Can The Love Fest Last: A Saber Look at R.A. Dickey
Earlier this week we had our resident sabermetrics analyst at Metszilla, The Bionicchop, harness his inner Urkel and get a good look at two of the better stories in New York baseball this season. Since we could only so much ‘mathletics’ in a day, we decided to break things up into two sections, with Part I (click here for full story) focusing on New York’s rookie left hander Jonathon Niese.
If you bow down to the sword of sabermetrics, then you had to be pleasantly pleased with the final analysis of Niese’s long term potential. The Chop crunched the numbers and came up with the following conclusion:
Niese registered a 83 PBV in June, a 109 in July and a 79 in August. Very solid #’s for a young hurler seemingly on the cusp of ace material. At the age of 23 it’s an easy assertion that he’s one of the best young pitchers in the game today. From a saber standpoint, Niese is about as sure of sure thing as you can have with a young MLB arm.”
Surely nothing is guaranteed, as we’ve seen with the Jeckyl and Hyde act that Mike Pelfrey has pulled throughout the season, but the more you watch him pitch and the more you break down his numbers, the more legit Jonathon Niese looks. Perhaps the only player to give fans more reason for cheer during this otherwise dismal season is 35-year-old knuckle baller R.A. Dickey. While The Chop had his protractor and slide rule out, we had him give Dickey’s stats a once over with the sabermetric paint brush and he was kind enough to share his 2 cents below.
Numbers from the back of the baseball card
Numbers from the Da Vinci Code
2.41 ERA / 3.79 XERA
DOM (K/9) 5.8
CTL (BB/9) 2.3
As most people in the sabermetric army know and as I pointed out in the Niese post, the above indicators help get you to one bottom line, Base Performance Value (BPV). BPV,...TO READ THE REST OF THIS POST AND OTHERS LIKE IT HEAD OVER TO METSZILLA.COM BY CLICKING HERE:
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