2011 Super Bowl Odds: NFL Training Camp Edition

We're getting closer and closer to the NFL season. Are you excited yet? I know I am.

With training camp on the horizon, and teams rounding out their rosters, many of us are thinking one thing: who's going to win Super Bowl XLV?

Some people are high on Mark Sanchez and the Jets, who took the playoffs by storm last season and nearly got to the big game.

Others like the Patriots, with Tom Brady and Randy Moss both playing for contracts. 

And you can't count out the Vikings either, who were oh-so-close to getting there last season.

Look, I'm not a psychic, but I'm pretty close. Click below to check out every team's odds to bring home the coveted Lombardi trophy.

32. St. Louis Rams

Who else did you expect to see at the bottom of this list?

Steven Jackson is a great player, but no running back could carry this train-wreck of a team to the playoffs.

The Rams may have gotten their quarterback of the future in the draft, but the future is not now. It’s looking like A.J. Feeley will be the starting QB, and he’ll be throwing to Donnie Avery and rookie Mardy Gilyard.

Good luck with that.

Odds to win it all: 100 to 1

31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

I absolutely love what Tampa Bay did in the draft. They beefed up their defensive line with Gerald McCoy and Brian Price, and bolstered their receiving corps with Mike Williams and Arrelious Benn.

I’m also a big Josh Freeman fan. But let’s not get it twisted: this is a bottom-of-the-barrel team that won’t win more than a handful of games.

Get your Heat tickets before they sell out, Buc fans.

Odds to win it all: 90 to 1

30. Buffalo Bills

Training camp is right around the corner, and we still don’t know who the Bills’ starting quarterback or running back is.

Probably not a good sign.

The Bills’ defense has a few good young pieces, including should-have-been defensive rookie-of-the-year Jairus Byrd and stud linebacker Paul Posluszny.

This, however, doesn’t amount to wins, unless you’re playing Madden 11 on rookie difficulty.

Odds to win it all: 85 to 1

29. Cleveland Browns

I know what Browns’ fans are thinking: but we’ve got Jake Delhomme now! Doesn’t that mean anything?

Short answer: no.

Look, the Browns are probably headed in the right direction. They ditched perennial losers Derek Anderson and Brady Quinn, drafted stud DBs Joe Haden and T.J.Ward, and have a loaded backfield.

But in the uber-competitive AFC North, it won’t even be close to enough to sniff a playoff berth.

Odds to win it all: 80 to 1

28. Detroit Lions

I like Matt Stafford.

I really like Calvin Johnson.

And I LOVE the Lions’ 2010 draft class, especially Ndamukong Suh, who will undoubtedly be a better pro than first overall pick Sam Bradford.

But the rest of the Lions? Not so great. If Detroit could win 6 games in 2010, I would consider their season a success. Seriously.

Odds to win it all: 75 to 1

27. Kansas City Chiefs

Of all the teams in the bottom third of this list, I think the Chiefs have the brightest future.

GM Scott Pioli worked his magic in New England from 2000 to 2008, and I think he’s planting the seeds now in Kansas City.

Pioli brought in Matt Cassel, one of the NFL’s most underrated QBs, and hit a home run this year in the draft with stud safety Eric Berry and second-round steal Dexter McCluster.

This is a team that could sniff .500 in 2010, but a playoff birth seems to be out of the question.

Odds to win it all: 60 to 1

26. Oakland Raiders

Cutting JaMarcus Russell alone moved the Raiders up a few spots on this list.

Picking up Jason Campbell didn’t hurt, either.

Oakland finally seems to be getting personnel moves right, thanks to Al Davis reportedly relinquishing some control. The Raiders have a talented backfield, a stud tight end in Zach Miller, an underrated offensive line, and a punishing defense.

The Raiders only won 5 games in 2009, but I think they can be a .500 team in 2010.

Odds to win it all: 50 to 1

25. Denver Broncos

Josh McDaniels never ceases to amaze me. You either love him or you hate him. Coincidentally, the same can be said of his new quarterback in-waiting, Tim Tebow.

Denver got rid of Brandon Marshall this off-season, who was hands down their best play-maker. Rookie Demaryius Thomas will try to pick up the slack, but he won’t come close to Marshall’s numbers.

I like Kyle Orton as a leader, but not enough to justify a higher position on this list.

Odds to win it all: 45 to 1

24. Seattle Seahawks

And the Pete Carroll era begins in Seattle.

Seahawks fans have renewed faith in their team and their aging quarterback. But should they?

I don’t know how much Matt Hasselbeck really has left. And with Seattle’s acquisition of Chargers’ QB Charlie Whitehurst, I don’t think Seattle’s front office has much of an idea, either.

Look, I like the 2010 Seahawks a little better than the 2009 Seahawks, but don’t let that get you excited. I still like the 49ers and Cardinals more in this division.

Odds to win it all: 40 to 1

23. Arizona Cardinals

Losing Kurt Warner hurts. A lot.

Arizona’s QB depth chart now looks like this:

1. Matt Leinart

2. Derek Anderson

3. John Skelton

4. Max Hall.

Let the QB controversy begin!

Is anyone buying Leinart as the starter in Week 17? How about Week 15? Week 12?

Hey, don’t get me wrong. The Cardinals have a lot of talent on this roster, including Larry Fitzgerald, Beanie Wells,Darnell Docket, and Adrian Wilson. But losing Karlos Dansby and Anquan Boldin is going to hurt (not quite as much as Leinart starting).

Beating out the 49ers for a playoff spot would be reason to celebrate.

Odds to win it all: 38 to 1

22. Chicago Bears

Glory glory hallelujah, Mike Martz is here to save the offense!

I’m not saying that the Bears will be the greatest show on turf 2.0, but they will certainly be better with Mike Martz calling the shots.

Devin Hester, Johnny Knox and company seem to fit the prototypical small receiver build that Martz does well with. If Matt Forte can return to 2008 form, Chicago’s offense could take flight.

Not to mention Julius Peppers is coming to town. I don’t see them making the playoffs in the NFC North, but they will make more noise than last year.

Odds to win it all: 36 to 1

21 Jacksonville Jaguars

I think 2010 is a make-or-break season for David Garrard. After an 8-8 campaign last year, the pressure is on in Jacksonville.

Maurice Jones-Drew can only do so much for this squad. The Jaguars’ defense is very underrated,and scoring on them is no picnic, especially in Jacksonville.

If Garrard can play game-manager relatively well in 2010, the Jaguars have a legitimate shot at the playoffs (as long as Jones-Drew stays healthy). Super Bowl aspirations,though, are on hold for the time being.

Odds to win it all: 35 to 1

20. Washington Redskins

Let the great Donovan McNabb experiment begin!

Mike Shanahan has taken over as Washington’s head coach, and he seems to have taken the 2006 Pro-Bowl roster with him (Willie Parker, Donovan McNabb, Larry Johnson, and incumbent Clinton Portis).

Can Washington really compete in the beast that is the NFC East? They’ve got the quarterback and coach to do it, but I’m just not convinced that the rest of the roster is good enough.

Odds to win it all: 32 to 1

19. Miami Dolphins

Other than the Jets, no team has made more moves in the offseason than the Dolphins.

Bringing in Brandon Marshall should do wonders for second-year quarterback Chad Henne, and provide him with the security blanket that every young QB needs.

Adding beastly former Cardinals linebacker Karlos Dansby to their already stout defense should scare the rest of the division.The run-game is solid as well, as long as Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams can stay fresh and healthy.

Is Henne good enough to lead Miami to the postseason? He very well might be. Can he carry them to a Super Bowl? Certainly not.

Odds to win it all: 30 to 1

18. San Francisco 49ers

For the first time in a long time, I feel very confident in saying that the 49ers will make it to the postseason.

Alex Smith looked solid last season, thriving as a starter in the second half of the season. Frank Gore quietly put up quality numbers yet again, and Vernon Davis emerged as an elite NFL tight end.

I like this team, but I don't love them. Winning the NFC West really amounts to nothing once the playoffs start.

The 49ers are a young, growing team, but expect some serious growing pains once the playoffs start.

Odds to win it all: 30 to 1

17. Carolina Panthers

Run-first teams are a rarity in today’s pass-happy NFL.Teams don’t seem to be as patient as they used to.

But not Carolina.

The Panthers are more than happy to grind it out, and with Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams in the backfield, why not?

Carolina is handing the reigns over to Matt Moore this year after cutting Jake Delhomme in the offseason. If Moore can manage the game well and limit his turnovers, Carolina’s run game and defense could carry them to the playoffs.

But a Super Bowl? I’m not convinced.

Odds to win it all: 28 to 1

16. Philadelphia Eagles

Let the great Kevin Kolb experiment begin!

The Donovan McNabb era is officially over in Philly after 10 years of winning records but little playoff success. The Eagles have an awful lot of faith in Kolb after just 2 starts.

I’m not saying I don’t believe in Andy Reid, but I don’t really don’t know what Kevin Kolb can do for your team that Donovan McNabb can’t.

Their defense and improved run-game could take them to the  playoffs, plus they have that DeSean Jackson guy, who seems to make the occasional big play.

I sort-of like the Eagles, but I don’t trust them farther than I can throw them.

Odds to win it all: 28 to 1

15. Houston Texans

Don’t look now, but I think Matt Schaub is becoming an elite quarterback.

Schaub played an entire season for the first time in 2009, and he was simply amazing. He racked up 29 touchdowns, 4,770 yards, and a QB rating of 98.6 (healthy temperature and QB rating).

Houston’s offense was prolific last season, and I expect more of the same in 2010. If the Texans’ defense can keep up, the Houston Texans could get to the playoffs for the first time ever.

Anything beyond a playoff berth would be a miracle.

Odds to win it all: 26 to 1

14. Cincinnati Bengals

How much do I trust Carson Palmer and the Bengals? As much as I trust my bookie.

Their playoff performance against a Jets team led by a rookie QB was abysmal.

And once again, the Bengals seem to be in the news for all the wrong reasons this offseason.

Chad Ochocinco danced, pleaded for Terrell Owens, and is in the process of boring VH1 viewers with his awful new reality dating show.

After a terrific 2009 season, Cedric Benson is facing a possible suspension.

This is a team with too many questions, so here’s my answer: steer clear of Cincinnati. 

Odds to win it all: 25 to 1

13. Atlanta Falcons

The 2009 Falcons were a bit of a disappointment. After Matt Ryan led Atlanta to the playoffs as a rookie in 2008, he dropped off a bit,turning the ball over 17 times and losing 5 road games.

But his QB rating and completion percentage both went up, very encouraging signs for a young QB.

Michael Turner was also a bit of a disappointment, struggling to get in the end zone and appearing pretty out of shape. But 2010 is a new year, and there is hope for this team.

10 wins would be tremendous for this team, and it’s easily within reach. A deep playoff run, however, seems to be out of reach.

Odds to win it all: 22 to 1

12. New York Giants

The Giants are a tough team to call. They got off to a hot start last season, and it looked like they would stroll to a playoff berth.

Four straight losses followed their five straight wins, though, and they never recovered. Their defense fell apart, and their offense sputtered.

2010 is a new year though, and I really believe that anything is possible for this squad. A division title wouldn’t surprise me, but neither would a sub .500 record.

Eli Manning is better than you think he is, and so are New York’s receivers. Don’t sleep on the Giants, but don’t bet on them either.

Odds to win it all: 20 to 1

11. Tennessee Titans

Now that Chris Johnson’s contract situation is taken care of, Titans’ fans can shift their worries to Vince Young.

Young was great as a starter last season, taking over for Kerry Collins and leading the Titans to an 8-2 record down the stretch. With a full season as a starter on the horizon,the sky is the limit for Young.

But can he handle it? As good as Chris Johnson is, there’s no possible way he can duplicate his stats from 2009. And the Titans receivers are unproven to say the least.

They do have a great coach in Jeff Fisher, and a solid, tough-nosed defense. A playoff berth is well within reach, but a Super Bowl win is out of the question.

Odds to win it all: 18 to 1

10. Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers crack my top ten despite trading away their best receiver and being forced to play 4-6 games without their starting quarterback.

If Pittsburgh can manage to win at least half of their games without Big Ben, they’ll be in good shape to make the playoffs.

Willie Parker is gone, meaning 2010 is Rashard Mendenhall’s time to shine. And I think he’s more than capable of carrying the load.

If Pittsburgh’s receivers can make up for Santonio’s absence, I can see the Steelers making a serious run at the Lombardi Trophy.

Good coaching and good defense will get you a long way in the playoffs, and Pittsburgh has both.

Odds to win it all: 15 to 1

9. New York Jets

I love me some Rex Ryan. He’s exactly what a New York NFL coach should be. He’s transformed the Jets from New York’s other football team into the headliner.

The Jets had the loudest offseason in the NFL, picking up LaDainian Tomlinson, Santonio Holmes, and Jason Taylor, to name a few.

Quarterback Mark Sanchez now has a year of experience under his belt, not to mention 2 playoff victories.

I like what they’re building in New York, but I don’t see it all coming together as well as last season.

Odds to win it all: 12 to 1

8. San Diego Chargers

Hey look, it’s the Chargers! The team everyone thinks has a legitimate shot at the Super Bowl every year, but seems to come up short.

Well guess what? I’m not buying San Diego in 2010.

When your team is only in the news for the wrong reasons, things aren’t exactly great. The Chargers ditched the best player in the history of their franchise (LaDainian Tomlinson) and replaced him with a rookie (Ryan Mathews).

Their best offensive lineman (Marcus McNeill) is holding out for more money. Their best receiver (Vincent Jackson) is too, plus he’s suspended for three games.

Ouch.

I will give them this, though: their head coach (Norv Turner) is underrated, Philip Rivers might be a top-5 QB, and their defense is better-than-good. So they’ve got to be a top-ten team on this list.

If I were a betting man, though, I wouldn’t touch the Chargers with a ten-foot pole.

Odds to win it all: 11 to 1

7. Green Bay Packers

After a heartbreaking end to their 2009 campaign, Green Bay should be hungry, mad, and ready to get at it in 2010.

Aaron Rodgers has been better than good since Brett Favre left, retired, signed with the Jets, left, retired, and signed with the Vikings.

Rodgers' receivers are solid, he has an emerging tight end in Jermichael Finley, and I think Ryan Grant is due for a huge season in 2010.

Green Bay’s defense really is underrated. Their linebacking corps is full of playmakers, and their secondary was good in 2009, with the obvious exception of their wild-card meltdown.

A spot in the playoffs should be a given, and a Super Bowl victory is not out of this team’s reach by any means.

Odds to win it all: 21 to 2

6. Minnesota Vikings

First things first: Brett Favre is going to play in 2010. Ok? Settled? Good.

Second, he’s not going to be as good as he was last year. I don’t think anyone can reasonably expect him to be. But their run game shouldbe better.

Adrian Peterson wasn’t as good as you think he was last year. Sure, he scored 18 touchdowns and ran for nearly 1,400 yards, but his YPC was a career-low 4.4, and he lost a career-high 6 fumbles.

I’m not saying he’s not great, I’m just saying there’s room to improve. With their talented group o fpass catchers (Sidney Rice, Percy Harvin, Visanthe Shiancoe, Bernard Berrian) and their punishing defense, a playoff berth for this squad is a given, but a Super Bowl is probably just out of reach (again).

Odds to win it all: 10 to 1

5. Dallas Cowboys

First off, I’m not a Cowboys fan. I know they’re America’steam, and I live in America, but that still doesn’t make me a fan.

However, I am buying the Cowboys as NFC East champions, and the odds-on favorite to win homefield in the NFC.

Tony Romo seems to keep getting better and better, Miles Austin has emerged as a legit number one receiver, and Jason Witten is arguably the best pass-catching tight end in the NFL today.

Not to mention that loaded backfield of Marion Barber, Felix Jones, and Tashard Choice. Their defense is solid too, and they do a tremendous job getting in the backfield and making plays.

Oh, and if that Dez Bryant guy turns out to be decent, we may see Dallas playing for Super Bowl XLV in their own stadium in February.

Odds to win it all: 10 to 1

4. Baltimore Ravens

Ah yes, the Baltimore Ravens. Seems like they’re the chic pick to take home the Lombardi Trophy in 2010.

And why not? Baltimore’s backfield could be the best in the NFL, with Ray Rice leading a three-headed charge that also includes Willis McGahee and LeRon McClain.

Plus, Joe Flacco has another year under his belt and a new stud receiver in Anquan Boldin (if he can stay healthy).

And don’t get me started on their defense. The Ravens added  Sergio Kindle and Terrence Cody in the 2010 Draft, two first-round caliber players that should thrive in Baltimore’s 3-4 scheme.

I like the Ravens a lot,and wouldn’t be too surprised to see Ray Lewis hoisting that Lomardi Trophy for the second time.

Odds to win it all: 19 to 2

3. New England Patriots

Don’t let last year’s putrid playoff performance fool you. Despite what you may read, the Patriots are not declining.

Bill Belichick is still the coach he’s always been. Tom Brady isn’t a step slower. Yes, Randy Moss is a year older, but this is a contract year. And we all know what that means.

New England’s defense may be young, but they’re good, and they’re fast. We know how good this team can be. I think they’ll be that good in 2010, and maybe even better.

Brady has a real good shot at a fourth ring.

Odds to win it all: 19 to 2

2. New Orleans Saints

Sorry Saints fans, but I can’t put your team first. I just can’t.

History tells us that in today’s NFL, a repeat is nearly impossible.Truth of the matter is I love this team. Drew Brees is an elite QB who can succeed with any group of receivers.

That’s not a shot at New Orleans’ receiving corps, but does one guy emerge from that group as something truly special? Didn’t think so.

New Orleans does have a strong 1-2 punch at running back though, with Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush. And New Orleans’coaching staff might be the best in the NFL.

I would love to see them prove me wrong, but I don’t see the Saints repeating this year. A Super Bowl berth, though, doesn’t seem too far fetched.

Odds to win it all: 8 to 1

1. Indianapolis Colts

Quick, who’s the NFL’s best quarterback? If you said anyone other than Peyton Manning, you’re kidding yourself.

QBs handle the football  more than anyone else on the field, so I’ll put my money on the team with the best one. I put my money on Peyton last year and it didn’t exactly work out,but I’ve still got faith.

Nobody works harder than Peyton. Nobody leads better than Peyton. But most importantly, nobody cares more than Peyton.

The rest of the offense is pretty loaded, too. Peyton has two solid veteran pass-catchers in Dallas Clark and Reggie Wayne, as well as a couple of talented up-and-comers in Pierre Garcon and Austin Collie.

Peyton's backfield (Joseph Addai and Donald Brown) is better than you think. So is the defense. But it all starts with Peyton, and come Super Bowl XLV, I think it will end with him, too.

Odds to win it all: 7 to 1