Fantasy Football: Predicting Reggie Bush's Fantasy Value in 2013
With the news that Reggie Bush has agreed to a deal with the Detroit Lions (per Lions reporter Tim Twentyman and the team's twitter feed), the first thing on the minds of fantasy football owners is how will this affect Bush's value?
To answer that question, we need to look back before we can even begin to look forward.
But, to the surprise of many, the explosive Bush showed flashes of his incredible potential during his time in South Beach.
Over the 31 games Bush started at halfback for the Dolphins, the former Trojan standout averaged a stellar 4.67 yards per-carry, proving that he was more than capable of handling a full workload on Sundays.
While Bush thrived in the ground game, he was grossly misused in the passing attack, catching 43 passes in 2011and 35 in 2012.
So what can we expect from Reggie Bush during his first year with the Lions? Start the slideshow to find what value he will bring to the table this year in fantasy.
In the four seasons Lions' offensive coordinator Scott Linehan has been calling plays, Lions running backs have caught 89, 110, 86 and 103 balls respectively, per CBS Sports.
Now, with the addition of a true "pass-catching" back, the Lions' offense should feature a ton of plays designed with Bush in mind. These plays in the passing game will help utilize Bush's speed and explosive playmaking ability (15 total receiving touchdowns) all season long.
What makes Reggie Bush unique in the passing game is that he is blessed with great wide-receiver-like hands and the ability to run quality routes, something Matthew Stafford will be sure to take advantage of.
Fantasy owners (especially those who play in a Point-Per-Reception format) have to be excited about the pass-catching ability (four 47-plus catch season) of Bush in this high-powered Lions' offense.
2013 Projected Receiving Stat Line
50 receptions/ 605 yards/ 4 touchdowns
Receiving Value: A
Over the last two seasons in Miami, Reggie Bush carried the ball 216 and 227 times respectively.
While a lot of fantasy owners were hoping for an increased workload following an injury to Daniel Thomas, most people realized this amount was just right for a runner like Bush.
In a Lions' uniform, expect Bush to stay around the 210-220 range when it comes to carries. With a bruising complementary back like Mikel Leshoure on the roster, the Lions will have no reason to overuse Bush.
Still a dynamic runner, Bush should be able to work his way over the 1,000-yard mark this year and find pay dirt a handful of times.
The one area of concern will be the goal line. Don't draft Bush and count on him to plunge the ball in during the Lions' redzone possessions.
2013 Projected Rushing Stat Line
212 carries/ 1,100 yards/ 6 touchdowns/ 5.1 YPC
Rushing Value: B
Special Teams Value
At one point in his career, Bush was known for his electrifying punt returns, role he embraced from his USC days through his time with the New Orleans Saints, even running back three of his 20 punt returns for scores with the Saints in 2008.
But, as Bush's career has progressed, the 28-year old back has been kept away from anything involving the word special teams.
Fearing injury, the Lions will play it safe and not give Bush a role on special teams.
Special Teams Value: F
All in all, the move to Detroit is a good one career wise for Bush.
Playing in one of the most high-powered offenses in the NFL will give Bush a chance to finally become an elite fantasy option—especially when it comes to PPR leagues.
Sure, there's always the risk of injury, as Bush has only played two full seasons in the NFL. However, the reward outweighs the risk this year.
So, now the only question left on the table is where should you look to take Bush in your draft this year?
Consider him in rounds four and five for standard scoring, with second to third-round value in PPR leagues.
Standard Scoring - B
PPR Scoring- A
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