NFL Picks Week 4: Predicting the Five Biggest Upsets of the Week

Elias TrejoSenior Analyst IISeptember 30, 2010

NFL Picks Week 4: Predicting the Five Biggest Upsets of the Week

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    FOXBORO, MA - SEPTEMBER 26:  Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots reacts after running the ball for a first down against the Buffalo Bills in the second half at Gillette Stadium on September 26, 2010 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jim Rogash/Ge
    Jim Rogash/Getty Images

    It's that time, once again, for me to pick the five best upsets of the week. Last week, I selected four out of five games right. That makes my record for the season 11-4, which is an upset in itself. I expect eventually my magic will run out, and I'll eventually end with a .500 record.

    I had a couple lucky plays bail me out during last week's games. I picked the Falcons and Bears to win their games, and I needed a little luck to get those right.

    The Chargers' poor special teams play made my Seahawks pick a lock, and the Cowboys made me look smart for picking them as well.

    I was way off when I picked Tampa Bay to beat the Steelers, and I've learned my lesson never to pick against the Steelers again.

    This week there are some interesting matchups, but not many matchups where I think the underdog has a great chance of winning.

    Let's take a look at the five games that I think will result in a winner that probably shouldn't have won.

Raiders Defeat Texans

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    OAKLAND, CA - JANUARY 03:  Nnamdi Asomugha #21 of the Oakland Raiders in action against the Baltimore Ravens during an NFL game at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on January 3, 2010 in Oakland, California.  (Photo by Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images)
    Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images

    The last time the Houston Texans visited the Oakland Raiders, it wasn't a happy trip. The Raiders defeated the Texans in Oakland.

    This week both teams are coming off a loss and both must win this game. Houston's offense is very impressive, but their best receiver, Andre Johnson, may not be 100 percent. That may not matter anyways, since Nnamdi Asomugha will be lined up against him.

    If Jet's cornerback Darrelle Revis has his own island, then Asomugha, who is the best cornerback in the NFL, must have his own planet.

    Expect Johnson to get lost in Planet Asomugha, 25 percent of which is covered by water and the other 75 percent is covered by Nnamdi.

    Last season, the Raiders upset two playoff teams at home, and the Raiders look like a better team this year.

    Raiders win 27-24 on a last second field goal by Sebastian Janikowski.

Giants Over Bears

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    EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - SEPTEMBER 26:  Eli Manning #10 of the New York Giants drops back against the Tennessee Titans at New Meadowlands Stadium on September 26, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Titans defeated the Giants 29 - 10. (Photo by Andrew B
    Andrew Burton/Getty Images

    The Bears are the last undefeated team in the NFC, and the Giants are still trying to lick their wounds from the last two games they played. They've been outscored 67-24 by two AFC South teams.

    Meanwhile, the Bears have been impressive. They barely escaped the Lions thanks to a rule that makes Snooki from the Jersey Shore look smart.

    Anyways, don't expect the last undefeated team in the NFC to hold that title too long after this week.

    The Giants should take care of business at home, and their pass rush will be too much for the Bears to handle.

    The Giants win 27-17, as Jay Cutler throws three interceptions and gets sacked five times.

Bills Over Jets

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    FOXBORO, MA - SEPTEMBER 26:  Patrick Chung #25 of the New England Patriots brings down Roscoe Parrish #11 of the Buffalo Bills in the second half at Gillette Stadium on September 26, 2010 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)
    Jim Rogash/Getty Images

    Mark Sanchez is coming off two very good performances against the Dolphins and the Patriots. Can Sanchez pull three in a row against a divisional opponent?

    I'm going to say no. As a matter of fact, I'm going to predict Ryan Fitzpatrick will out-perform Sanchez in Buffalo.

    The Bills played the Patriots closer than many thought they would, and I think they are ready to record their first win of the season.

    They'll get plenty of help from some of the best fans in the league.

    Bills win 20-17 as Sanchez throws a late interception to seal the deal for the Bills.

Rams Over Seahawks

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    ST. LOUIS - SEPTEMBER 26: Sam Bradford #8 of the St. Louis Rams passes against the Washington Redskins at the Edward Jones Dome on September 26, 2010 in St. Louis, Missouri.  The Rams beat the Redskins 30-16.  (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)
    Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images

    Sam Bradford is looking like he could have a very bright future in the NFL soon. The Seahawks are coming off an impressive win over the Chargers, but that was at home.

    Seattle has a great advantage when they play at home, but this week they visit the Rams. The Seahawks struggle when they play away from Seattle, and I expect that to be the case this week against the Rams.

    Look for Stephen Jackson and Bradford to move the ball well against Seattle.

    This should be a close game, but Bradford should help lead the Rams to victory. He continues to look better every week and that is all you can ask of a rookie.

    Rams win 17-10 as Mark Clayton comes up with a big catch late in the fourth to take the lead.

Ravens Over Steelers

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    EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - SEPTEMBER 13:  Ray Lewis #52 of the Baltimore Ravens reacts after a play against the New York Jets during the Jets home opener at the New Meadowlands Stadium on September 13, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Jim McIsaa
    Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

    I predicted that the Steelers would go 2-2 without Big Ben. I've been very wrong so far, but I do expect them to lose once. Since they are 3-0, I'll have to pick the Ravens to win this game, sorry Spencer.

    This should be a game every football fan should want to watch. It has all the making of an instant classic: hard hits, great defense, and emotional players.

    This game will surprise everyone and be a very low scoring game. Look for both defenses to flex their muscles and keep each offense on their heels.

    I expect a big game from Ray Lewis and the Ravens defense. They should give Charlie Batch more than he can handle; this isn't the Bucs.

    Ravens win 6-3 in a low-scoring, hard-hitting game.

Make Your Picks

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    CHARLOTTE, NC - SEPTEMBER 26:  Chad Ochocinco #85 of the Cincinnati Bengals during their game against the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium on September 26, 2010 in Charlotte, North Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
    Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

    Last week, nobody was able to beat me in their weekly picks. I went 4-1, which was good for the best record of the week.

    Remember to not only disagree with my picks, but pick five upsets of your own. Also, remember that upsets are wins from a team that really wasn't expected to win.

    Good luck to all the challengers. I will post the winner of the Upset Picks Challenge in next week's article if their record is better than mine. Until then, I have the title of "Upset Jesus." Who will take my belt next week?

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