Oakland Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

Top spot in the AFC West will be on the line Thursday night as the Oakland Raiders travel to Kansas City to battle the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Raiders reached 10 wins for the first time in 14 years with last week's 38-24 victory over the Buffalo Bills as three-point home chalk. Oakland is now unbeaten straight up in six, covering in five of those outings.

The 9-3 Chiefs kept pace with Oakland with a 29-28 win over the Atlanta Falcons as 4.5-point road underdogs last week. The victory marked the first time Kansas City has covered in consecutive games this season.

Point spread: The Chiefs opened as 3.5-point favorites; the total was 47.5 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark. (Line updates and matchup report)

NFL pick, via OddsShark computer: 25.3-23.9 Raiders (NFL picks on every game)

Why the Raiders can cover the spread

Oakland has built its 10-2 record on a flawless 5-0 SU mark on the road this season, covering in each of those contests. The road warrior Raiders are 7-1 SU in their past eight road dates and a perfect 8-0 against the spread, including a pair of outright wins as betting underdogs.

The Raiders have climbed to third in the NFL in points scored per game during their current win streak. Oakland has scored 32.2 points per game over its past six games and tallied 30 or more in four of five road games this season.

Kansas City has managed to produce just 36 total points over its past two dates at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs have also failed to cover in four of five home games this season, all as betting chalk.

Why the Chiefs can cover the spread

The Chiefs broke out of a point-scoring funk during their recent two-game road trip, averaging 29.5 points per game in SU and ATS road victories over the Falcons and Denver Broncos. The point total went over in each of those contests, marking the first time in a year that the over has paid out in consecutive Chiefs games.

Kansas City has won nine of 10 SU while favored by three or more on home turf, surrendering a mere 15.2 points per game during that stretch.

The Raiders have struggled in recent road dates following a successful homestand. Oakland is just 2-6 SU in its past eight games on the road immediately following consecutive home victories.

Smart pick

The Raiders have dropped six of their last seven SU to Kansas City, but have covered in eight of their last 10 visits to Arrowhead Stadium. Conversely, the Chiefs are a dismal 1-7 ATS in their last eight games while favored at home by three points or more.

Look for Oakland, already at a 99.4 percent chance to make the playoffs according to PredictionMachine.com, to take a huge step towards clinching the AFC West crown with an outright victory as road underdogs Thursday night.

Betting trends

The Raiders are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road against the Chiefs.

The Chiefs are 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six games at night.

The Chiefs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games at home.

All NFL lines and betting trends courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, OddsShark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line-movement updates and the OddsShark YouTube page for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.