Mock Compilation: Predicting the Giants' First Round Pick
"With the 15th pick in the NFL Draft, the New York Giants select...Alabama linebacker Rolando McClain ."
Last year for SNY's Giants Football Blog, I compiled over 40 mock drafts from all across the internet, including those from "professional experts" and bloggers.
According to those mock drafts, the consensus pick was North Carolina wide receiver Hakeem Nicks, who turned out to be the player the Giants selected.
Now, I'm not saying that this exercise will work out this well every time, but maybe something can be learned from looking at all of these mock drafts. Or maybe its just a case of a broken clock being right twice a day.
Either way, this year I compiled over 50 mock drafts, and the consensus pick was Rolando McClain in a landslide.
While I would be all for this selection, part of me believes that the fact that so many mock drafts have him falling to the Giants is just wishful thinking.
With the Giants' biggest hole being middle linebacker, McClain just seems like the perfect fit. But I find it hard to believe he'll be around when they select.
The next most popular picks were linebacker Sean Weatherspoon and running back CJ Spiller. Weatherspoon is an ultimate need pick, while Spiller would be a classic best player available/ value pick.
38% of the mock drafts had the Giants taking a middle linebacker (McClain or Weatherspoon), while 24% had them taking a defensive lineman. 41 of the 58 mock drafts (71%) had the Giants drafting a defensive player.
Here, in order, are who the mock drafts have the Giants selecting, with the amount of selections each player received over 58 mock drafts:
MLB Rolando McClain- 15
MLB Sean Weatherspoon- 7
RB CJ Spiller- 7
DE Derrick Morgan- 6
OG Mike Iupati- 5
DE Jason Pierre Paul- 4
OT Anthony Davis- 3
S Earl Thomas- 3
DT Dan Williams-2
DT Jared Odrick- 2
CB Joe Haden- 1
OT Bruce Campbell- 1
CB Wilson Kyle- 1
OT Charles Brown- 1
Positional Breakdown:
MLB- 38% (22)
DE- 17% (10)
RB- 12% (7)
OT- 8% (5)
OG- 8% (5)
DT- 7% (4)
S- 5% (3)
CB- 4% (2)
*Please note that this does not take into account the possibility of the Giants trading up or down in the draft.
This is intended more for fun and not to accurately predict who the Giants will actually select.
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NFL Mock Draft 2010 Database:
http://www.draftcountdown.com/sub/Mock-Draft-A.php
Rutgers OT Anthony Davis
http://www.draftsite.com/nfl/index.php?page=1
Maryland OT Bruce Campbell
http://newnfldraft.com/archives/1123
Tennessee DT Dan Williams
http://newsportdraft.com/2009/09/20/2010-nfl-mock-draft-picks-13-22/
Tennessee DT Dan Williams
http://walterfootball.com/draft2010.php
http://www.fftoolbox.com/nfl_draft/2010/2010-nfl-mock-draft.cfm?writer=19&page=2
Missouri MLB Sean Weatherspoon
http://www.fftoolbox.com/nfl_draft/2010/2010-nfl-mock-draft.cfm?writer=44
http://www.mynfldraft.com/NFL-Mock-Draft
http://msn.foxsports.com/nfl/story/nfl-mock-draft-version-5
Missouri MLB Sean Weatherspoon
http://www.xtrapointfootball.com/20100419318/2010-archives/april/2010-nfl-mock-draft-30.html
Georgia Tech DE Derrick Morgan
http://www.sbnation.com/2010/4/19/1430421/2010-nfl-mock-draft-two-round
Georgia Tech DE Derrick Morgan
http://www.kansascity.com/2010/04/17/1883286/the-stars-nfl-mock-draft-take.html
http://www.timesunion.com/AspStories/story.asp?storyID=922733&category=SPORTS
http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/article/2010-04-18/nfl-mock-draft-sn-correspondents-make-their-picks
http://www.twincities.com/ci_14906410?source=most_viewed&nclick_check=1
http://www.gcobb.com/2010/04/16/gcobb-com-2010-nfl-mock-draft-number-11/
http://www.squidoo.com/2010_NFL_Mock_Draft
Missouri MLB Sean Weatherspoon
http://qisports.com/nfldraft.html
http://jugmongers.blogspot.com/2010/04/judd-jugmongers-nfl-draft-picks-2010.html
Alabama MLB Rolando McClain
http://phinphanatic.com/2010/04/17/three-round-mock-41710/
http://www.pewterreport.com/articles/view/6920
http://www.fantasyfootballjungle.com/2010_nfl_mock_draft/Tyler_Ogden/3476/1a
http://www.fantasyfootballxtreme.com/nfl-draft-info/nfl-mock-draft/
Georgia Tech DE Derrick Morgan
http://terennab.wordpress.com/nfl-mock-draft-round-1-2-0/
Georgia Tech DE Derrick Morgan
http://draftboard.com/mockdraft/
Clemson RB CJ Spiller
http://guysnfldraftlockerroom.com/roundone
Texas S Earl Thomas
http://www.nepatriotsdraft.com/2009/10/djs-2010-nfl-mock-draft.html
Texas S Earl Thomas
http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/mock
(4 Drafts)
Alabama MLB Rolando McClain
Penn State DT Jared Odrick
Alabama MLB Rolando McClain
Penn State DT Jared Odrick
http://www.footballdialogue.blogspot.com/
USF DE Jason Pierre Paul
http://www.footballfanspot.com/nflmockdrafts2010.htm
Clemson RB CJ Spiller
http://cdsdraft.com/mocks/round-1.html
Missouri MLB Sean Weatherspoon
http://www.patsdraft.com/Draft_10.html
Idaho OG Mike Iupati
http://www.nfldraftspecialist.com/
http://www.eastcoastsportsnews.com/2010Draft.html
http://www.ultimatemockdraft.com/
http://rothsteinsports.com/untitled3.html
Georgia Tech DE Derrick Morgan
http://draftman2009.blogspot.com/
http://www.emorywheel.com/detail.php?n=28399
Alabama MLB Rolando McClain
http://www.nfltouchdown.com/2010-nfl-mock-draft/
Missouri MLB Sean Weatherspoon
http://www.thefootballexpert.com/bures2010mockdraft.html
Alabama MLB Rolando McClain
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/don_banks/04/07/mock.draft.2/index.html
Missouri MLB Sean Weatherspoon
http://www.nbcdfw.com/blogs/blue-star/Newdawgs-NFL-Mock-Draft-2010-91572374.html
Missouri MLB Sean Weatherspoon
http://12thmanrising.com/2010/04/20/my-2010-nfl-mock-drafts-first-draft/
Alabama MLB Rolando McClain
http://nflmocks.com/2010/04/15/mock-draft-2-0/2/
Rutgers OT Anthony Davis
http://www.nflsmackdown.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=1282&Itemid=31
USC OT Charles Brown
Clemson RB CJ Spiller
http://www.sidelinescouting.net/mock/
Clemson RB CJ Spiller
Clemson RB CJ Spiller
Alabama RB Rolando McClain
http://cippinonsports.com/2010/04/15/2010-nfl-draft-2-0/
Rutgers OT Anthony Davis
Via ESPN on TV:
Todd McShay
Georgia Tech DE Derrick Morgan
Mel Kiper
Alabama MLB Rolando McClain
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