Fantasy Football Week 13 Sit Ems
With many of you out there in Bruno Boys Nation getting set for Round One of your fantasy playoffs and the rest still vying for a playoff spot, we want to make sure you enter Sunday knowing what players we feel you should play with caution.
Obviously it’s your team and your gut, so you are the final decision makers, but if these guys fail to get the job done for your fantasy squad this week don’t say the Bruno Boys didn’t tell you so. With that being said, the Bruno Boys present the Fantasy Football Week 13 Sit Ems .
QUARTERBACKS – SIT ‘EM
Jason Campbell (Washington Redskins) vs. New Orleans
After posting 21 fantasy points on the Eagles’ defense in week 12, Campbell is flying high. Unfortunately, he is now facing perhaps the hottest team in the NFL - the New Orleans Saints . This is a Saints defense that was able to hold MVP QB Tom Brady to 7.5 fantasy points in week 12 on Monday Night Football, and Jason Campbell is no Tom Brady .
Furthermore, the Saints have given up just 9 TDs to QBs on the year, while accumulating 22 INTs. With a TD:INT ratio of 12:11, that’s not good news for Campbell. Unless you are forced to start 2 QBs, stay away from Campbell in this week 13 matchup.
Matt Cassel (Kansas City Chiefs) vs. Denver
Cassel goes up against the fourth best defense against the QB this week as the Broncos have only allowed 9 passing TDs and 8.5 fantasy points per game to the quarterback position. The Chiefs are coming off a big loss to the Chargers where Cassel was unable to get much going, finishing the day with 178 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT.
Much more shouldn’t be expected this week against a better defense in the Denver Broncos . Cassel’s ceiling this season has been 2 TDs and 262 passing yards, which came against Jacksonville Jaguars and their porous pass defense. Stay away from Cassel this weekend.
Matt Hasselbeck (Seattle Seahawks) vs. San Francisco
Hasselbeck has had a solid career versus his inter-divisional foe, the San Francisco 49ers . While never doing anything great, he consistently has posted good numbers. The 49ers, though, are slowly improving their defense, having allowed only 12 TDs (10 passing) to opposing QBs in 2009.
Last weekend, David Garrard was rather mediocre versus the Niners (307 passing yards, 2 FL), and Hasselbeck is coming off of his second worst game in 2009 (102 passing yards). Hasselbeck could be good for 200 yards and a TD, but anything more than that would be a surprise.
RUNNING BACKS – SIT ‘EM
Kevin Smith (Detroit Lions) @ Cincinnati
Smith has been the most reliable and consistent offensive Lion this season (which may not be saying much), totaling 970 yards and 4 TDs through 11 games. His 3.4 ypc is a bit disconcerting, however, and he doesn’t have a great match-up in week 13.
The Bengals allow less than 12 points per game to opposing RBs, so Smith could struggle this weekend. His best prospects of posting respectable numbers are through the air, where the Bengals allow the fourth most receiving yards to RBs. His chances of a TD though are slim.
Brandon Jacobs (New York Giants) vs. Dallas
What happened to the bruising RB that opposing defenses hated to see? Brandon Jacobs’ ypc has dropped from 5.0 in 2008 to 3.9 this season, and he has yet to have a multiple TD game this season, something that he did five times in 2008.
Jacobs goes up against a Cowboys defense that has allowed only 5 TDs to RBs (three rushing) this season, and because Jacobs is nearly useless in the passing game, it offers even less of a reason to start him in this matchup.
Steve Slaton (Houston Texans) @ Jacksonville
For as bad as the Jaguars pass defense has been, their rush defense has been a top-10 unit. Slaton has been a RB2 this season, with much more potential than that. His greatest asset has been his ability to catch the ball out of the backfield, but the Jaguars have allowed the fifth least amount of receiving yardage to opposing RBs (perhaps because they can’t stop quarterbacks from getting the ball to their wide receivers).
The Jags were able to hold Frank Gore to 10 fantasy points (16 carries for 33 yards, 7 catches for 14 yards, 1 rec TD), so Slaton’s prospects with the Jags being at home coming off a bad loss aren’t desirable.
WIDE RECEIVERS – SIT ‘EM
Chris Chambers (Kansas City Chiefs) vs. Denver
Chambers has been more than a stop-gap option for fantasy owners the past few weeks (four games: 319 yards, 3 TDs), but expect the streak of six-plus fantasy points per week to stop this weekend. The Broncos allow the sixth least fantasy points to opposing WRs, and with struggles from Matt Cassel likely, we assume Chambers will stumble as well.
Chambers has the rare occurrence of going against Champ Bailey three times this season (once as a member of the Chargers, twice in the next five weeks), and that is not something that most WRs would like to brag about.
Greg Jennings (Green Bay Packers) vs. Baltimore
As Donald Driver has taken over as QB Aaron Rodgers’ favorite receiver this season, Jennings has taken a backseat. Driver has bested Jennings in every important category, and going up against the Ravens defense doesn’t make things any easier for the Packers’ wide receiver.
The Ravens are 12th in the NFL allowing 17.6 fantasy points per game to opposing WRs, but they have only allowed 7 TDs through 11 games. Jennings’ three TDs have been a huge disappointment considering he averaged 10.5 TDs the previous two seasons.
So, while Jennings could see some decent yardage, a TD may be setting the bar a little too high this Monday night.
Nate Burleson (Seattle Seahawks) vs. San Francisco
With Hasselbeck expected to struggle (or so we believe), Burleson could do the same. The 49ers have given up just 8 TDs to WRs this season, which is right around the middle of the pack, but the Jags were unable to do much with Mike Sims-Walker , Mike Thomas , or Torry Holt (they each had 4 catches for 62 yards or less) in week 12.
If the six-point game is what you are looking for, you may be able to find that from Burleson, but the 49ers need to shut down the passing game to be effective and win this must-win week. In Burleson’s last 5 games, he has averaged 5.8 points per game without a TD reception, a place he should stay during this week 13 contest.
TIGHT ENDS – SIT ‘EM
Heath Miller (Pittsburgh Steelers) vs. Oakland
It must be strange to read that a player going up against Oakland is a Sit ‘Em in week 13, but that is exactly what Heath Miller is. The Raiders are one of only two teams to not allow a TE TD this season (the Saints are the other), and the 4.1 points per game the Raiders’ are giving up to the position is not ideal for a TE who makes his money finding the end zone.
Other than week 11 against KC, Heath Miller has posted six fantasy points in the past five weeks (with the 15 point week 11, he has averaged slightly over four points per game). Look for other options going into this weekend.
KICKERS – SIT ‘EM
Dan Carpenter (Miami Dolphins)
Carpenter has been the ninth best fantasy kicker in standard scoring leagues in 2009, but he wasn’t able to even attempt a FG in week 12. The Patriots have only allowed 9 FGs all season long, perhaps an accomplishment, or perhaps they have allowed too many people to score and only kick XPs.
Either way, they allow less than 5 fantasy points per game to opposing kickers, so Carpenter should be sat for week 13.
DEFENSES – SIT ‘EM
Baltimore Ravens D/ST @ Green Bay
The Ravens haven’t been all they were cracked up to be a few years back; probably a sign of aging players and the loss of a few key ones (Bart Scott , Terrell Suggs ). However, they have been more than usable this season when an average to below-average offense has played against them.
Other than allowing the most sacks in the NFL, the Packers offense is sixth in the NFL in total yards, first in TO differential at +17, and has been one of the most efficient in the game with Aaron Rodgers under center. While the Ravens could accumulate a few sacks on Monday Night, Rodgers should fare well against them.
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THIS ARTICLE WRITTEN BY BRUNO BOY JACOB LERMAN.
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