Fantasy Football: Is Michael Vick Overvalued Already?

Ray TannockSenior Analyst ISeptember 14, 2010

PHILADELPHIA - SEPTEMBER 12:  Michael Vick #7 of the Philadelphia Eagles rushes during a game against the Green Bay Packers at Lincoln Financial Field on September 12, 2010 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)
Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

There are now three Philadelphia Eagles beat writers who are projecting that Kevin Kolb will be scratched from this week’s matchup vs. the Detroit Lions, which has everyone racing to their keyboards to tell y’all to run out and grab Michael Vick.

The problem with this mounting news is that it’s only Tuesday; no one really knows the severity of Kolb’s injury or whether he really will sit this week.

Many managers are also wondering if he is really worth a pickup, given that QBs such as Sam Bradford and even Matt Hasselbeck are still on the waiver wire.

Vick will go up against a Lions pass defense that is currently ranked the worst in the NFL (no surprise there), but the real question is whether or not this is an accurate assessment of the Lions after just one game.

Michael Vick has electrifying speed that often blinds and cons fantasy owners into thinking his value is more than it actually is, which not only shows up in his career stats, but also his career numbers against the Lions.

Vick is a career 53.7 percent passer with his best year coming in 2004 (56.4 percent). He holds a 74:52 TD/INT ratio, which isn’t all that exciting, and is basically nothing more than a mediocre passer with really good legs.

But it doesn’t stop there.

Against the Lions, Vick is 2-2 with a 55.4 percent completion rate, five TDs, five INTs, and 208 yards rushing.

So it isn’t as if the guy has really poured it on against a team that has perpetually been horrible against the pass since…oh I don’t know...the dawn of man, it seems.

Basically he’s averaging 50 yards rushing, 200-plus passing with a TD and INT each time he faces the Lions, which, again, isn’t all that exciting.

Don’t get me wrong, it does seem enticing to go out and scoop him up, but remember, he WILL NOT become the starting QB in Philadelphia and IS NOT an elite QB capable of providing the type of fantasy points you expect from a QB.

He just doesn’t seem like a long-term option, and wasting a waiver pick on a short-term, high-risk/high-reward player seems a bit much.

If you wanna read a kooky story, check out this one about Pat White Signing With The Kansas City Royals.