2013 NFL Mock Draft Roundup: The Latest Expert Consensus

Brad Gagnon@Brad_Gagnon NFL National ColumnistApril 9, 2013

2013 NFL Mock Draft Roundup: The Latest Expert Consensus

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    Two weeks ago, Bleacher Report's Andrea Hangst brought you a roundup of the players a collection of experts had pegged to be drafted with each pick of the first round of the 2013 NFL draft. But things move real quickly during draft season, so a lot of the speculation has changed since then. 

    We've scanned 10 mock drafts from popular national writers and analysts, all of which were published in the last week, in an effort to establish something of a consensus (or at least a majority favorite) for each team with a first-round selection (sorry, Seahawks and Redskins).

    Our 10 experts for this exercise are:

1. Kansas City Chiefs: Luke Joeckel (OT, Texas A&M)

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    How they voted: 

    Luke Joeckel (OT, Texas A&M): 8 (Schottey, Kiper, McShay, Campbell, Banks, Rang, Florio, Fairburn)

    Eric Fisher (OT, Central Michigan): 2 (Brooks, Lande)

    So we have unanimous agreement that it'll be a tackle going first overall, ending a run of four straight years with quarterbacks being selected with the top pick. Kansas City, of course, traded for Alex Smith earlier in the offseason, and it doesn't appear as though there are any blue-chip quarterback prospects in this draft.

    Luke Joeckel has always received more attention than Eric Fisher, but a strong spring from the Central Michigan product has made this more of a decision and process than anticipated. Fisher is considered to be a slightly better athlete, and that's something Brooks mentions in his analysis. Lande simply concludes that Fisher is the better player of the two. 

2. Jacksonville Jaguars: Dion Jordan (DE/OLB, Oregon)

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    How they voted:

    Dion Jordan (DE/OLB, Oregon): 4 (McShay, Campbell, Florio, Lande)

    Geno Smith (QB, West Virginia): 3 (Schottey, Brooks, Fairburn)

    Sharrif Floyd (DT, Florida): 2 (Banks, Rang)

    Ziggy Ansah (DE, BYU): 1 (Kiper)

    So, according to the experts, it'll either be Geno Smith or a defensive lineman who can help with the pass rush. Makes sense for a team that has only Blaine Gabbert and Chad Henne on the QB depth chart and had a league-low 20 sacks in 2012.

    In fact, over the last four seasons, every NFL team has at least 100 sacks, except the Jaguars (91).

    The experts are split here because Dion Jordan appears to be the best player available while also filling a need, but Geno Smith is the best quarterback available for a team lacking a signal-caller.

3. Oakland Raiders: Sharrif Floyd (DT, Florida)

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    How they voted: 

    Sharrif Floyd (DT, Florida): 4 (Kiper, Campbell, Brooks, Florio)

    Star Lotulelei (DT, Utah): 3 (Rang, Lande, Fairburn)

    Ziggy Ansah (DE, BYU): 1 (Schottey)

    Dion Jordan (DE/OLB, Oregon): 1 (Banks)

    Dee Milliner (CB, Alabama): 1 (McShay)

    A pair of the six experts that didn't give Floyd to the Raiders couldn't do so because they already had him going off the board to Jacksonville, so there's a chance we'd have a majority going with him if it came down to Sharrif Floyd versus Star Lotulelei. 

    All 10 experts agree, though, that this will be a defensive pick, with at least seven predicting that they'd pass on Geno Smith. Makes sense considering that they just traded for Matt Flynn and that they gave up more points than all but four other teams in 2012. 

4. Philadelphia Eagles: Geno Smith (QB, West Virginia)

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    How they voted:

    Geno Smith (QB, West Virginia): 2 (Kiper, Rang)

    Star Lotulelei (DT, Utah): 2 (McShay, Campbell)

    Dion Jordan (DE/OLB, Oregon): 1 (Schottey)

    Dee Milliner (CB, Alabama): 1 (Banks)

    Luke Joeckel (OT, Texas A&M): 1 (Brooks)

    Eric Fisher (OT, Central Michigan): 1 (Fairburn)

    Barkevious Mingo (OLB, LSU): 1 (Lande)

    Sheldon Richardson (DT, Missouri): 1 (Florio)

    This is a complete mess for a top-five pick, mainly because nobody knows what to expect from Chip Kelly in his first NFL draft. Keep in mind, though, that Schottey and Brooks already had Smith off the board, Lande already had Lotulelei off the board, and Fairburn already had both off the board. 

    However, Lande says he would have given the Eagles Jordan if he were still available in his mock, while Banks mentions Smith as a strong possibility, and Campbell says Fisher and Dee Milliner are strong candidates, too.

    With all of that in mind, I'm giving Smith the smallest of edges. There are at least six strong nominees but zero favorites. The debate seems to boil down to the need for a quarterback versus selecting the best player available. 

5. Detroit Lions: Eric Fisher (OT, Central Michigan)

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    How they voted:

    Eric Fisher (OT, Central Michigan): 5 (Schottey, McShay, Campbell, Banks, Rang)

    Dee Milliner (CB, Alabama): 1 (Kiper)

    Ziggy Ansah (DE, BYU): 1 (Fairburn)

    Barkevious Mingo (DE, LSU): 1 (Florio)

    Bjoern Werner (DE, Florida State): 1 (Lande)

    Lane Johnson (OT, Oklahoma): 1 (Brooks)

    It's clear that the experts feel the Lions could use some pass protection help. Brooks and Fairburn might also have gone this way had Fisher not been off their boards, but Brooks still gives them an offensive tackle in Lane Johnson. 

    Going that way would give them the chance to move Riley Reiff inside. But regardless of what happens, Detroit is in dire straights along the offensive line after some offseason losses. 

    Otherwise, it's best player available on defense, whether that helps the pass rush or secondary.

6. Cleveland Browns: Dee Milliner (CB, Alabama)

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    How they voted: 

    Dee Milliner (CB, Alabama): 6 (Schottey, Campbell, Brooks, Rang, Florio, Fairburn)

    Ziggy Ansah (DE/OLB, BYU): 2 (McShay, Banks)

    Dion Jordan (OLB, Oregon): 1 (Kiper)

    Tavon Austin (WR, West Virginia): 1 (Lande)

    Again, defense takes it in Cleveland, where Milliner has seemingly been the top mock draft candidate all offseason. He and Joe Haden could become one hell of a duo in that defensive backfield.

    But if he's gone here, the Browns would probably go with the best available pass-rusher. They'd have quite the decision to make with Jordan and Milliner both available. 

7. Arizona Cardinals: Lane Johnson (OT, Oklahoma)

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    How they voted: 

    Lane Johnson (OT, Oklahoma): 4 (Schottey, McShay, Campbell, Banks)

    Ziggy Ansah (DE, BYU): 2 (Rang, Florio)

    Eric Fisher (OT, Central Michigan): 1 (Kiper)

    Luke Joeckel (OT, Texas A&M): 1 (Lande)

    Jonathan Cooper (G, North Carolina): 1 (Brooks)

    Dion Jordan (DE/OLB, Oregon): 1 (Fairburn)

    Everyone knows the Cardinals have to address the offensive line in this draft, so they're very likely to take one of the big three tackles with the No. 7 selection. That's the way 70 percent of our experts see it going down, with Johnson the leader due to the fact that Joeckel and Fisher have already been selected at this point in most mocks. 

    It should also be noted that Brooks already had Johnson, Joeckel and Fisher off of his board, and yet he still went with an offensive lineman in North Carolina's Jonathan Cooper. 

    Rang, Florio and Fairburn weren't ready to go with Johnson this early, giving Arizona pass-rushers instead. Ansah and Jordan are good value picks here, so this works out nicely for the Cards regardless. Seven experts have now given Ansah to five different teams, while eight experts have given Jordan to five different teams. 

8. Buffalo Bills: Jonathan Cooper (G, North Carolina)

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    How they voted: 

    Jonathan Cooper (G, North Carolina): 2 (Kiper, Florio)

    Chance Warmack (G, Alabama): 2 (Brooks, Rang)

    Geno Smith (QB, West Virginia): 2 (Campbell, Banks)

    Cordarrelle Patterson (WR, Tennessee): 1 (Schottey)

    Barkevious Mingo (DE/OLB, LSU): 1 (McShay)

    Ryan Nassib (QB, Syracuse): 1 (Lande)

    Tavon Austin (WR, West Virginia): 1 (Fairburn)

    There's obviously no consensus here. I'm giving Cooper an edge because Brooks already has Cooper off of his board and probably would have given him to the Bills in this spot, and because Smith will probably end up going before Cooper.

    The point, though, is that Buffalo is quite a wild card in the top 10. That's what happens when your roster is riddled with holes. 

9. New York Jets: Barkevious Mingo (OLB, LSU)

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    How they voted: 

    Barkevious Mingo (OLB, LSU): 2 (Kiper, Fairburn)

    Dion Jordan (OLB, Oregon): 2 (Brooks, Rang)

    Bjoern Werner (DE/OLB, Florida State): 1 (Schottey)

    Jonathan Cooper (G, North Carolina): 1 (McShay)

    Tavon Austin (WR, West Virginia): 1 (Campbell)

    Jarvis Jones (OLB, Georgia): 1 (Banks)

    Cordarrelle Patterson (WR, Tennessee): 1 (Florio)

    Ziggy Ansah (OLB, BYU): 1 (Lande)

    I'm sure Jets fans would prefer Jordan here, but Mingo gets the edge in another split because he's much more likely to be available based on the first eight picks from our 10 experts. Seventy percent of our experts, however, do predict that the Jets will add an edge-rusher in Round 1. 

    For a team that, despite Rex Ryan's reputation, had just 30 sacks in 2012, that makes perfect sense. 

10. Tennessee Titans: Chance Warmack (G, Alabama)

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    How they voted: 

    Chance Warmack (G, Alabama): 3 (Kiper, Campbell, Banks)

    Keenan Allen (WR, California): 1 (Schottey)

    Sharrif Floyd (DT, Florida): 1 (McShay)

    Star Lotulelei (DT, Utah): 1 (Brooks)

    Jarvis Jones (OLB, Georgia): 1 (Rang)

    Desmond Trufant (CB, Washington): 1 (Florio)

    Sylvester Williams (DT, North Carolina): 1 (Lande)

    Bjoern Werner (DE, Florida State): 1 (Fairburn)

    There's definitely no consensus regarding what position the Titans might favor, but Chance Warmack is the only potential pick to get multiple votes from the mock drafts we reviewed. Considering that the Titans already paid Andy Levitre good money in free agency, that's an indication that the experts believe the mediocre squad should be targeting the best player available. 

    The defense is in more need of help, though, which is why the majority of the picks are on that side of the ball. 

11. San Diego Chargers: Lane Johnson (OT, Oklahoma)

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    How they voted: 

    Lane Johnson (OT, Oklahoma): 4 (Kiper, Rang, Lande, Fairburn)

    Jonathan Cooper (G, North Carolina): 2 (Campbell, Banks)

    Kenny Vaccaro (S, Texas): 1 (Schottey)

    Chance Warmack (G, Alabama): 1 (McShay)

    Barkevious Mingo (DE/OLB, LSU): 1 (Brooks)

    Keenan Allen (WR, California): 1 (Florio)

    So Johnson has managed to get twice as many votes as the rest of his peers and be the pick here for both Arizona at No. 7 and San Diego at No. 11.

    Keep in mind that this isn't a mock draft. Technically, one player could be a consensus or majority mock draft favorite for as many as five different teams. In this case, Johnson and Barkevious Mingo are popular enough to earn the popular vote edge on two separate teams. 

    Now, NFL rules don't allow one player to be chosen by two teams, but everyone listed above except safety Kenny Vaccaro and wideout Keenan Allen has flown off of our consensus draft board. 

    That's an indication that this could be a tough spot for the Bolts, who really need help at offensive tackle but could have to trade up to ensure that they land one of the big three at the position. 

12. Miami Dolphins: Xavier Rhodes (CB, Florida State)

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    How they voted: 

    Xavier Rhodes (CB, Florida State): 3 (McShay, Banks, Brooks)

    Tavon Austin (WR, West Virginia): 1 (Schottey)

    D.J. Fluker (OT, Alabama): 1 (Kiper) 

    Ziggy Ansah (DE, BYU): 1 (Campbell) 

    Chance Warmack (G, Alabama): 1 (Rang)

    Eric Fisher (OT, Central Michigan): 1 (Florio)

    Dee Milliner (CB, Alabama): 1 (Lande)

    Tyler Eifert (TE, Notre Dame): 1 (Fairburn)

    The Dolphins lost top cornerback Sean Smith on the free-agent market, which is why 40 percent of the experts in this exercise went with that position. If Milliner is available, this is a no-brainer, but Rhodes and Marcus Trufant could also be nice fits. 

    Fluker seems like a reach, but they need to replace Jake Long, and Kiper went heavy on tackles. Fisher and Johnson would be pleasant surprises, though. 

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Tavon Austin (WR, West Virginia)

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    How they voted: 

    Tavon Austin (WR, West Virginia): 3 (McShay, Banks, Florio)

    Xavier Rhodes (CB, Florida State): 3 (Campbell, Rang, Fairburn)

    Star Lotulelei (DT, Utah): 2 (Schottey, Kiper)

    Ziggy Ansah (DE, BYU): 1 (Brooks)

    Tyler Eifert (TE, Notre Dame): 1 (Lande)

    We break the tie because Rhodes has already won the popular vote earlier in the draft, but it's tight. Both of the top two guys here have been picked by exactly six of the 10 experts thus far. 

    This pick is an intriguing one because the Buccaneers could still be in the mix for Darrelle Revis at this point. If they don't go that way, they'll desperately need a corner like Rhodes. Otherwise, they could use a complementary weapon for Vincent Jackson in the receiving corps or some reinforcements up front on defense. The mock drafts reflect that.

14. Carolina Panthers: Sheldon Richardson (DT, Missouri)

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    How they voted: 

    Sheldon Richardson (DT, Missouri): 5 (Kiper, McShay, Campbell, Brooks, Rang)

    Star Lotulelei (DT, Utah): 2 (Banks, Florio)

    Chance Warmack (G, Alabama): 1 (Schottey)

    Sharrif Floyd (DT, Florida): 1 (Lande)

    Cordarrelle Patterson (WR, Tennessee): 1 (Fairburn)

    It's rare to see a guy get 50 percent of the vote this deep into the first round, but Richardson makes a ton of sense here considering how much help the Panthers could use against the run up front. You can imagine Banks and Lande would go this route, too, if they didn't have Lotulelei and Floyd dropping into this spot. 

    Florio's in the minority with Lotulelei and Richardson essentially in reverse spots (the latter going to the Eagles in the No. 4 spot), but even he agrees that defensive tackle makes the most sense here.

15. New Orleans Saints: Barkevious Mingo (OLB, LSU)

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    How they voted:

    Barkevious Mingo (OLB, LSU): 4 (Schottey, Campbell, Banks, Rang)

    Jarvis Jones (OLB, Georgia): 2 (Kiper, Brooks)

    Alec Ogletree (LB, Georgia): 1 (McShay)

    Jonathan Cooper (G, North Carolina): 1 (Florio)

    Menelik Watson (OT, Florida State): 1 (Lande)

    Sheldon Richardson (DT, Missouri): 1 (Fairburn)

    This is the second case in which one player has become the favorite for two separate teams. What it means? The Saints could be hoping that Mingo gets past the Jets in the same way the Chargers might hope that Lane Johnson gets past Arizona.

    It's nearly a consensus, though, that the Saints need quality front-seven defenders for their new 3-4 look.

    I'm a bit surprised that the four experts yet to use FSU cornerback Xavier Rhodes didn't consider him here, because New Orleans was particularly terrible in coverage last season. 

16. St. Louis Rams: Cordarrelle Patterson (WR, Tennessee)

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    How they voted: 

    Cordarrelle Patterson (WR, Tennessee): 3 (McShay, Campbell, Banks)

    Tavon Austin (WR, West Virginia): 3 (Kiper, Brooks, Rang)

    Kenny Vaccaro (S, Texas): 2 (Florio, Fairburn)

    Alex Ogletree (LB, Georgia): 1 (Schottey)

    Keenan Allen (WR, California): 1 (Lande)

    Patterson edges out Austin because all 10 of the experts have Austin flying off the board first. In other words, it's a consensus that he's a better pick at the receiver spot, but the odds favor him being off the board here. 

    The majority does agree that the Rams need a receiver for Sam Bradford and the offense to take the next step forward. However, Vaccaro is probably the best player available here, especially if Austin's gone.

17. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jarvis Jones (OLB, Georgia)

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    How they voted: 

    Jarvis Jones (OLB, Georgia): 2 (McShay, Campbell)

    Cordarrelle Patterson (WR, Tennessee): 2 (Brooks, Rang)

    Sharrif Floyd (DT, Florida): 1 (Schottey)

    Tyler Eifert (TE, Notre Dame): 1 (Kiper)

    Kenny Vaccaro (S, Texas): 1 (Banks)

    Damontre Moore (OLB, Texas A&M): 1 (Florio)

    Tank Carradine (DE/OLB, Florida State): 1 (Lande)

    DeAndre Hopkins (WR, Clemson): 1 (Fairburn)

    Four experts go with potential replacements for James Harrison, and three go with potential replacements for Mike Wallace. Floyd and Vaccaro would represent best-available-type picks, while the Eifert selection from Kiper is a little baffling at this stage.

    Keep in mind that, not long ago, Jones was considered to be a top-five selection. 

18. Dallas Cowboys: Kenny Vaccaro (S, Texas)

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    How they voted: 

    Kenny Vaccaro (S, Texas): 3 (McShay, Campbell, Brooks)

    Sylvester Williams (DT, North Carolina): 2 (Kiper, Rang)

    Jonathan Cooper (G, North Carolina): 1 (Schottey)

    D.J. Fluker (OT, Alabama): 1 (Banks)

    Xavier Rhodes (CB, Florida State): 1 (Florio)

    Sheldon Richardson (DT, Missouri): 1 (Lande)

    Chance Warmack (G, Alabama): 1 (Fairburn)

    Vaccaro's been linked to Dallas throughout the draft season, so this is no surprise. The majority of our experts had already given Cooper and Warmack to other teams (plus, they split the vote), which is why those two took a back seat to the draft's highest-ranked safety. 

    I don't think Williams, Richardson and Rhodes are quite there in terms of filling holes and addressing needs, but Williams' stock is rising rapidly. 

19. New York Giants: Bjoern Werner (DE, Florida State)

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    How they voted:

    Bjoern Werner (DE, Florida State): 3 (Campbell, Banks, Rang)

    Sheldon Richardson (DT, Missouri): 1 (Schottey)

    Marcus Trufant (CB, Washington): 1 (Kiper)

    D.J. Fluker (OT, Alabama): 1 (McShay)

    Alec Ogletree (LB, Georgia): 1 (Brooks)

    Tyler Eifert (TE, Notre Dame): 1 (Florio)

    Kenny Vaccaro (S, Texas): 1 (Lande)

    Tank Carradine (DE, Florida State): 1 (Fairburn)

    The experts were all over the map with this pick, except for with Werner, who has been mocked to the Giants more than any other prospect this draft season. The team is in desperate need of some support for Jason Pierre-Paul, and the extremely productive Werner fits the profile perfectly. 

    Beyond that, seven experts have the Giants drafting seven separate positions, with Werner's college teammate Carradine also getting some love from Fairburn.

    Eight of the 10 picks are on defense, where New York lost Osi Umenyiora, Chris Canty, Chase Blackburn, Michael Boley and Kenny Phillips earlier this offseason. 

20. Chicago Bears: Alec Ogletree (LB, Georgia)

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    How they voted:

    Alec Ogletree (LB, Georgia): 2 (Banks, Rang)

    Tyler Eifert (TE, Notre Dame): 2 (McShay, Campbell)

    Tank Carradine (DE, Florida State): 1 (Schottey)

    Manti Te'o (LB, Notre Dame): 1 (Kiper)

    Desmond Trufant (CB, Washington): 1 (Brooks)

    Sylvester Williams (DT, North Carolina): 1 (Florio)

    Chance Warmack (G, Alabama): 1 (Lande)

    Jonathan Cooper (G, North Carolina): 1 (Fairburn)

    Both Eifert and Ogletree have been selected by five experts thus far, but I give the edge to Ogletree by the smallest of margins because Banks and Rang both had the Bears passing on Eifert, while only Campbell had them passing on Ogletree. 

    In reality, this is a toss-up between those two. The only takeaway here is that the Bears could use help in a lot of areas but aren't desperate anywhere in particular.

    The Bears signed Martellus Bennett in free agency, but Ogletree would be a potential replacement for Brian Urlacher and/or Nick Roach, so he makes the most sense on our end. 

21. Cincinnati Bengals: D.J. Fluker (OT, Alabama)

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    How they voted: 

    D.J. Fluker (OT, Alabama): 5 (Campbell, Brooks, Rang, Florio, Lande)

    Jonathan Cyprien (S, Florida International): 2 (Schottey, Fairburn)

    Desmond Trufant (CB, Washington): 2 (McShay, Banks)

    Alec Ogletree (LB, Georgia): 1 (Kiper)

    This obviously could change quite a bit if Andre Smith returns to the Bengals, but right tackle looks like a huge need area for them right now. Cyprien's also an intriguing option who could play a major role right away, but I doubt they'd go with Trufant after taking a corner in Round 1 last year. 

    If Smith doesn't return and Fluker is picked before the Bengals are on the clock, things get interesting. 

22. St. Louis Rams: Eddie Lacy (RB, Alabama)

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    How they voted:

    Eddie Lacy (RB, Alabama): 3 (Schottey, Brooks, Florio)

    Kenny Vaccaro (S, Texas): 2 (Kiper, Rang)

    Sylvester Williams (DT, North Carolina): 1 (McShay)

    Alec Ogletree (LB, Georgia): 1 (Campbell)

    Matt Elam (S, Florida): 1 (Banks)

    Jonathan Cooper (G, North Carolina): 1 (Lande)

    D.J. Fluker (OT, Alabama): 1 (Fairburn)

    It goes without saying that this pick will hinge on what the Rams do with the No. 16 overall pick, but Lacy makes some sense regardless. I'd prefer to see them add Vaccaro if he's still available, which Kiper and Rang believe will be the case, but Lacy could be a long-term replacement for Steven Jackson. 

    Cooper would be a great value pick and could start from the get-go as well, so there could be plenty of quality options here for St. Louis. 

23. Minnesota Vikings: Manti Te'o (LB, Notre Dame)

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    How they voted:

    Manti Te'o (LB, Notre Dame): 2 (Brooks, Rang)

    Cordarrelle Patterson (WR, Tennessee): 2 (Kiper, Lande)

    Xavier Rhodes (S, Florida State): 1 (Schottey)

    Bjoern Werner (DE, Florida State): 1 (McShay)

    Sylvester Williams (DT, North Carolina): 1 (Campbell)

    Sheldon Richardson (DT, Missouri): 1 (Banks)

    Eddie Lacy (RB, Alabama): 1 (Florio)

    Sharrif Floyd (DT, Florida): 1 (Fairburn)

    This was the toughest one yet, partly because we're entering the bottom of Round 1 and partly because the Vikings are on the clock again two picks from this spot.

    Kiper has them going with Lacy but with the No. 25 selection, while McShay and Banks also have them going with Te'o two spots later. That's ultimately why we're going with Te'o here and giving them Keenan Allen 25th. 

    In terms of the chase for mock draft love, Patterson and Lacy have to settle for honorable mentions here. 

    Te'o does seem as though he'd be a nice fit in Minnesota, where Chad Greenway and Erin Henderson are there to bring him along. 

24. Indianapolis Colts: Arthur Brown (LB, Kansas St.) or Datone Jones (DE, UCLA)

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    How they voted: 

    Arthur Brown (LB, Kansas State): 2 (Schottey, Banks)

    Datone Jones (DE, UCLA): 2 (Campbell, Florio)

    Xavier Rhodes (CB, Florida State): 1 (Kiper)

    Keenan Allen (WR, California): 1 (McShay)

    Damontre Moore (DE/OLB, Texas A&M): 1 (Brooks)

    Johnathan Hankins (DT, Ohio State): 1 (Rang)

    Alec Ogletree (LB, Georgia): 1 (Lande)

    Jarvis Jones (OLB, Georgia): 1 (Fairburn)

    This is the first tie that we literally have no ability to break because neither Brown nor Jones had been mocked by any of our 10 experts until we got to this spot.

    The undersized Brown would be a gamble in the first round but could start from the get-go in the linebacking corps, while the versatile Jones could be a force up front. 

    One important takeaway: Eight of the 10 experts are giving the Colts someone who can upgrade the defensive front seven.

25. Minnesota Vikings: Keenan Allen (WR, California)

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    How they voted:

    Keenan Allen (WR, California): 3 (Campbell, Brooks, Rang)

    Manti Te'o (LB, Notre Dame): 2 (McShay, Banks)

    Quinton Patton (WR, Louisiana Tech): 1 (Schottey)

    Kevin Minter (LB, LSU): 1 (Kiper)

    Tharold Simon (CB, LSU): 1 (Florio)

    Xavier Rhodes (CB, Florida State): 1 (Lande)

    Arthur Brown (LB, Kansas State): 1 (Fairburn)

    Allen would at least try to replace Percy Harvin and would give Minnesota two promising young wideouts when combined with Jarius Wright. Since Te'o won the popular vote in the No. 23 spot, this is a no-brainer, leaving the Vikings with quality prospects on both sides of the ball in Round 1. 

    One other guy to consider is Rhodes, who would be a major steal this low and got votes in both spots for the Vikes. He'd be a potential long-term replacement for Antoine Winfield, so I wouldn't complain if they went that way, either. 

26. Green Bay Packers: Matt Elam (S, Florida) or Menelik Watson (OT, FSU)

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    How they voted:

    Matt Elam (S, Florida): 2 (Schottey, Rang)

    Menelik Watson (OT, Florida State): 2 (McShay, Campbell)

    Eddie Lacy (RB, Alabama): 2 (Kiper, Lande)

    Tyler Eifert (TE, Notre Dame): 1 (Banks)

    Eric Reid (S, LSU): 1 (Brooks)

    John Jenkins (NT, Georgia): 1 (Florio)

    Manti Te'o (LB, Notre Dame): 1 (Fairburn)

    The majority of the experts have already thrown Lacy out there in earlier spots, so the odds are in favor of Elam and Watson, neither of whom had been mocked to this point. But I'd say the Packers need a safety more than they need an offensive tackle, and Elam's name has been connected to this pick more than Watson.

    Still, it feels like a toss-up at this stage. And I'd include Eifert in that mix. If he drops to them, the Packers will have a hard time passing him up. 

27. Houston Texans: Robert Woods (WR, USC)

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    How they voted:

    Robert Woods (WR, USC): 3 (Kiper, Brooks, Rang)

    DeAndre Hopkins (WR, Clemson): 2 (McShay, Campbell)

    Keenan Allen (WR, California): 2 (Banks, Fairburn)

    Jarvis Jones (OLB, Georgia): 1 (Schottey)

    Lane Johnson (OT, Oklahoma): 1 (Florio)

    Arthur Brown (LB, Kansas State): 1 (Lande)

    Let's just start by saying that Florio is out to lunch on this one. Johnson at 27? It doesn't seem as though he'll get out of the top 20. 

    The majority of experts believe that this will be a wide receiver to complement Andre Johnson, which makes a lot of sense. 

    Allen is probably the better value pick here, but there's a very solid chance he'll be gone. Brooks and Rang both give them Woods, but they both have Allen going to Minnesota two picks earlier. Campbell has Hopkins behind Allen, but he and McShay don't have Woods coming off the board until Round 2. 

28. Denver Broncos: Datone Jones (DE, UCLA)

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    How they voted:

    Datone Jones (DE, UCLA): 2 (Schottey, Rang)

    Sylvester Williams (DT, North Carolina): 2 (Banks, Brooks)

    D.J. Hayden (CB, Houston): 1 (Kiper)

    Jamar Taylor (CB, Boise State): 1 (McShay)

    Tank Carradine (DE, Florida State): 1 (Campbell)

    Kevin Minter (LB, LSU): 1 (Florio)

    Corey Lemonier (DE, Auburn): 1 (Lande)

    Damontre Moore (DE/OLB, Texas A&M): 1 (Fairburn)

    Wow. Eight different names from 10 different experts and they're all defensive players. I spy several potential replacements for Elvis Dumervil as well as two potential long-term replacements for Champ Bailey, but nobody's able to stand out. 

    Jones wins the tiebreaker in this case because he was selected by more of the experts to be picked in this general range, whereas Williams was pegged as a top-23 pick by four of the eight experts who didn't use him here.

    But right now, there's no telling where the Broncos might go with this pick. But everyone's pretty sure it'll be a defensive one.

29. New England Patriots: Don't Even Bother

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    How they voted:

    Justin Hunter (WR, Tennessee): 2 (Kiper, Campbell)

    Margus Hunt (DE, SMU): 2 (Banks, Brooks)

    Jesse Williams (DT, Alabama): 1 (Schottey)

    Justin Pugh (G/T, Syracuse): 1 (McShay)

    Desmond Trufant (CB, Washington): 1 (Rang)

    DeAndre Hopkins (WR, Clemson): 1 (Florio)

    Datone Jones (DE, UCLA): 1 (Lande)

    Blidi Wreh-Wilson (CB, Connecticut): 1 (Fairburn)

    Neither Hunter nor Hunt have been mentioned thus far, so this is another late-first-round tie. I'm not looking too much into these predictions because we all know how covert the Patriots are. Plus, they like to move around, so there's no telling when they're going to actually make a selection or who they're going to target. 

    Hangst and I have pulled 10 different names from 15 different mock drafts for New England in the last three weeks, and nobody has been connected to the Patriots in more than two. 

30. Atlanta Falcons: Tank Carradine (DE, Florida State)

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    How they voted:

    Tank Carradine (DE, Florida State): 3 (McShay, Banks, Florio)

    Jamar Taylor (CB, Boise State): 2 (Schottey, Lande)

    Desmond Trufant (CB, Washington): 2 (Campbell, Fairburn)

    Margus Hunt (DE, SMU): 1 (Kiper)

    Bjoern Werner (DE, Florida State): 1 (Brooks)

    Tyler Eifert (TE, Notre Dame): 1 (Rang)

    Amazing how quickly the Falcons went from having a perceived embarrassment of riches at the cornerback position to having a desperate need to bring in a starting-caliber corner. While 50 percent of our experts have the Falcons replacing John Abraham up front, 40 percent have them drafting a replacement for Dunta Robinson on the back end. 

    And then there's Rang, who thinks they'll secure the next Tony Gonzalez if they're lucky enough to see Eifert plummet to the No. 30 spot. 

    Every single pick above makes sense. The Falcons have some very obvious needs, and they're typically on defense. 

31. San Francisco 49ers: Jonathan Cyprien (S, Florida International)

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    How they voted:

    Jonathan Cyprien (S, Florida International): 2 (Campbell, Lande)

    Desmond Trufant (CB, Washington): 1 (Schottey)

    Margus Hunt (DE, SMU): 1 (Kiper)

    John Jenkins (NT, Georgia): 1 (McShay)

    Datone Jones (DE, UCLA): 1 (Banks)

    Tyler Eifert (TE, Notre Dame): 1 (Brooks)

    Eric Reid (S, LSU): 1 (Rang)

    Jarvis Jones (OLB, Georgia): 1 (Florio)

    Jesse Williams (DT, Alabama): 1 (Fairburn)

    We came very close to having our only completely split group, but Campbell and Lande agree that Cyprien will be the pick for San Francisco in the 31st spot. Makes sense after they lost Dashon Goldson in free agency, which is probably what Rang is thinking, too (he has Reid going way ahead of Cyprien).

    Nine of the 10 experts can agree that the 49ers should go defense with this pick, and I'm most intrigued by McShay and Banks selecting guys who could contribute in the very near future as replacements for Isaac Sopoaga (who left in free agency) and Justin Smith (who is no spring chicken).

32. Baltimore Ravens: Matt Elam (S, Florida)

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    How they voted:

    Matt Elam (S, Florida): 2 (Brooks, Florio)

    Jonathan Cyprien (S, Florida International): 2 (Kiper, Lande)

    DeAndre Hopkins (WR, Clemson): 1 (Schottey)

    Quinton Patton (WR, Louisiana Tech): 1 (McShay)

    Manti Te'o (LB, Notre Dame): 1 (Campbell)

    Kevin Minter (LB, LSU): 1 (Banks)

    Justin Pugh (G/T, Syracuse): 1 (Rang)

    Menelik Watson (OT, Florida State): 1 (Fairburn)

    The Ravens can either replace Ed Reed/Bernard Pollard with Cyprien or Elam, Anquan Boldin with Hopkins or Patton or Ray Lewis/Paul Kruger/Dannell Ellerbe with Manti Te'o or Kevin Minter.

    And then there's the offensive line, which Rang and Fairburn think they'll address before getting to the rest of those spots. 

    Plenty of areas to tend to after a rocky offseason, and the popular vote says they'll deal with the safety position first.