Draft day is finally here!
Fans whose teams have little hope next season (Raiders, Bills, Bucs, and Rams), tonight is your Super Bowl.
Teams like the Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers seem to be only a player or two away, and we will be on edge until they make their selections.
Fans of last season's final four (New York Jets, Minnesota Vikings, Indianapolis Colts, and New Orleans Saints) trust their teams to add depth and possibly find a star late in the draft.
With all that build up, some team is going to draft a player much earlier than he should be. I'm looking at you Al Davis...
Some of these players will definitely be picked and some might be but shouldn't here are my the biggest potential reaches:
Tim Tebow , QB, Florida
I'm as sick as you are about Tebow. He was a great college player. Two-time BCS champion. Blah, blah, blah.
The fact of the matter is that he isn't ready to be a team's starting quarterback any time soon, so he shouldn't go in round one.
If he is willing to be just an athlete (and he is a freak of one, let's be honest) and play H-back, possibly some tail back or full back, and just make some plays, then he could go in the second round.
If he goes all Eric Crouch (you remember, the former Heisman winning QB from Nebraska?) and is adamant that he will only play quarterback, I think he should slide to the third, but will be drafted in the second and be a reach even then.
Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland
There is no doubting that he is a superb physical specimen. But the truth is that he is far too raw to go in the first round.
Linemen who can start from day one get drafted in the first and second rounds. Project linemen get drafted in the third round or later.
If Campbell is your starting left tackle in 2010, then your quarterback will end up killed. And Campbell should be charged with manslaughter.
C.J. Spiller , RB, Clemson
Spiller is an amazing talent and could possibly be the next Chris Johnson. But he's also benefiting from a very weak running back class this year.
Does he have the potential to do what Johnson did last season? Of course.
But the reason Spiller makes this list is because some team in the top-10 (or trading up into the top-10) is going to draft him based on this potential.
The recent lack of success of top-10 drafted running backs not named Adrian Peterson suggests that teams should let Spiller fall some before taking him. Then it'll be his true value.
Golden Tate, WR, Notre Dame
Yes, Tate might end up being a stud.
But even though he plays with the reckless abandon that Steve Smith (Car.) does, doesn't mean Tate IS Steve Smith.
Teams that covet Tate should wait until the second round before taking him, even if it means moving up in the round.
Terrance Cody, DT, Alabama
He's really, really big. He takes up a lot of space. That's all I got as far as his good qualities.
The reality is that the 3-4 defense is now being used by about 50 percent of teams in the NFL.
That means you need a nose tackle that takes up space. And boy does he.
So some team might draft Cody in the first if Dan Williams gets taken higher than expected (though he is a beast, therefore not a reach), and get a player who's motor isn't big enough to keep up with his size.
Taylor Mays, S, USC
Like the first two on this list, Mays looks like a stud football player.
The only problem: On tape he doesn't look like a stud football player.
I believe that game tape is more important than anything else, and in 2009 Mays looked lost.
Without a quality safety next to him, he blew his assignments and didn't seem to know where to be.
Some mocks have him being taken late in the first round. If it wasn't for the fact that he "looks" like a stud, he wouldn't be considered before the third round.
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