Should These Quarterbacks Produce Big Numbers? Let's Look Closer

chuck mitchellContributor IJuly 23, 2010

INDIANAPOLIS - JANUARY 16:  Quarterback Joe Flacco #5 of the Baltimore Ravens throws the ball against the Indianapolis Colts in the AFC Divisional Playoff Game at Lucas Oli Stadium on January 16, 2010 in Indianapolis, Indiana.  (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

How important is a fantasy player’s strength of schedule? This is a common mistake that many fantasy owners make, simply because they overlook this stat. Try to avoid drafting a player because he had a great season last year without looking at his strength of schedule for this season.
The strength of schedule (SOS) is the single most valuable statistic that all fantasy owners should study. Most fantasy magazines do not provide this stat, but if you go to websites like or simply Google fantasy football 2010 strength of schedule, you’ll see it is easy to find.
Here are some surprising players you might want to avoid based on their strength of schedule. 1.) Joe Flacco. I have heard a lot of fantasy owners whispering this guy’s name in the same sentence as a “break out” player. He did look very impressive at times, even during his rookie season. Fantasy owners have failed to look at his strength of schedule. He will face the toughest strength of schedule of any quarterback this season. You might want to keep that in mind before you spend a valuable pick on him. If you’re still not convinced, his receivers will also face the toughest strength of schedule as well. This is food for thought for those who were considering drafting Anquan Boldin. Yes he is talented, but this stat is screaming “CAUTION!”
2.) Carson Palmer. Hold on a second, this guy threw for 3,094 yards with 21 touchdowns last year. Remember, we are not drafting based on last years stats alone. He will face the 3rd toughest strength of schedule this season. His receivers will also face the 4th toughest strength of schedule this season as well. Be advised.
3.) Matt Ryan. Many fantasy owner’s are expecting good things from him this season. Sure he had a little sophomore slump last season, but that is to be expected of a young quarterback. His offensive does a great job in protecting him. He has a strong running game that takes pressure off him. He also has two very reliable targets in Roddy White & Anthony Gonzalez. He also has faces the 6th toughest strength of schedule. It would be too much to expect big things from a young quarterback. Draft him with caution.
4.) Tom Brady. This one will catch many off guard. Tom Brady is no longer in the same league as Drew Brees or Peyton Manning. He no longer has the same team with Wes Welker & Randy Moss. Both of these guys have seen better days. We could all see that when Baltimore spanked them in the playoffs. Brady will be facing the 5th toughest strength of schedule this season. Based on this stat alone, he will possibly be a quarterback to avoid on draft day.
As you can see, strength of schedule is no respector of persons. Great players performance will be affected by their schedule. This is a valuable stat that can really help you determine a players worth. I have included a strength of schedule all of my readers. The graph will base teams that have the easiest schedule starting with 1. 32 will represent the hardest schedule. Study this SOS, your entire fantasy season could depend on it. Good Luck!