At 7-4, the Indianapolis Colts will be fortunate to make the playoffs.
What's the difference?
According to Vince Verhei of the Football Outsiders, the difference is that the Colts have the worst defensive unit in football.
Indy has benefited from playing a string of bottom-feeders at the quarterback position, and even those players performed better against the Colts than against the rest of the league.
Of the four probable first-round opponents for Indianapolis, there's little hope of them beating three of them. The Baltimore Ravens may be ripe for an upset as their rating is propped up by a great special teams unit.
From an Indianapolis perspective, while it would be nice for the miracle run to last deep into January, it doesn't have to for the team to feel good about 2012.
The Colts have had an incredible season and will get much-needed playoff experience for a roster full of young players.
Though they'll likely lose their last game of the year, 2012 will be celebrated as a memorable campaign in Indianapolis.
Brian Burke of Advanced NFL Stats calculates when teams should go for it on the first possession of overtime.
Khaled Elsayed of Pro Football Focus says several AFC South-ers had a bad day in Week 12.
Chase Stuart of the New York Times breaks down odd stats for the division leaders.
Aaron Schatz of the Football Outsiders posts the Week 12 DVOA ratings.
Stuart and Schatz talk analytics on Football Perspective.
Scott Kacsmar of Bleacher Report lists teams that cannot afford to lose their quarterback.
The Onion pokes fun at Matt Schaub.
Reid Laymance of the Houston Chronicle breaks down what it will take for the Texans to win the AFC South.
Matt Grecco of Stampede Blue posts his weekly numbers feature.
Kyle Rodriguez of Colts Authority focuses on players who had a good game.
Paul Kuharsky of ESPN.com says Chris Palmer thinks there were lots of issues with the Titans.
David Boclair of the City Paper says the Titans are looking for a split for the Texans.
David Climer of the Tennessean thinks firing Palmer doesn't fix the Titans.
Jim Wyatt of the Tennessean says Mike Munchak is looking for new ideas.
Charlie Campbell of Walter Football suggests Gene Smith may be fired.
Ryan O'Halloran of the Florida Times-Union says Marcedes Lewis is getting more looks.
Vito Stellino of the Florida Times-Union says Jalen Parmele was put on injured reserve.