Fantasy Football: Persevere With Percy Harvin
There's nothing I love more than waking up to shocking fantasy news. This little passion of ours can be the bearer of great news or the harbinger of a season headed for disaster.
Tuesday morning was one of those mornings. For Sidney Rice owners, a waste of a 2nd or 3rd pick, while for those who gambled on Bernard Berrian late, a potentially nice steal.
Then there's the whole issue of Brett Favre. Two weeks ago we hated him and thought he may be retiring again and were cursing ourselves for taking him in our early draft leagues. Then last week he's back and we're thrilled that we loaded up on him in the 10th round! And alas, this week we're back to downgrading him with his favorite target out at least half of the year.
So what next?
Can Favre have another nice season? The "pundits" don't think so. Rice's injury is a huge blow, but I'm not ready to give up hope on this passing game just yet.
First, the ultimate positive. The diesel truck in the backfield. Arguably the best RB in the NFL is still going to tote the rock and take pressure off the old man. Last year AP had a decent workload and may be relied upon more this year. Additionally rookie Toby Gerhart should keep him fresh. Furthermore, AP should be just as active out of the backfield this year, if not more so now, and that's good news for Brent, I mean, Brett as well.
Will you take Percy Harvin this year?
There's a lot of Bernard Berrian hype now, but I'm not buying it 100%. I went to Fresno State and have followed "B-Twice" closely. He's got some game, but he's no Sidney Rice. So for those expecting him to slide seamlessly into the Rice role, you'd better temper expectations.
Can Berrian be a legit #1? I don't think so, but he is capable of putting up some big games. His speed should open the middle up more for the other guys while giving the Vikings a nice deep threat. Some may worry about him not having a rapport with Brett, but I think they'll be fine there as well. Favre targeted Berrian 92 times in 2009, second only to Rice. I'm not going to reach for Berrian in the first 5 rounds, but may take a chance on him in the 6th-8th. He could be a nice spot starter with the upside of being an every week starter. Not a bad way to go in middle rounds.
Shiancoe isn't a huge reception guy, but his numbers should go up a little now as well. I'm still not over the moon for this guy, but I do like him a little bit more with Rice out of the picture. In the red zone, Shiancoe will likely be targeted more now with the loss of the 6'4 Rice.
The next thing to consider for Brett's success is the division he plays in. He'll face some good defensive lines, but the secondaries in the NFC North are nothing to write home about. Additionally with games against 4 other teams with average secondaries (Ari, Dal, NE, NYG) that's 10 decent matchups for #4. If Brett can stay upright, which I expect him to because he's never missed a game, he should be able to put up solid numbers.
The last reason I want to give Brett my endorsement: Percy Harvin.
Let's forget about the migraines for a second. Ah yes, remember this guy? 2009 Rookie of the Year, can be used all over the field, big play potential, plays bigger than his small frame, Percy Harvin? Right now Harvin's value is at an all time low, but do not make the fatal mistake of putting him on your "do not draft" list.
No doubt, Harvin will be a headache (pun intended) for his fantasy owners because he'll be on the injury report every week. Additionally, there may be some games where he's a last second scratch and you may have to scramble. But are you going to sit there and tell me that if you knew Percy was going to play and potentially be the #1 WR in this offense, that you're not going to start him as your WR3 or flex? I didn't think so.
My point is, you're always looking for those 1 or 2 "X" factor guys that take you from fantasy mediocrity to fantasy dominance.
There's always guys that no one wants to touch that end up being spectacular. This time last year no wanted Brandon Marshall and his fit-throwing act and we all know how that went. What's similar about both situations is Marshall and Harvin are both stud talents. When in doubt, take a stud talent because more often than not, the cream rises to the top.
If you're not afraid to take a gamble on Percy, he could go down as one of the best picks in 2010.
Call me crazy, I'm used to it.
Follow John on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/PYRO_LION
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