2013 NFL Draft

# NFL Combine 2013 Results: Winners and Losers from the Weekend

Ryan RiddleCorrespondent IFebruary 25, 2013

## NFL Combine 2013 Results: Winners and Losers from the Weekend

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NFL auditions are in full swing as we recap the weekend's action from the NFL Scouting Combine. The results are now finalized for the draft's offensive prospects.

To determine the combine "Winners" and "Losers," allow me to introduce you to the Dynamic Measurables Ranking system, otherwise known as DMR.

DMR is a draft metric designed to combine every aspect of a prospect's physical tool set into a single numeric value, ranging from 1 to 10.

The first component is the Dynamic Speed Average, or DSA. This measurement determines the complete speed of a prospect by averaging the times between their 40-yard dash (straight-line speed), three-cone drill (change-of-direction ability) and short shuttle (lateral speed/stop-and-go). This number is a more complete representation of a player's actual football speed than any one drill in a vacuum.

The second component is the Dynamic Explosion Total, or DET. The explosion total simply adds up the total number of a player's bench press (upper-body explosion), vertical jump (lower-body vertical explosion) and broad jump (lower-body forward explosion).

DMR then utilizes a unique formula intended to normalize a player's DSA score relative to their weight. The formula creates a number ranging from zero to 100 to determine each prospect's dynamic speed relative to their body weight. The higher the number, the better.

Once those numbers are in place, DMR gives a numeric grade to a prospect's height and arm length, which becomes part of the total DMR metric for every position except for running backs (RBs do not gain any advantage for height or arm length).

Once each value is converted into a numeric grading scale ranging from one to 10, the resulting numbers are simply averaged together to create the ultimate measurables grade, known only as DMR.

When comparing a prospect's DMR results to their projected draft status, we are given a clear formula for determining combine winners and losers.

For the metric to work, players must complete each drill factored into the DMR system. For this reason, I tried to limit this list strictly to those who completed every drill, thus attaining a complete DMR score.

All combine results courtesy of NFL.com.

## WR Da'Rick Rogers: Winner

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Last year comp: Stephen Hill, 7.48

Rogers' DMR score was extremely impressive. He racked up the second-highest score among all receivers who competed in every drill. The score demonstrates that Rogers has fantastic speed, especially for a guy of his size.

To score this high, a player can't have any weaknesses in his physical skill set. By comparison, Ryan Swope ran a speedy 4.34 40-yard dash, but his DMR score was only 6.62.

## WR Ace Sanders: Loser

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Last year comp: Pat Edwards, 4.5

Ace Sanders looks incredibly quick on tape, but he had the worst measurables of any receiver in the last two years. His small stature combined with a slow 40 time (4.58) and marginal explosion led to such terrible results.

Considering Sanders is an underclassman who figured several NFL teams would be interested in his services, he can't be happy with results that could make him undraftable.

## WR Mark Harrison: Winner

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Last year comp: Stephen Hill, 7.48

Mark Harrison made himself some money this weekend by pulling in the highest DMR score of all the receivers at the combine.

Harrison had a great vertical jump (38.5 inches) and three-cone time (6.99 seconds) while weighing in at 231 pounds. That rare combination of athleticism and size helped to give Harrison one of the top receiver scores over the last two drafts.

## WR Terrance Williams: Loser

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Last year comp: Justin Blackmon, 5.85

Terrance Williams was the most productive receiver in the nation last year. But after a poor showing at the combine, he now must face the possibility of significantly sliding backward in this draft.

This a deep class of receivers, and Williams may get lost in the middle of the pack after a poor showing in Indianapolis.

## TE Tyler Eifert: Winner

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Last year comp: Michael Egnew, 7.34

Tyler Eifert posted the fifth-best DMR among tight ends within the last two draft classes. Not bad numbers for a guy who wasn't expected to dominate the competition with such a rare set of physical gifts. That was supposed to be Stanford's Zach Ertz.

Eifert's best drill was the three cone, which he completed in 6.92 seconds despite weighing 250 pounds. Getting that much weight to change directions so quickly is a rare skill. He is truly a dynamic athlete, making him a clear combine winner.

## TE Zach Ertz: Loser

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Last year comp: Dwayne Allen, 6.04

Anyone who has compared Ertz to former Stanford teammate Coby Fleener has seriously overrated Ertz's physical abilities. Although Fleener didn't complete his three-cone drill, he was performing in the range of 7.5 in every other category. This makes Fleener significantly more gifted physically than Ertz.

Ertz struggled to impress in his short shuttle run (4.47 seconds) and vertical jump (30.5 inches). He also has short arms for a 6'5" frame.

## RB Knile Davis: Winner

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Height: 5'10"

Weight: 227 pounds

Last year comp: Doug Martin, 8.07

Doug Martin may not have burned up the track running his 40, but he did excel in every other area.

Knile Davis measures in as your prototypical running back. He weighs 227 pounds, yet he managed a 4.37 40-yard dash. His impressive numbers didn't stop there, as Davis benched 225 pounds an astonishing 31 times to finish second among all running backs.

If Davis can hold onto the football, he may have a stellar pro career.

## RB Ray Graham: Loser

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Height: 5'9"

Weight: 199 pounds

Last year comp: None

Ray Graham unfortunately serves as a shining example of why this running back class is so weak. His 4.67 DMR grade is significantly lower than any other running back on last year's DMR list. The silver lining could be that Graham is not the owner of the worst grade in this RB class.

His most glaring weakness is weighing only 199 pounds and still running a slow 4.8 in the 40-yard dash. Graham also struggled to be explosive, as indicated by his DET grade.

## RB Michael Ford: Winner

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Height: 5'9"

Weight: 210 pounds

Last year comp: Doug Martin, 8.07

Michael Ford is one of the most explosive athletes in this draft, as evidenced by his 9.5 DET grade. He could be soaring up draft charts after such a great all-around performance.

Ford has tied Doug Martin with the second-best DMR grade of the last two drafts. All he needs to do now is match up his physical gifts with his on-field performance.

## RB Stepfan Taylor: Loser

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Height: 5'9"

Weight: 214 pounds

Last year comp: None

Stepfan Taylor is a tough, hard-working prospect who maximizes every ounce of his physical abilities on the football field. After this weekend, Taylor may have proven his physical limitations could be too great to overcome.

The Stanford running back lacks both speed and explosion, which led to the worst RB grade in the two years of the DMR's existence.

## RB Christine Michael: Winner

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Height: 5'10"

Weight: 220 pounds

Last year comp: None

Christine Michael is now the proud owner of the highest DMR score for a running back to date. This is the result of a solid frame, excellent quickness and power. His 43-inch vertical jump is by far the highest this year.

No RB has come anywhere close to a 9.1 up to this point. This type of performance should move Michael much higher on most draft boards. His issues are character concerns and durability, but this is clearly an intriguing prospect.

## RB Montee Ball: Loser

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Height: 5'10"

Weight: 214 pounds

Last year comp: Chris Polk, 5.8

Heading into the combine, Ball was fighting to keep his third-round grade. Now it appears he may slip even further. Given this lackluster DMR grade, Ball may end up becoming a fifth- or sixth-round pick.

Ball ran a 4.66 40-yard dash, but his worst event was the short shuttle (4.4).

## G Jonathan Cooper: Winner

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Arm length grade: 6 (33 inches)

Last year comp: Kevin Zeitler, 4.98

Jonathan Cooper leads the way for a group of guards who failed to live up to last year's numbers. Cooper put on a solid all-around performance relative to his position. Guards tend to be the less athletic linemen and often lack the physical tools to play tackle.

Cooper is not physical freak based off his DMR grade, but he may have closed the gap between him and Chance Warmack.

## G Larry Warford: Loser

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Last year comp: Brandon Washington, 3.9

Warford's impressive game tape may have to take a backseat to his recent performance at the combine. Having a DMR grade of 4 is very much below average. This should hurt the stock of a guy who might have been looked at in the second round.

Based on his combine results, Warford is neither quick nor explosive.

## T Eric Fisher: Winner

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Last year comp: Donald Stephenson, 6.34

This is a draft class of amazingly athletic offensive tackles. In any other draft, Luke Joeckel would be one of the more physically gifted players, but guys like Eric Fisher could have some teams questioning whether Joeckel is as good as advertised.

Fisher's 6.78 DMR grade ranks him second-best all-time among offensive linemen.

## T Luke Joeckel: Loser

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Last year comp: Brandon Mosley, 5.74

Although Luke Joeckel had one of the best combine performances of the last two years by an offensive lineman, he still is in danger of losing the consensus No. 1 offensive tackle spot. He and Eric Fisher are now neck-and-neck heading down the stretch. Fisher is clearly the better athlete of the two.

## T Lane Johnson: Winner

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Last year comp: None

Lane Johnson might have missed out on the fastest 40 time by an offensive lineman in combine history, but he still dominated in the DMR categories. Johnson has taken the OT position to the next level with his grade of 7.36.

This type of size and athleticism is extremely rare and should solidify Johnson as a first-round pick.

## T Oday Aboushi: Loser

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Last year comp: Mitchell Schwartz, 4.10

Oday Aboushi may be OK considering his comparison from last year, Mitchell Schwartz, went on to have a highly productive rookie season for the Cleveland Browns.

Aboushi is not very athletic for the tackle position and may be asked to play guard in the NFL. He needs to get more explosive if he intends to have any career longevity.

## C Brian Schwenke: Winner

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Last year comp: None

Last year, there weren't many centers put through the DMR system, but those who were didn't come close to scoring the 5.66 that Brian Schwenke did. His best asset is his speed-to-weight ratio. Few guys weighing more than 300 pounds are able to run a sub-5.00 40-yard dash. Schwenke ran his in 4.99 seconds.

This weekend might have helped make Schwenke the top center in this draft, passing Travis Frederick of Wisconsin.

Stay tuned for a more detailed breakdown of the DMR system, including a complete list of DMR prospect grades.

Ryan Riddle is featured columnist and former NFL player.

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