off a close win over the Lions, and I think this will be another close game. But I’ll take the points and the Redskins at home.

    Final Score: Packers 24, Redskins 27

New York Giants at Houston Texans

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    HOUSTON - SEPTEMBER 26:  Running back Arian Foster #23 of the Houston Texans rushes against the Dallas Cowboys in the second quarter at Reliant Stadium on September 26, 2010 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
    Bob Levey/Getty Images

    Give the Points: The Texans are the better team. Period. They are second in the league in total offense and first in rushing offense.

    The Giants, on the other hand, have trouble defending against the run, and even with a win over the Bears, they won’t leave Houston with the W.

    Final Score: Giants 21, Texans 31

New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals

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    NEW ORLEANS - OCTOBER 03:  Quarterback Drew Brees #9 of the New Orleans Saints passes against the Carolina Panthers at the Louisiana Superdome on October 3, 2010 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
    Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

    Line: Saints at -7

    Take the Points:  As soon as the Saints beat somebody by at least a touchdown, I’ll be happy to give them the points against a weak opponent.

    But their biggest win was over Minnesota in Week 1 by five points.

    The Saints will get the win, but it will be closer than this.

    Final Score: Saints 24, Cardinals 20

San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders

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    SAN DIEGO - OCTOBER 03:  Quarterback Philip Rivers of the San Diego Chargers calls signals against the Arizona Cardinals at Qualcomm Stadium on October 3, 2010 in San Diego, California.   The Chargers won 41-10.  (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)
    Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

    Line: Chargers at -6

    Give the Points: The Chargers are first in the league in total offense, and the Raiders will need a miracle to end the season with a winning record.

    That being said, when the Raiders host the Chargers, anything could happen. The Bolts will cover, but this won’t be a blowout.

    Final Score: Chargers 27, Raiders 17

Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys

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    NASHVILLE, TN - OCTOBER 03:  Vince Young #10 of the Tennessee Titans drops back to pass against the Denver Broncos during the first half at LP Field on October 3, 2010 in Nashville, Tennessee.  (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)
    Grant Halverson/Getty Images

    Line: Cowboys at -6.5

    Take the Points: The Boys are coming off a big win and a bye, but I’m not quite convinced that Dallas is the Super Bowl contender that everyone thought they were in the preseason.

    And I’m getting really sick of people underestimating the Tennessee Titans. They have yet to be blown out, and both of their losses came from some very tough opponents (It is OKAY to lose to the Pittsburgh Steelers!).

    Final Score: Titans 31, Cowboys 27

Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers

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    ATLANTA - OCTOBER 03:  Head coach Mike Singletary of the San Francisco 49ers questions a call during the game against the Atlanta Falcons at Georgia Dome on October 3, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
    Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

    Line: 49ers at -3.5

    Give the Points: If the Eagles were starting Michael Vick, I might have a different opinion on this game, but he’s out for at least this week. And Kevin Kolb hasn’t proved that he can be a legitimate threat on the Eagles’ offense.

    The Niners aren’t looking so hot this season, but I still think that they are a great football team. I expect them to get their first win of the season at home in Week 5.

    Final Score: Eagles 17, 49ers 27

Minnesota Vikings at New York Jets

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    PHILADELPHIA - SEPTEMBER 02:  Trevard Lindley #35 and Macho Harris #24 of the Philadelphia Eagles take down Santonio Holmes #10 of the New York Jets in a preseason game at Lincoln Financial Field on September 2, 2010 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.  (Photo
    Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images

    Line: Jets at -4

    Give the Points: Two words:

    Santonio. Holmes.

    That’s right, Jets fans. Your most explosive offensive threat has yet to play a game, and he will make his debut during Week 5’s edition of Monday Night Football.

    I don’t exactly know what’s going on with the Vikings this season, and I don’t expect this to even be a contest.

    Final Score: Vikings 13, Jets 24