Every week, in fantasy football, somebody that on paper should have a good game, doesn't. And while no one can predict these egg-layers, it is fun to try. Four potential 3-point scorers follow.
Arian Foster might run for 200 yards on Jacksonville's "run defense". (I use the term more out of tradition than to imply they are capable of stopping anyone.) Maybe 250. An 8-for-11-for-150-yards kind of day isn't terribly unlikely for the Texans QB, especially since it'd be a good chance for Gary Kubiak to get T.J. Yates some work, too, and Matt can get an early tee time.
If you have a good solid QB on your bench, think hard about benching Matt Schaub. You want to see your real team's QB wearing a baseball hat and laughing on the sideline in the fourth quarter—you want your fantasy quarterback in there slinging desperate garbage-time bombs. (See Palmer, Carson.)
It is hard enough to run on San Francisco at San Francisco with a good passing game.
But Jay Cutler will miss the Monday nighter at San Francisco, which means the 49ers will stack the box against Matt Forte and Michael Bush. Jason Campbell will be running for his life, so don't expect a lot of successful checkdowns to Forte, either—he'll be staying in to block.
In addition to facing the stout SF run defense, Forte will be likelier than usual to split time with Michael Bush. Without Cutler, Lovie Smith would be well-advised to treat a game that gets out of hand early as a mulligan, and make it his goal to keep his biggest weapons injury-free.
Lots of people think Nick Foles is a better passer than Mike Vick. This is true.
Lots of people think the Redskins pass defense stinks. This is also true.
But Foles is making his first start, now that Vick has been reportedly ruled out, and also his first road start. And last week, once in the game, he targeted Jeremy Maclin more than twice as often as he targeted DeSean, 11 to 5. DeSean is having a down year anyway—you almost certainly have a better option.
Vernon hasn't caught a touchdown pass since Week Three. And Alex Smith is already wobbly. And Jay Cutler will miss the game, but the defense won't. The Bears' D knows that they have to keep the score low to have a chance at winning, and they were already stingy with allowing fantasy points to tight ends. (Chicago hasn't allowed a TE to score in the last five games.)
Don't expect things to get better for Davis this week.