We used San Francisco in this spot last night and we will go back with the Giants again here. The victory Tuesday kept them in first place in the National League West by a half-game over San Diego and a two and half games over Colorado so every game is big at this point. San Francisco is four games over .500 on the road with five games remaining and the series following this is at San Diego which makes this matchup with the Cubs just as important as last night.
Chicago was red hot as it had won eight of its last nine games which was its best stretch of the season. As expected, heading home was not a good thing. All of those games during that winning stretch came on the road where the Cubs have a better record than at home. Also, the momentum was stalled with the day off and the bats fell apart on Tuesday. Going back to the end of July, Chicago is just 7-17 in its last 24 games at Wrigley Field showing the home field edge is no more.
The Giants go with Jonathan Sanchez tonight and he has been outstanding. He has allowed one run or less in four straight starts, posting a 0.67 ERA covering 27 innings. He has actually pitched better on the road than at home this season as he has a 2.94 ERA in 15 starts with the Giants going 10-5 in those games. He has given up just one run in his last three road games and to no surprise, San Francisco is 3-0 in those games. The Giants are 13-5 in his 18 starts at night.
The Cubs go with Randy Well and he is coming off a quality outing in his last start as he allowed only one run in eight innings against the Cardinals. The problem has been he has been unable to put any sort of run together. In his three previous quality performances, he has put up a non-quality effort in his next start and it makes it even worse considering run support has been limited. Chicago is averaging only 3.5 rpg in his 30 starts on the season including 3.47 rpg in his 17 home starts.
The Giants are 10-1 in Sanchez’ last 11 starts against teams with a losing record while the Cubs are 1-11 in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning record. Also, Chicago is 1-12 in Wells’ 13 starts this season against National League teams with an on-base percentage of .325 or worse. 3* San Francisco Giants