NFL Odds Week 8: Underdogs That Won't Beat the Spread
With Sam Bradford out for the season per Adam Schefter of ESPN.com, the St. Louis Rams must start Kellen Clemens on Monday night against the the Seattle Seahawks. Though the Rams are at home and big 11-point underdogs, per Bovada, don't be tempted to take the points.
The chances that St. Louis' offense can score enough to stay within two touchdowns are slim.
Clemens is a veteran, but he hasn’t started a game since 2011. Since then, he’s thrown just seven passes, and one of those was intercepted.
To make matters worse, the Rams offense ranks 18th in the NFL in passing and 29th in rushing. Clemens isn't likely to ignite the offense to a better performance than it produced with Bradford under center.
The Seahawks defense will makes things even more difficult. It is ranked fourth in the NFL against the pass and 10th against the run. Moreover, losing by a large margin is nothing new to St. Louis.
Three of the Rams’ four losses have been by more than 11 points this season. On Monday night, they will be in for another sizable defeat.
Seattle will win on the road, 24-10. Here are two other teams that won't beat the spread.
Never Take the Jacksonville Jaguars...Ever
Don't be tempted to take the Jags and the points, because they are again a heavy underdog. Per Bovada, the San Francisco 49ers are favored by 17, but the score could get even more out of hand.
One may think the Jags have to come through with a spirited effort one of these weeks. A smart person would be OK with missing out on that Halley's Comet-like occurrence.
Per Bovada, the Jags are 1-7 against the spread in their past eight games. That is less than encouraging for anyone looking for an attractive underdog to bet on.
The game is a home date on the schedule but not in reality. The Jags' latest beatdown will take place at Wembley Stadium in London. Great, now the Jags get to embarrass themselves in another country.
At 0-7 on the season, Jacksonville could be set for a record-tying mark of futility. The team hasn’t been closer than 10 points to any opponent this season.
It has the 32nd-ranked run defense in the NFL. Stopping Frank Gore and the Niners’ run game will be the biggest issue. San Francisco is averaging 143.3 yards per game on the ground. Because of this, the Niners are almost a lock to score at least 28 points against Jacksonville.
This one will get ugly. San Francisco will cover and win 34-10.
The Kansas City Chiefs Will Prove Their Worth Again
Do the Chiefs still have doubters? More than likely. The team probably won't get rid of them in a home game against the Cleveland Browns, but it will win and cover the seven points listed on Bovada.
The Browns are a defensive-minded club. The team's defense ranks in the top 10 against the run and the pass, and this unit should keep the Browns in the game. However, their offense is going to be the problem on Sunday.
Which team is more apt to beat the spread?
Cleveland has scored just 30 points in its last two games, which were both losses.
Kansas City doesn’t put up a ton of points or boast a dynamic passing game, but the run game is consistent. Running back Jamaal Charles ensures the team can at least sustain drives. He is averaging 19 carries and just under a touchdown per game.
The Chiefs defense has been opportunistic, and the fans at Arrowhead Stadium will make things tough on Brandon Weeden and the Browns. Weeden has struggled a bit in his last two games. He's thrown three interceptions in that span.
If he makes mistakes against Kansas City, he'll be made to pay. Not only are the Chiefs tied with the Seahawks atop the NFL with 19 takeaways, per Sporting Charts, but the team has scored 63 points off those turnovers this season.
Unless there is an improvement in Weeden's play and/or a decline in the Chiefs defense, the Browns are going to fade late.
Cleveland's defense will keep its team in the game early on, but mistakes will allow the Chiefs to create a little distance in the fourth quarter.
Kansas City will win 27-13.
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