NFL Picks Week 3: Games Worth Betting Against the Spread

Stephen KasperCorrespondent ISeptember 23, 2010

NFL Picks Week 3: Games Worth Betting Against The Spread

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    Jets running back Ladainian TomlinsonAndrew Burton/Getty Images

    Week 2 against the spread record: 5-3     Overall record: 10-5

    We saw last week that Vegas doesn't always get the game lines right.

    Which only goes to show you how unpredictable football is, and isn't that why we love football in the first place?

    Many games this week have the potential to be just as unpredictable and even Vegas looks a little confused in a few of their picks.

    Nonetheless, they put out their picks with full faith in their prediction.

    But which games are their faith misplaced in?

    Here are the spreads for each game:

    Tennessee at New York Giants: Giants -3

    Buffalo at New England: New England -14

    Cleveland at Baltimore: Baltimore -10.5

    Pittsburgh at Tampa: Pittsburgh -2.5

    Cincinnati at Carolina: Cincinnati -3

    Atlanta at New Orleans: New Orleans -3.5

    San Francisco at Kansas City: San Francisco -3

    Detroit at Minnesota: Minnesota -11.5

    Dallas at Houston: Houston -3

    Washington at St Louis: Washington -3.5

    Philadelphia at Jacksonville: Philadelphia -3

    Indianapolis at Denver: Indianapolis -5.5

    San Diego at Seattle: San Diego -5.5

    Oakland at Arizona: Arizona -4.5

    New York Jets at Miami: Miami -2

    Green Bay at Chicago: Green Bay -3

Oakland +4.5 at Arizona

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    Raiders quarterback Bruce GradkowskiEzra Shaw/Getty Images

    Boy did the Cardinals show us how much they miss not only Kurt Warner, but Karlos Dansby as well.

    This Cardinals team is far from the team they were two years ago.

    On the flip side, Bruce Gradkowski, the man who should have started not only the first two weeks of this season but all of last season as well, will be behind center.

    This Raiders team still needs a lot of help, but they are showing more improvement than the defending NFC West champions right now.

    If the Raiders don't win this one, I will be shocked. But if they don't at least cover the spread, I will be speechless.

Tennessee +3 at New York Giants

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    Titans running back Chris JohnsonGrant Halverson/Getty Images

    Amidst the fact that Vince Young was pulled last week against the Steelers, who ever is playing quarterback for Tennessee is the least of the worries for the New York Giants.

    Last week against the Colts, the Giants allowed over 160 total rushing yards from Joseph Addai and Donald Brown.

    No offense to either of those guys, but they aren't Chris Johnson.

    My gut feeling tells me the Titans will win this game.

    But worst case scenario, they at least cover the three point spread in what will likely be a high scoring game.

New York Jets +2 at Miami

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    Jets running back LaDainian TomlinsonAndrew Burton/Getty Images

    Well, well, well.

    LT still has some gas left in the tank after all.

    Whether is the running game, the passing game or the dominant defense, the entire Jets team is starting to click and show us they are a far better team than last year.

    Miami beat Minnesota last week, but it wasn't exactly a pretty game.

    The Jets are an in-your-face smash-mouth football team that, in my opinion, could go very far this season.

    Why on earth Miami is actually favored to win this game is beyond me.

    The Jets should easily win this one.

    If not, it will be a loss by only one or two points to cover the spread.

Indianapolis -5.5 at Denver

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    Broncos wide receiver Damaryius ThomasDoug Pensinger/Getty Images

    This one, I admit, is debatable.

    However Denver looked mighty impressive last week with their passing game coming to life against the Seahawks.

    Granted, Seattle can't be compared to Indianapolis, I just get the feeling Indy will underestimate this Denver team and they will surprise a lot of people.

    I could see Denver possibly upsetting the Colts, but what I realistically see is Denver giving this Indianapolis team a good scare and covering the 5.5 point spread.

Dallas +3 at Houston

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    Cowboys wide receiver Dez BryantRonald Martinez/Getty Images

    The seat under Wade Phillips has got to be burning.

    Cowboys owner Jerry Jones does not like losing, and I see this Cowboys team determined to show the NFL they are better than their current record of 0-2.

    The Texans on the other hand just came off a road game against the Redskins where, even though Matt Schaub threw for nearly 500 yards, he also took a few good licks.

    If he thought the Redskins defense came after him, this Dallas defense will light up his world.

    I see the Texans as one of the best teams in the NFL right now after beating the Colts and the Skins, but even the Super Bowl Champs have a few losses during the season.

    In specific matter, I see Dallas lining up for a last second field goal to win the game.

    And whether they hit it or not, Dallas covers against the spread here.

Detroit +11.5 at Minnesota

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    Doug Pensinger/Getty Images

    Call me crazy, but this Detroit team is good.

    And by good, I mean they will win at least five or six games this year.

    Which, in Detroit terms, is good.

    The Lions scored more points last week against Philadelphia than Minnesota scored in the first two weeks combined.

    Brett Favre is struggling to find his comfort zone and the magic that was there last year is missing.

    However, Minnesota should actually take this one.

    I just don't think it will be by more than 11.5 points.

Atlanta +3.5 at New Orleans

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    Falcons quarterback Matt RyanKevin C. Cox/Getty Images

    To me, this is the game of the week.

    The NFC South is one of the most unpredictable divisions in football.

    So unpredictable in fact, that since the division was created, no team has won the division two years in a row.

    I'm not saying New Orleans doesn't have the potential to do it.

    I'm just saying Atlanta has the potential to do it as well.

    I'm actually going with Atlanta in this one to keep it too close for comfort for a Saints fan and possibly even pulling the upset in New Orleans.