Fantasy Stats: .309 BA, 29 R, 2 HR, 22 RBI, 9 SB (201 PA)
Howie Kendrick does this every year. He gets owners all hot and bothered with a big beginning, and everyone starts yelling about how "THIS IS THE YEAR!!!"
Take his numbers through the end of May each of the past four seasons...
2010: .261 BA, 22 R, 4 HR, 29 RBI, 5 SB
2011: .322 BA, 30 R, 7 HR, 18 RBi, 4 SB
2012: .257 BA, 20 R, 4 HR, 21 RBI, 3 SB
2013: .299 BA, 24 R, 7 HR, 29 RBI, 5 SB
A couple of times, the batting average was low, but Kendrick does a pretty good job of covering all five fantasy categories across April and May. This year is no different.
And yet, here are his career highs in each stat in a season in which he's played at least 100 games: .297 BA, 86 R, 18 HR, 75 RBI, 14 SB. If he did all that in the same year, he'd be a top-five fantasy second basemen (or close to it), but that's never been the case.
So far in 2014, Kendrick's primary value comes from his nine stolen bases, but do you really think a guy who's never topped 14 is suddenly going to swipe the 30-plus he's currently on pace for as he approaches his 31st birthday? Frankly, if Kendrick gets to 20, that would be surprising.
Kendrick is plenty good and a worthy starting second baseman, but let someone else fall into the trap of buying him high from you.
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