Arizona Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Eagles: Betting Odds Analysis and Prediction

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Arizona Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Eagles: Betting Odds Analysis and Prediction
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The Arizona Cardinals have won and covered each of their last three games against the Philadelphia Eagles, including a 27-6 decision last season.

Arizona, riding a four-game winning streak and threatening to become a Super Bowl contender, visits Philly on Sunday afternoon for what is suddenly a key NFC contest.

Point spread: Eagles opened as four-point favorites but it was bet down in early wagering; the total was 48.5. (Line updates and matchup report)

Odds Shark computer prediction: 23.9-22.6 Cardinals

 

Why the Cardinals can cover the spread

Arizona is one of the hotter teams in the league; it's won four games in a row, covering the spread in three, and just demolished Indianapolis 40-11. The Cardinals out-rushed the Colts 120-80 and held the ball for nearly 37 minutes. In the NFL, teams that win the time-of-possession battle cover the spread nearly 70 percent of the time.

Arizona also got one of its better performances Sunday out of quarterback Carson Palmer, who threw for 314 yards without an interception. And the Cardinals also have a knack of covering spreads against NFC East teams (7-1 ATS streak, according to Odds Shark).

 

Why the Eagles can cover the spread

Philly has won three games in a row, as QB Nick Foles has taken over as the starter. For the season, the former Arizona Wildcat has thrown 16 TD passes and zero interceptions. On top of that, the Eagles lead the league in rushing at 151 yards per game.

Also, Philly is one of the healthier teams in the league, relatively speaking, and just had last week off, a situation where they excelled under Andy Reid (9-3 ATS past dozen seasons).

 

Smart Pick

Odds Shark's NFL computer is calling for Arizona to win straight-up in a game that plays under its total. The Cardinals defense ranks eighth overall and second versus the run, setting up a good chess match for Sunday against the Eagles offense.

Philly had last week off, but sometimes that bye week can bite a team—especially one that was on a roll as the Eagles were. For what might be a very good game, take Arizona plus the points.

 

Trends:

  • Arizona is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
  • Eagles under is 10-3 past 13 seasons after a bye week
  • Eagles are 9-3 ATS past 12 seasons following bye week
  • Cardinals are 3-0 SU and ATS past three vs. Philly
  • Eagles snapped a 10-game home ATS losing skid in last game
  • Cardinals are 7-1 ATS past eight vs. NFC East teams

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark—follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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