No. 1 Brady Aiken, LHP, Cathedral Catholic HS (California)
Brady Aiken has been drawing rave reviews from scouts this spring, even earning lofty Clayton Kershaw comparisons for his low-90s fastball, plus curveball, above-average command and 6'4" frame.
No. 2 Carlos Rodon, LHP, N.C. State
Carlos Rodon entered the year as the top overall player on the board, but an inconsistent spring for the N.C. State left-hander has dropped him a little bit. He hasn't shown the same velocity (low-90s fastball) or consistency with the slider that he had last year.
He's still a lefty who throws in the low 90s with a slider that still flashes plus-plus, so Rodon isn't going to fall out of the top five unless his arm falls off (knock on wood).
No. 3 Tyler Kolek, RHP, Shepherd HS (Texas)
Tyler Kolek is a big 6'7" Texan who could make history as the first high school right-handed pitcher to be taken first overall if the Astros like his 100 mph fastball. He's not as polished as Aiken, lacking consistency with the secondary stuff and being more of a thrower than a pitcher, but the ceiling is high.
No. 4 Sean Newcomb, LHP, Hartford
Lefties who are 6'4", 240 pounds with a mid-90s fastball and flashes of a plus slider don't usually last long in the draft. Sean Newcomb is going to be a top 10-15 pick, but fringe control and below-average command are big question marks.
No. 5 Grant Holmes, RHP, Conway HS (South Carolina)
Grant Holmes is up and down in his starts, but he has a lot more positives than negatives and won't wait long before his name gets called. He can touch triple digits early in games, sits in the low-to-mid 90s late in games and has a hammer curveball. The right-hander doesn't offer much physical projection, so what you see is basically what you'll get.
No. 6 Touki Toussaint, RHP, Coral Springs Christian Academy HS (Florida)
Touki Toussaint is a less polished version of Tyler Kolek, who himself isn't all that polished. The Florida right-hander has a huge fastball and above-average curveball. He also fixed some mechanical flaws to look more like a pitcher instead of just throwing the ball as hard as he can with reckless abandon.
No. 7 Aaron Nola, RHP, LSU
A polarizing draft prospect, Aaron Nola doesn't have traditional starter mechanics. He comes from a very low arm slot, virtually sidearm, that limits his ability to stay on top of the fastball and curveball.
But when he's on, Nola flashes three above-average pitches capable of getting MLB hitters out and above-average command. He's not going to need a lot of development time and has the upside of a No. 3 starter.
No. 8 Tyler Beede, RHP, Vanderbilt
Never one of my favorite pitching prospects, Tyler Beede's lack of consistency from start to start is disconcerting for a mid first-round pick. When you are 6'4", 215 pounds with a mid-90s fastball, above-average changeup and have success in the SEC, some team is going to bet big on you.
No. 9 Luis Ortiz, RHP, Sanger HS (California)
Unlike other pitchers this year who have pitched then got hurt, Luis Ortiz started the spring on the shelf with a forearm strain. The 6'3", 220-pounder is now playing in games, pumping mid-90s fastballs and flashing two above-average off-speed pitches.
No. 10 Jeff Hoffman, RHP, East Carolina
Hoffman remains in the top 10 pitchers because his stuff (mid-90s fastball, 12-6 plus curveball) projected so well before elbow problems resulted in Tommy John surgery. A team with multiple first-round picks could pop him in the 20-30 range.
Notable Omission: Erick Fedde, RHP, UNLV
Fedde would rank somewhere in the 11-15 range, if the list went that deep. Like Hoffman, he is on the shelf due to Tommy John surgery. He's got a low-90s fastball with life and an above-average slider to go along with his above-average command. There's a No. 2-3 starter in there if everything returns to its old state.