IDP Wednesday: Week 13

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IDP Wednesday:  Week 13
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

By: Justin Curry (12/02/2009)

Hello everyone and welcome to another IDP Wednesday. This week, I would like to simplify things a bit and really concentrate on one of the sections I've been bringing to you for the majority of this year—The Favorable & Formidable Fives.

In this week's post, I would like to not only breakdown who the top and bottom five teams have been over the course of the year, but also do the same for the previous three weeks of games. The goal is to use these four charts to give you a better understanding of the value that can be gained from them, and do some analysis using the following criteria for each position:

1. The Good - Which DLs, LBs and DBs play teams that have been favorable over the course of the year, and over the last three weeks.

2. The Bad - Which teams should you stay away from this week, as they seem to have been bad for not only the last three weeks, but also over the course of the whole year.

So, with that said, here are the four charts, which will be followed by my analysis on what this should mean for a handful of players this week:



Favorable & Formidable, Entire Year

Favorable teams are ordered with the best team to play first and weekly opponent.

Rank DL Opp. LB Opp. DB Opp.
1 GB BAL NO WAS NO WAS
2 NYJ BUF NE MIA NYG DAL
3 NE MIA IND TEN CAR TB
4 JAC HOU MIA NE
DEN KC
5 SF SEA CAR TB SEA SF


Formidable teams are ordered with the worst team to play first and weekly opponent.

Rank DL Opp. LB Opp. DB Opp.
1 DAL NYG ATL PHI OAK PIT
2 NYG DAL GB BAL SF SEA
3 ATL PHI DEN KC BUF NYJ
4 MIN ARI
BUF NYJ IND TEN
5 IND TEN SD CLE CLE
SD

 

Favorable & Formidable, Last Three Weeks

Favorable teams are ordered with the best team to play first and weekly opponent.

Rank DL Opp. LB Opp. DB Opp.
1 NE MIA DAL NYG STL
CHI
2 NYJ BUF TB CAR DEN KC
3 ATL PHI BAL GB CAR TB
4 BAL GB
IND TEN NE MIA
5 STL CHI PHI ATL SEA
SF


Formidable teams are ordered with the worst team to play first and weekly opponent.

Rank DL Opp. LB Opp. DB Opp.
1 CAR TB SF SEA DAL NYG
2 MIA NE MIN ARI SF SEA
3 WAS NO CIN DET IND TEN
4 IND TEN
DEN KC NYJ BUF
5 OAK PIT BUF NYJ OAK
PIT

 

DL Analysis

The Good - If you look closely at these charts you will notice that two teams have been in the Favorable portion for not only the last three weeks, but also over the course of the entire year—the New England Patriots and the New York Jets. With that said, you have to like Aaron Schobel's and Randy Starks's chances to have good days this week.

*Note - Buffalo is just outside the top five in both favorable chart categories and I expect big days from Shaun Ellis and Marques Douglas, as well.

The Bad - The Indianapolis Colts have been brutal all year for the DE position. If you were thinking of playing Kyle Vanden Bosch because he has had a sack in two-straight weeks, and you are in a sack-heavy league, I would think about it again—he should have two or three tackles, though.


LB Analysis

The Good - As bad as the Colts have been for DEs this year, they have been a pot of gold for the LB position. If you have Keith Bulluck or Stephen Tulloch, I would argue they are must plays this week.

The Bad - As you can tell from the charts above, the Denver Broncos and the Buffalo Bills have been a death sentence to LBs this year, and over the last three weeks. Though I think David Harris will be fine, don't be surprised if the other linebackers—Bart Scott, Calvin Pace, and Demorrio Williams—don't shine.


DB Analysis

The Good - There are three teams that have been good to safeties all year and their names are the Carolina Panthers, the Denver Broncos, and the Seattle Seahawks. If you're in need, Tanard Jackson, Michael Lewis, and Mike Brown all, statistically, look to be in for productive days.

The Bad - I gave you three good ones above, now the three at the opposite end of the spectrum are the Oakland Raiders, the San Francisco 49ers, and the Indianapolis Colts—this one surprises me. Anyway, though I think Jordan Babineaux might be all right, but I don't know if I feel the same optimism for Chris Hope, or any of the players in the Pittsburgh Steelers' secondary, so be forewarned.

Well, that's it for another installment of IDP Wednesday. If you're battling for a playoff spot this week, I wish you the best.  I hope you enjoyed it, and are as excited as I am about playoffs starting next week ! See you next Wednesday.


Justin Curry

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