
Week 12 NFL Picks: Odds, Prop Bets and Predictions for Sunday's Schedule
Another NFL Sunday is here, folks! This makes lucky number 12 for the 2016 season, and after three months, we're still faced with as much intrigue as ever.
Will Tom Brady and the New England Patriots dominate the rival New York Jets? Can the Cincinnati Bengals beat the Baltimore Ravens without A.J. Green and Giovani Bernard? Will the Cleveland Browns ever win a game?
Today, we're going to look ahead at the remaining Week 12 schedule along with the latest Vegas lines, courtesy of Odds Shark. We'll also make our picks against the spreads and examine some of the top picks and props of the week.
Week 12 NFL Schedule
| San Francisco at Miami | MIA -7 | MIA |
| Tennessee at Chicago | TEN -6 | TEN |
| Arizona at Atlanta | ATL -6 | ARI |
| Cincinnati at Baltimore | BAL -4 | BAL |
| NY Giants at Cleveland | NYG -7 | NYG |
| Los Angeles at New Orleans | NO -7 | NO |
| Jacksonville at Buffalo | BUF -7.5 | JAX |
| San Diego at Houston | SD -2.5 | HOU |
| Seattle at Tampa Bay | SEA -6 | SEA |
| Carolina at Oakland | OAK -3 | OAK |
| New England at New York Jets | NE -7.5 | NE |
| Kansas City at Denver | DEN -3.5 | KC |
| Green Bay at Philadelphia | PHI -4 | PHI |
Top Picks
Tennessee Titans (-6) Chicago Bears
Don't look now, but the Tennessee Titans are beginning to look like a quality football team. The team has been downright impressive on offense, averaging 382.9 yards (seventh in the NFL ) and 25.5 points (seventh) per game.
This is a big reason why we believe the Titans can win by a touchdown against the Chicago Bears.
Another reason is the fact that starting Bears quarterback Jay Cutler is dealing with a shoulder injury. The Bears appear set to start Matt Barkley at quarterback, who has never started an NFL game in his career, as NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports:
To be fair, the Bears appear confident in Barkley, and he appears confident in himself.
"I'm going to be ready," Barkley said, per Dan Wiederer of the Chicago Tribune. "I'm not overthinking it. I'm not overhyped. I'm just going to be me and try to win this game."
The problem for Barkley is that he may have trouble leaning on the ground game in his first start. The Titans are allowing an average of just 92.1 yards per game on the ground, seventh-least in the NFL.
With receiver Alshon Jeffery still on suspension, Barkley and the Bears could really struggle offensively.
Seattle Seahawks and Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 45

The Seattle Seahawks have hit their stride in recent weeks, especially on the offensive side of the football. While the team struggled early in the season, the Seahawks have managed to score at least 26 points in each of their past three games.
This week, Seattle will be going up against a Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that is average at absolute best. Tampa is allowing an average of 25.9 points per game (24th in the NFL) and is rated 31st in overall defense by Pro Football Focus.
Realistically, the Seahawks could produce 30-plus points on their own.
If Tampa Bay can gain a little ground against Seattle, the Buccaneers should be able to push the total over 45. Seeing as how the team averages 23.5 points per game (16th in the NFL) and recently got star running back Doug Martin back on the field, this is entirely possible.
Doug Martin OVER 57.5 Yards Rushing
Since we're on the topic of the Buccaneers and Seahawks, here's an interesting little prop we found over at Odds Checker. This one involves Martin and his total rushing yards against the Seattle defense. The over/under is currently set at 57.5, and we're going to take the over here.
One reason we believe Martin can hit the over is the fact that the Buccaneers should be leaning on him in order to protect quarterback Jameis Winston and to keep the Seattle offense off the field.
It's also worth noting that Seattle, while tremendous defensively, has allowed some big rushing days this season. New Orleans Saints back Tim Hightower put up 100 yards on the Seattle defense a few weeks ago. Buffalo Bills back LeSean McCoy rushed for 85 yards a week later, and New England Patriots back LeGarrette Blount rushed for 69 yards two weeks ago.
Martin should get enough opportunities and enough running room to hit the 58-yard mark.
New England Patriots OVER 13.5 First-Half Points

Another interesting prop we found over at Odds Checker involves the New England Patriots and the amount they are able to score in the first half.
The over/under here is set at 13.5 points, essentially meaning two touchdowns will get New England to the over.
While the New York Jets defense can be strong at times, we don't believe it would keep Tom Brady and Co. from scoring 14 points in the first two quarters.
However, as Diana Russini of ESPN.com reported, Brady is a game-time decision and not guaranteed to play. If Brady is held out or hampered in any way, that could drastically impact New England's ability to move the ball.
New England was limited to 13 first-half points last week against the San Francisco 49ers, but this has not been the norm. The Patriots scored at least 14 first-half points in each of their three games prior to last week and in four of the six games they have played with Brady this season.
We also have to consider that this is a rivalry game and a game in which the Patriots are likely to want to make a statement. Brady should be able to make that statement early against a Jets secondary that is rated just 27th in pass coverage by Pro Football Focus, as long as he's on the field.
Expect New England to get out in front early and to reach the two-touchdown mark by halftime, if Brady suits up. If he doesn't, this might be something to avoid.
Mark Ingram UNDER 53.5 Rushing Yards
Another prop we feel pretty good about from over at Odds Checker involves New Orleans Saints running back Mark Ingram and an over/under set at 53.5 yards rushing.
There are a couple of reasons why we feel Ingram is unlikely to hit the 54-yard mark. One is Saints head coach Sean Payton's propensity for utilizing multiple backs. Ingram hasn't rushed for 53 yards in either of his past two games, and if the Saints do produce against the Los Angeles Rams defensive front, Ingram may only be a role player.
The Rams, by the way, are allowing just 102.6 yards per game on the ground and are rated seventh overall in run defense by Pro Football Focus.
Ingram may see an even more reduced role this week, as he is listed as questionable after suffering an apparent concussion a week ago, via Alabama Pro Updates:
Don't be surprised if the Saints lean on quarterback Drew Brees and split carries between multiple backs, leaving Ingram wanting for rushing yards.




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