What an awesome start in Week 1 where I went 6-2 (75%) and hit all four of of my *10* selections; in fact, dating back to the pre-season, I’m on an absolutely incredible 8-1 (89%) *10* NFL TOP PLAY run! And this of course comes after the fact that I finished as the #4 NFL Capper in the Nation last year, as independently documented by the Sports Watch of Las Vegas.
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It’s now time to focus on Week 2; so let’s take a closer look at the Pittsburgh Steelers who travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans.
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the home side:
Pittsburgh looked sharp on the defensive side of the ball in its 15-9 overtime win over the Atlanta Falcons last week, and it’s going to have to once again step it up on defense if it has any shot whatsoever at competing against the Titans.
Tennessee annihilated Oakland 38-13, and I firmly believe we’re going to see a similar outcome in this one.
Dating back to last season, the Steelers are in fact just 3-7 ATS their last ten on the road. Not only that, but over the last two years Pittsburgh is only 2-3 ATS vs. AFC South division opponents.
It’s also notorious to getting out to slow starts; just 2-6 ATS over the last two seasons in the month of September.
Tennessee on the other hand is a stellar 5-1 ATS over the last two years vs. AFC North division opponents; also 6-2 ATS during the month of September; 10-6 ATS in front of the home town crowd and 14-9 ATS when playing the roll of favorite.
There is no question in my mind that this line should be higher. Vince Young had one of his best days ever last week, completing 13 of 17 for 154 yards and two touchdowns; his 142.8 passer rating was the highest of his entire career.
Chris Johnson was a beast and ran for 142 yards and two TD’s, despite the Raiders focusing on him in a vain attempt to slow him down.
Dennis Dixon on the other hand was 18 of 26 for 236 yards; he gave up an INT, but at least two other passes of his could have easily been intercepted if not dropped by the Falcons.
So the bottom line is this: if the Steelers focus on the run, they are going to get burned by Young; if they look to stop the pass, well…obviously Johnson is going to torch them.
I expect another monster blowout here…consider a second look at the TENNESSEE TITANS in this situation. Be sure to Visit Touthouse.comm for more NFL football betting picks from Nick.
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