Updated World Series Odds for All 30 Teams After a Month of Baseball

Joel Reuter@JoelReuterBRFeatured ColumnistMay 2, 2013

Updated World Series Odds for All 30 Teams After a Month of Baseball

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    The 2013 MLB season is just a month old, and while a lot will no doubt change between now and the end of the season, this is a good time to step back and analyze the landscape of the league.

    There have been a few surprise teams in both directions.

    The Los Angeles Angels and Toronto Blue Jays have fallen well short of expectations early on. The Colorado Rockies and Boston Red Sox, meanwhile, have played much better than expected.

    With the calendar turning over to May, here are my updated World Series odds for all 30 MLB teams after the first month of the season.


    *Opening Day World Series odds from LVH SuperBook, via Sporting News.

Miami Marlins: 1,000/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 300/1

    April Record: 8-19

    After an offseason fire sale, the Miami Marlins entered the season with the lowest odds of any team in baseball outside of the Houston Astros.

    They've been as bad as expected to this point, if not worse. Their offense is abysmal and will now be without Giancarlo Stanton for the next couple of weeks just when he was starting to heat up.

Houston Astros: 1,000/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 400/1

    April Record: 8-19

    After losing 107 games last season, the Astros were expected to be even worse. Their rebuilding process was set to continue in the American League West following an offseason division change.

    Aside from Jose Altuve, the team does not have much in the way of players worth building around. It has an awful lot of work to do to get back to respectability.

San Diego Padres: 500/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 100/1

    April Record: 10-16

    With a 5.48 ERA from their starting pitchers, the San Diego Padres' lack of viable starters will once again be what holds them back. They entered the year with Edinson Volquez and Clayton Richard fronting their staff, and that lack of front-line talent has been very evident.

    Meanwhile, the offense remains thin on run producers and lacks the firepower to overcome the pitching, though Yonder Alonso (.803 OPS, 16 RBI) has been solid.

Chicago Cubs: 400/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 70/1

    April Record: 10-16

    The Chicago Cubs made a push to improve their pitching staff this offseason. While the staff has been improved, led by the trio of Travis Wood, Jeff Samardzija and Carlos Villanueva, the offense has struggled to deliver.

    They're hitting an MLB-worst .165 with runners in scoring position. Aside from Anthony Rizzo (8 HR, 20 RBI), their offense has been terrible. That, coupled with a porous bullpen and sloppy defense, will mean another long season on the North Side.

Minnesota Twins: 200/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 150/1

    April Record: 11-12

    After boasting the worst starting rotation in the American League last season, the Minnesota Twins added Vance Worley, Mike Pelfrey and Kevin Correia to the mix this season.

    Correia has been terrific, but the other two have ERAs over 7.00. Aside from those additions, the team is essentially the same group that lost 96 games last season, sans Denard Span and Ben Revere.

Seattle Mariners: 150/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 60/1

    April Record: 12-17

    After ranking last in the American League in runs scored each of the past three years, the Seattle Mariners made a pair of major additions in trading for Michael Morse and Kendrys Morales in hopes of boosting their run production.

    The one-two punch of Felix Hernandez and Hisashi Iwakuma atop the Mariners rotation has been terrific, but the rest of their staff remains a question mark. The offense has not been all that much better in the early going.

Cleveland Indians: 100/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 70/1

    April Record: 11-13

    Expected by most to be sellers this offseason, the Cleveland Indians instead made a number of veteran addition in hopes of making a run at the playoffs out of the AL Central.

    Those additions have made their offense better, with Mark Reynolds (1.019 OPS, 22 RBI) in particular having a great season. However, the starting rotation continues to be a major issue. Aside from Justin Masterson, their staff is going to be what holds them back.

New York Mets: 90/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 100/1

    April Record: 10-15

    The New York Mets opened the season strong, starting off 7-4. They have gone just 3-11 since, and they have quickly fallen back in a deep NL East race.

    The emergence of Matt Harvey as the staff ace is promising for the future, and there is no question it is a team on the rise, but the Mets are at least a couple of years from legitimate contention. 

Chicago White Sox: 75/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 40/1

    April Record: 10-15

    The Chicago White Sox were in first place for the bulk of the 2012 season, only to fall off down the stretch and concede the AL Central title to the Detroit Tigers.

    Their offense has struggled, aside from the continued performance of Alex Rios and the surprise contribution of Conor Gillaspie at third base. With the Kansas City Royals looking like a legitimate contender and the Tigers strong once again, they will have a hard time finishing any higher than third place.

Philadelphia Phillies: 50/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 25/1

    April Record: 12-15

    The Philadelphia Phillies' aging core managed to make a strong push at the end of season once they got healthy. While they still missed the playoffs, it at least gave some hope that they could put together one last playoff push in 2013.

    Instead, Cole Hamels and Roy Halladay have struggled mightily atop the rotation, and the new-look outfield has provided next to nothing in the way of offensive production. The pieces are still there, but it looks like the window has closed on the Phillies' current contention window.

Milwaukee Brewers: 40/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 60/1

    April Record: 14-11

    Last season, the Milwaukee Brewers had the highest-scoring offense in the National League, but they were undone by the league's worst bullpen.

    This season, the biggest concern was an inexperienced starting rotation, but the reworked bullpen has not turned things around the way the team hoped. The offense has been hurt by injuries to Corey Hart and Aramis Ramirez.

Pittsburgh Pirates: 40/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 60/1

    April Record: 15-12

    After struggling to a 1-5 start, the Pittsburgh Pirates have gone 14-7 since. They currently sit just a half-game out of first place in the NL Central and once again look as though they have the potential to contend.

    That said, they've done this each of the past two seasons, and they could run into the same pitfalls this time around. A thin starting rotation and lack of consistent offensive production has led to their undoing in the past, and there is legitimate concern it will happen again.

Colorado Rockies: 30/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 150/1

    April Record: 16-11

    The Rockies entered the season tied for the third-worst odds of any team in baseball to win it all. They have been the biggest surprise of the first month, as they find themselves in first place in the NL West as the calendar turns over.

    A surprisingly effective starting rotation has made all the difference, but whether or not they can keep it up remains to be seen. They have already fallen off over the past couple of weeks. The offense will likely be there all season, but the pitching is a question mark.

Kansas City Royals: 30/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 50/1

    April Record: 14-10

    The Royals made it clear they were ready to take the step from developing franchise to contender this offseason when they dealt a handful of their top prospects to the Tampa Bay Rays for James Shields and Wade Davis.

    Shields and fellow newcomer Ervin Santana have both been welcome additions atop the rotation, and the young lineup has hit well so far. A question of experience comes into play for the young team, and getting Mike Moustakas going could be key.

Tampa Bay Rays: 28/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 20/1

    April Record: 12-14

    With their offense clearly in need of a boost, the Rays pulled the trigger on dealing veteran workhorse James Shields this offseason to acquire a potential impact slugger in prospect Wil Myers.

    The loss of Shields has been eased by the emergence of Matt Moore and Alex Cobb, but there are once again holes up and down the lineup. Myers will provide a boost once he's called up, but it may not be enough to get them into the postseason.

Toronto Blue Jays: 25/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 12/1

    April Record: 10-17

    There may be no team that entered the 2013 season with more hype than the Blue Jays. They went all-in this offseason with a pair of blockbuster deals and entered the season with as complete a roster top-to-bottom as any team, at least on paper.

    As they say, though, the game isn't played on paper. To this point, they have not been able to turn their potential as a team into wins. Losing Jose Reyes to a serious ankle injury hurts, and the starting pitching has to get going soon if they hope to turn things around.

Arizona Diamondbacks: 22/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 40/1

    April Record: 15-12

    The Arizona Diamondbacks had a busy offseason, trading outfield staples Chris Young and Justin Upton and adding the likes of Cody Ross, Martin Prado and Brandon McCarthy, among others.

    The surprise NL West champs in 2011, they were disappointing last season. But the overall talent is still there for them to make some noise in the NL West. Budding stars Paul Goldschmidt and Wade Miley will lead the charge this time around.

Oakland Athletics: 20/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 25/1

    April Record: 16-12

    The Oakland A's rode their fantastic young pitching staff to a postseason berth and AL West title last season, and they entered the season relying on them once again.

    The pitching has not been quite as sharp, but their offense has been the highest scoring in all of baseball with 158 runs scored through 28 games. The offense may fall off a bit moving forward, but their pitching is likely to improve.

Baltimore Orioles: 20/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 20/1

    April Record: 16-11

    After a surprise run to the playoffs last season, the Baltimore Orioles weren't going to sneak up on anyone this time around. Through the first month of the season, it looks like their 2012 campaign was no fluke.

    Questions remain at the back end of the bullpen and second base, but their offense has been potent behind breakout star Chris Davis. They also still have one of the best bullpens in all of baseball.

Los Angeles Angels: 18/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 7/1

    April Record: 9-17

    After coming up short of a postseason spot last year after spending big in the offseason, the Angels were busy again this winter. They signed Josh Hamilton to a five-year, $125 million deal and completely reworked their rotation behind Jered Weaver and C.J. Wilson.

    The three-headed monster of Mike Trout, Albert Pujols and Josh Hamilton have all started slowly, and ace Weaver is currently on the shelf. It's been a rough start, but this team is capable of turning it around and still has the pieces to be a legitimate contender.

New York Yankees: 18/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 20/1

    April Record: 16-10

    Considering how much of their roster is on the disabled list right now, the New York Yankees' start to the season has been nothing short of amazing. They should only improve with the return of guys like Mark Teixeira and Curtis Granderson sometime before the All-Star break.

    Low-cost veterans Vernon Wells and Travis Hafner have helped carry the offense to this point and done far more than anyone could have hoped. Expectations were low entering the season, but they appear to have a real shot at contending.

Los Angeles Dodgers: 15/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 8/1

    April Record: 13-13

    For the free-spending Los Angeles Dodgers, anything short of a World Series trip would be a disappointment at this point. After a somewhat slow start, they are 6-3 over their last nine games.

    Getting Zack Greinke back healthy will be a plus. Matt Kemp getting on track alongside the already-performing Adrian Gonzalez and Carl Crawford should be enough for them to get on track toward contention.

San Francisco Giants: 15/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 12/1

    April Record: 15-12

    The reigning champs and winners of two of the past three World Series (in case you hadn't heard that from their fans), the San Francisco Giants returned essentially the same roster after re-signing Angel Pagan, Marco Scutaro and Jeremy Affeldt.

    The offense has been better than expected this season and should be even better with Buster Posey starting to pick things up. However, starters Matt Cain and Ryan Vogelsong have struggled. The pitching staff as a whole needs to gain some semblance of consistency for them to have a shot at repeating.

St. Louis Cardinals: 12/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 16/1

    April Record: 15-11

    Backed by their veteran core, the St. Louis Cardinals were able to make a late-season push to earn a postseason berth last year. The pieces are there for them to be playing in October once again this year.

    The emergence of Shelby Miller has helped ease the loss of Chris Carpenter and Kyle Lohse, but the bullpen has been an issue with Jason Motte on the disabled list to open the season. Provided it can round into form, they have a shot at contending once again.

Boston Red Sox: 12/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 30/1

    April Record: 18-8

    The Red Sox wrapped up April with the best record in baseball. The myriad of offseason additions they made have proved fruitful so far, led by Mike Napoli.

    It's not only been the new additions, though. Starters Clay Buchholz and Jon Lester have bounced back after down seasons last year, and David Ortiz has made an immediate impact since coming off of the DL. As long as they can stay healthy and figure out the back end of their rotation, they have to be considered the front-runners in the AL East.

Washington Nationals: 10/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 7/1

    April Record: 13-14

    The Washington Nationals entered the season as the favorites in the National League. On paper, they had the best roster top-to-bottom of any team in baseball. After finishing with the best record in baseball last season, they are off to a slow start this year, falling short of expectations to this point.

    Ryan Zimmerman and Adam LaRoche have started slowly, though Bryce Harper has helped offset that with a fantastic start. Their pitching was their biggest strength last year, but Gio Gonzalez and Dan Haren have struggled early. The bullpen has not been as lights-out as last year, but the talent is there for them to win it all.

Texas Rangers: 10/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 20/1

    April Record: 17-9

    The Texas Rangers' high-powered offense took a hit this offseason with the departures of Josh Hamilton, Mike Napoli and Michael Young. They entered the season expected by many to finish behind the Angels and A's in the AL West.

    Instead, their pitching has stepped up with an AL-best 3.14 ERA as a staff and carried the team to the second-best record in the AL so far. Yu Darvish is pitching like a legitimate ace, and the duo of Justin Grimm and Nicholas Tepesch have been fantastic as injury replacements.

Cincinnati Reds: 10/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 9/1

    April Record: 15-13

    After re-signing Ryan Ludwick and trading for Shin-Soo Choo, the Cincinnati Reds entered the season with arguably the most complete roster in all of baseball. After running away with the NL Central last season, they entered 2013 in a better position than ever to contend for a title.

    Losing Ludwick to a shoulder injury has created a hole in left field, and Johnny Cueto has missed time, but the emergence of Tony Cingrani in the rotation is a major plus. As long as they can avoid any further injuries, there is no reason they can't be one of the top teams in the National League.

Atlanta Braves: 8/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 14/1

    April Record: 17-9

    The Atlanta Braves got off to a blistering start, opening the season 12-1. While they have fallen off a bit since, there is no question that they have the pieces to make a serious run at the World Series.

    Their bullpen is once again one of the best in the league, the starting rotation has been solid and the offense has already reaped the rewards of adding Justin Upton, who leads the majors in home runs. Getting Jason Heyward and B.J. Upton going will only make them better, and the Braves have the pieces to be a dangerous team come October.

Detroit Tigers: 6/1

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    Opening Day Odds: 6/1

    April Record: 15-10

    The reigning AL champions, the Tigers entered the 2013 season looking even better than they did last year, with the signing of Torii Hunter, re-signing of Anibal Sanchez and return of Victor Martinez from injury.

    The duo of Miguel Cabrera and Prince Fielder are putting up lofty numbers, while the starting rotation has been dominant outside of the struggles of Rick Porcello. With Jose Valverde back to shore up the closer spot, the team has no clear-cut weakness at this point.