Jaguars 2013 Mock Draft: Predictions for Day 2 and Beyond
The Jacksonville Jaguars entered day one of the NFL draft on with seven picks. They exited Thursday night's action with six picks remaining and their gaping hole at right tackle filled by rookie Luke Joeckel from Texas A&M.
In terms of filling needs, general manager Dave Caldwell has filled one of the most glaring holes on the team. There are still needs to be met, however, so here is a look at what Caldwell, head coach Gus Bradley and the Jaguars might do with the rest of their picks to fill the remaining holes on their roster.
Round 2, Pick 1: Arthur Brown, LB, Kansas State
This is honestly not the pick I would make, but maybe I am just blinded by the quarterback thirst.
Geno Smith lasted through the entire first round and is still on the board going into day two. He's a player I personally would've had no problem taking second overall.
Arthur Brown is a bit on the small side, but he's a fantastic linebacker with very good speed and outstanding instincts. He has a nose for the ball and is a standout tackler.
Brown is only 6' 0", but weighs in around 245 pounds. He didn't run at the combine, but is extremely fast on tape. He shows the ability to find the ball-carrier in traffic, has tremendous pursuit ability and gives max effort on every play.
Possessing the ability to drop into coverage as well as excellent run-stopping ability, Brown is the top linebacker on a lot of people's boards, including the board of one of my favorite draft analysts, Eric Stoner of Rotoworld.com.
The Jaguars would be able to slot Brown into either the weak-side or strong-side linebacker position from day one, leaving Russell Allen and Geno Hayes to battle for the other starting spot. Brown could eventually replace Paul Posluszny as the team's long-term middle linebacker.
Quite honestly, I'll be surprised if the Jaguars hang onto this pick. There are a lot of players left that should interest them and this is their best remaining chance to add picks with significant value by trading down.
Round 3, Pick 2: Sanders Commings, CB, Georgia
Unchanged from my initial mock, Sanders Commings stays as the Jaguars' third-round pick. The fit just makes too much sense.
Commings is a big, physical cornerback who can make life difficult for wide receivers at the line of scrimmage. He ran faster than expected at the combine, clocking a 4.41 in the 40-yard dash.
Head coach Gus Bradley's defensive scheme will be similar to the one he ran in Seattle, and that means bigger corners that can play press-man coverage. Commings' strength is in a press man scheme; he is a much better fit playing one-on-one with a receiver than trying to maintain a zone.
Commings would be able to step in and likely start from day one, especially with the Jaguars' stable of cornerbacks down to free agent signee Alan Ball and a host of backups from last year. In fact, he could spend his rookie season mirroring opponents' No. 1 wide receivers such as Andre Johnson and Reggie Wayne.
I don't see this pick being a popular trade target and I expect the Jaguars to move down from pick 33 on Friday, so they will likely stay put here and make a selection.
Commings seems like a perfect fit.
Round 4, Pick 1: Matt Scott, QB, Arizona
With the Jaguars taking Luke Joeckel, my Reid Fragel pick from my original mock doesn't really make sense anymore.
I also had to replace E.J. Manuel with the 33rd pick because—(A) the Jaguars seem extremely unlikely to take a quarterback at that slot, and (B) he's already a Buffalo Bill.
Enter Matt Scott.
New Jaguars quarterbacks coach Frank Scelfo was Scott's position coach at the University of Arizona, making this one of those "way too easy" connections. However, Scott makes sense for the Jaguars here.
Early in the offseason, both GM Dave Caldwell and coach Gus Bradley suggested they valued a quarterback's ability to move outside the pocket and take off and run. Scott ran a 4.69 40-yard dash at the combine and has the physical ability to develop into a solid passer. He's extremely raw right now, but what fourth-round quarterback isn't?
Scott is a smallish quarterback at 6' 2", which isn't short, but he also only weighs 213 pounds. He likely needs to add weight before being able to take hits in the NFL. Scott's role on the Jaguars would be that of a backup/developmental quarterback, the situation he is best-suited for at this point.
I'd rather take a raw player with potential, like Scott, on the third day of the draft than a flawed player with more "polish", like Landry Jones. At least with, Scott there's the potential he develops into a difference-maker. Players like Jones simply are who they are.
I see Caldwell being willing to pull the trigger on riskier, higher-ceiling players on day three, and that's exactly what Scott represents.
Round 5, Pick 2: T. J. McDonald, S, USC
Second verse, same as the first—T. J. McDonald is still my pick for Jacksonville in the fifth round.
McDonald is a safety in the Kam Chancellor mold. He's a big, physical player who thrives in the "box". Gus Bradley's defense is designed for a single high safety (Dwight Lowery) to patrol center field while the strong safety (McDonald's role) patrols the interior and makes plays against the run and in the short passing game.
Limitations in coverage aside, McDonald is an ideal fit for the role he would be asked to play. He won't be asked to cover wide receivers deep downfield, which is good because he can't.
The Jaguars have a gaping hole at strong safety, and though he is far from an all-around safety, McDonald possess the attributes to be a capable starter from day one at strong safety in Bradley's defense.
Round 6, Pick 1: Sheldon Price, CB, UCLA
Sheldon Price was in my original mock, but as a fifth-round pick. Why did I move him up?
Upon writing the blurb on Price for my initial mock, I realized a player with these measurables isn't likely to last all the way until the seventh round. Though there's obviously a chance a team takes a chance on Price even before this, I felt the sixth was a more reasonable landing spot for him.
Price would be the second cornerback selected by the Jaguars in this year's draft, but again, the team has almost nothing at the position on the depth chart. It's Alan Ball, Mike Harris and a bunch of backups from a 2-14 roster.
Sheldon Price is a big, physical corner that has a chance to excel in a press-man scheme, making him a perfect fit for Jacksonville. Gus Bradley's defense demands larger corners that can hold up in man-to-man coverage and that's a role Price should be able to play.
Aside from having a shot at playing time at cornerback, Price should also be able to contribute on special teams from day one. He would have a chance to compete for a starting spot, but would more likely be the first man off the bench in the event of an injury.
Round 7, Pick 2: Kyle Juszczyk, FB/TE, Harvard
Kyle Juszczyk is listed as a fullback, and given GM Dave Caldwell's reluctance to pay Greg Jones what he was asking, it seems fair to ask why Caldwell would draft a fullback.
First off, Juszczyk is listed primarily as a fullback, but he is really a hybrid between a fullback and a "move" tight end. Juszczyk should play a role similar to former Houston Texan James Casey, who just got a three-year, $12 million contract from the Philadelphia Eagles.
Juszczyk has solid blocking ability, but his real strength is catching the ball. In four years at Harvard, he amassed 125 catches for 1,452 yards and 22 touchdowns, including 52 catches for 706 yards and eight touchdowns his senior year.
On the Jaguars, Juszczyk would battle Montell Owens and other potential fullback additions for playing time as the primary fullback. He should also be able to make a niche for himself as a "move" tight end that can create matchup problems for the defense by motioning out of the backfield and lining up wide against a linebacker.
Is it a "sexy" pick? No, but players like Juszczyk can absolutely help a team win games, and that makes him a solid fit for the Jaguars.