NFL Picks Week 4: The Ravens Will Cover The Spread and Win Outright Vs. Steelers
Week 3 against the spread record: 5-2
Overall against the spread record: 15-7
Last week I didn't look too bad.
I'm proud to say I called the Atlanta upset of New Orleans, along with four of the seven other games I picked against the spread.
You know what that means?
That means if you bet on every game I picked, you won money!
This week, Vegas gives us plenty of games for you to consider going against the spread on.
Here are the spreads for each game, but only eight made my list this week.
Denver at Tennessee: Tennessee -6.5
Baltimore at Pittsburgh: Pittsburgh -1
Cincinnati at Cleveland: Cincinnati -3
Detroit at Green Bay: Green Bay -14.5
Carolina at New Orleans: New Orleans -13.5
San Francisco at Atlanta: Atlanta -7
Seattle at St. Louis: Seattle -1
NY Jets at Buffalo: NY Jets -5.5
Indianapolis at Jacksonville: Indianapolis -7.5
Houston at Oakland: Houston -3
Arizona at San Diego: San Diego -8.5
Washington at Philadelphia: Philadelphia -6
Chicago at NY Giants: NY Giants -4
New England at Miami: New England -1
Seattle (-1) at St. Louis
Seattle looked pretty good against San Diego last week.
Especially when Leon Washington went crazy, running back two kicks for touchdowns.
Unfortunately, you can't bank on kick returns to win you the game: Just ask the Bears or Browns.
St. Louis is coming off a strong win themselves against Washington last week, and even with Steven Jackson questionable for this game, I like St. Louis to upset two weeks in a row and beat the Seahawks.
Arizona (+8.5) at San Diego
San Diego is so hard to pick right now.
They can't figure out if they are the AFC West champions that we thought they were or if they are going to bust and let Kansas City or Denver dethrone them.
In all honesty, I can't see them losing to the Cardinals.
But the Chargers just lost to Seattle and lost to Kansas City in Week 1.
What the heck?
Look for San Diego to pull off the win but Arizona to keep it within 8.5 to cover.
Denver (+6.5) at Tennessee
Call me crazy, but I like this Broncos team.
At least for the first six or seven weeks I will like them.
Denver has a habit of looking good for the first half of the season, then going downhill as they finish on a losing streak.
Tennessee definitely has the ability to win this game by the 6.5-point spread.
But I like to think there is a higher probability of Denver at least keeping it within the spread to cover or possibly even win.
Chicago (+4) at NY Giants
Is anyone else seeing this one as just plain wrong?
The Chicago Bears are 3-0.
The Giants are 1-2 after losing to Tennessee last week and Indianapolis before that.
I'm not saying the Bears are about to go undefeated and win the Super Bowl.
I'm not even saying they will win the division.
But I am definitely saying this Bears team can keep this game within the four-point spread if they don't actually beat the Giants.
Detroit (+14.5) at Green Bay
In my opinion, the Detroit Lions should be 2-1 this season.
Alas, my opinion doesn't change anything.
The Lions are 0-3, but they have been able to put up points rather impressively this season.
I admit I was wrong about them last week against Minnesota, but I can't jump ship on them yet.
Green Bay is definitely a great team and will likely win this game.
I just think Detroit can keep it within 14.5 points.
San Francisco (+7) at Atlanta
San Francisco was picked to win the NFC West for a reason.
Granted, they haven't showed it much recently, but they are still a good team and proved it by hanging right in there with the New Orleans Saints two weeks ago.
Atlanta finished what San Francisco couldn't against those Saints this past Sunday in an overtime thriller.
Nonetheless, I believe the 49ers have what it takes to upset this Atlanta team or at least cover the seven-point spread.
Washington (+6) at Philadelphia
This game has the same dramatic feel of Brett Favre's return to Lambeau Field last season, and we remember what happened then, right?
Donovan McNabb wants to win this game more than any one else on either team.
You can bet he will not let anything stop him from showcasing the talent the Eagles lost when they traded him to the Redskins.
And though Michael Vick and the Eagles definitely look good enough to win this one, I can't imagine McNabb and the Redskins letting it get too out of hand.
Look for the 'Skins to at least cover, if not upset their quarterback's former team.
Baltimore (+1) at Pittsburgh
Boy, did Charlie Batch and the Pittsburgh Steelers go off on Tampa Bay last week.
Boy,did Anquan Boldin and the Ravens look good against Cleveland.
The common denominator here is they both played less-than-average teams.
Batch looked great against the Bucs defense, but don't count on that same production against this Ravens defense.
The Steelers are ready for Big Ben to come back to an undefeated team.
But I'm calling the Steelers to be 3-1 when Roethlisberger comes back, with these Ravens giving them that one loss this Sunday.