The hardest prediction in all sports: what to expect from an NCAA football star who goes pro.
What comes to mind is Ryan Leaf being drafted just one pick below Peyton Manning, Ben Roethlisberger becoming the first quarterback in his talented heavy class to get a ring, and Tom Brady being drafted in the sixth round.
So how do we predict what the winningest quarterback in NCAA history will do?
Surprisingly and contrary to past years, analysts are reluctant to give any drafted quarterback their blessing.
Say what you want about him, but if Tim Tebow was drafted ten years earlier, he'd be a higher first round pick.
Now, however, NFL scouts, analysts, and teams loosened their grip on the trigger-happy method of evaluating quarterbacks, which is an improvement.
However, Colt McCoy is the perfect example of the pendulum swinging the opposite way.
McCoy is better than an 85th overall draft pick.
He has a killer arm, great mechanics, and has developed a maturity in his four years as a starter for Texas.
The biggest critiques I've seen are in regards to his size and his inability to succeed with any offense other than the spread.
I mean, 6'1", 216 lbs is not that small. Sure, it's smaller than the average NFL quarterback, but his arm is, or can be, better than the average quarterback.
This isn't an issue of a weird stance, like it was with Vince Young and is with Tebow, but an issue of analysts reluctant to give any quarterback the benefit of the doubt.
Also, the maturity of McCoy gives him the ability to adapt to a different offensive scheme, work on his weaknesses, and become an NFL quarterback.
The Browns have a great pick in McCoy, who has the potential to be a franchise player.