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NFL Week 10 Picks: Favorites That Will Struggle to Cover Big Lines

SAN FRANCISCO, CA - OCTOBER 13:  Frank Gore #21 of the San Francisco 49ers in action against the Arizona Cardinals at Candlestick Park on October 13, 2013 in San Francisco, California.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
Ezra Shaw/Getty Images
Rob GoldbergFeatured ColumnistNovember 5, 2013

While the oddsmakers are projecting a number of blowouts in Week 10 of the NFL season, there should instead be some incredibly close games.

According to Vegas Insider, half of the 14 games over the weekend have lines of six points or more. In many cases, the spreads are quite accurate, as the favorites should cruise to easy victories. However, there are a number of other games where the underdog will put up a good fight.

These favorites might be able to escape with wins, but they will have a hard time covering relatively large spreads on Sunday.

 

Tennessee Titans (-13) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

ST. LOUIS, MO - NOVEMBER 3: Jake Locker #10 of the Tennessee Titans throws against the St. Louis Rams in the first quarter at the Edward Jones Dome on November 3, 2013 in St. Louis, Missouri.  (Photo by Michael Thomas/Getty Images)
Michael Thomas/Getty Images

As bad as the Jaguars have been while starting 0-8, they have not been completely hopeless. It is important to note that the squad has only played three home games this season and have been beaten by the five best teams in ESPN's power rankings.

Jacksonville will have a chance to put up points against a Titans defense that allowed 127 rushing yards and two touchdowns to Zac Stacy last week. Additionally, the receiving corps is capable of big plays even without Justin Blackmon, as Cecil Shorts and Mike Brown will be asked to step up in the player's absence.

Meanwhile, the Titans still have question marks offensively after Jake Locker put together his worst start of the season. He threw two interceptions against the Rams and struggled to find his receivers down the field.

Even though a rejuvenated Chris Johnson should lead the Titans to victory, this should be a closer game than the spread indicates.

 

San Francisco 49ers (-6) vs. Carolina Panthers

During the 49ers current five-game winning streak, they got back to their roots of running the football. Frank Gore has 476 rushing yards and six touchdowns in that stretch, while quarterback Colin Kaepernick has also helped out more on the ground than through the air.

However, this will be tough to continue against a Panthers defense that ranks second in the NFL against the run. In fact, the squad is also among the top five in the league in takeaways, total yards allowed and points against.

The strength of the team is in the defensive line, which does a great job of holding their ground against the run, as well as getting to the quarterback.

Even in San Francisco, the 49ers will struggle offensively against this stout defense. Cam Newton may or may not lead the Panthers to victory, but he should at least cover this six-point spread.

 

New Orleans Saints (-7) vs. Dallas Cowboys

No matter who the Cowboys are playing, they always seem to make things interesting. After losing to the Detroit Lions in the closing seconds a week ago, Dallas needed a last-minute touchdown to win at home against the Minnesota Vikings.

Tony Romo usually finds a way to put points on the board, which allows the squad to stay competitive in every game. 

However, the big difference in this one will be on the defensive end for Dallas. According to Calvin Watkins of ESPN, defensive end DeMarcus Ware is set to return, which makes the Cowboys much more imposing on that side of the ball.

With Darren Sproles and Marques Colston possibly out for the Saints, Drew Brees is running out of players to throw to. This could lead to some offensive struggles, which will allow the Cowboys to keep the score close on the road.

NFL Week 10 Picks Against the Spread
AwayHomeSpreadPick ATS
Washington RedskinsMinnesota VikingsWAS -2.5Redskins
Jacksonville JaguarsTennessee TitansTEN -13Jaguars
Philadelphia EaglesGreen Bay PackersGB -2Packers
Buffalo BillsPittsburgh SteelersPIT -3.5Bills
Oakland RaidersNew York GiantsNYG -7Giants
St. Louis RamsIndianapolis ColtsIND -10Colts
Seattle SeahawksAtlanta FalconsSEA -6Seahawks
Cincinnati BengalsBaltimore RavensCIN -1.5Ravens
Detroit LionsChicago BearsDET -2.5Lions
Carolina PanthersSan Francisco 49ersSF -6Panthers
Houston TexansArizona CardinalsARI -3Cardinals
Denver BroncosSan Diego ChargersDEN -7Broncos
Dallas CowboysNew Orleans SaintsNO -7Cowboys
Miami DolphinsTampa Bay BuccaneersMIA -3Buccaneers
Spread Info via Vegas Insider

 

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