Alex Green: Buying or Selling Packers RB for Rest of 2012
After a 2-3 start that had fans of the Green Bay Packers crying into their queso dip (you know, because it has cheese in it) the Packers have rolled off three consecutive wins to get back into the NFC playoff race, but you can't give much credit to Green Bay's ground game.
The Packers rank 26th in the NFL in rushing through seven weeks, and with starter Cedric Benson out until at least Week 14 with a foot injury Green Bay has been forced to go, well, Green in their backfield.
Second-year pro Alex Green has assumed the duties of lead back for the Packers, at least for the time being. I say "for the time being" because Green has been far from a worldbeater to this point, although head coach Mike McCarthy recently expressed confidence in the youngster according to Tom Silverstein of The Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel.
"Alex, that was not his best game yesterday," McCarthy said Monday, a day after Green gained 54 yards on 22 carries in a 24-15 victory over the Jaguars. "He's seen the film and I think the corrections for a young player will definitely be applied as we move forward. James [Starks] will probably be given more opportunities as we go through the week, but there are a number of different factors that are involved with that and the biggest one is Alex Green has earned these opportunities."
How much longer those opportunities will continue if Green's play doesn't improve is another story altogether. For the season Green is now averaging fewer than three yards a carry, and over the past two weeks that number has dipped to a paltry 2.2 yards a tote. Further, the 24-year-old has yet to find the end zone this year.
That doesn't give Green much value in standard scoring systems, although the simple fact that Green is currently a starting running back in the NFL makes him rosterable assuming that you have the roster space given all the injuries that have hit the running back spot this year.
In point-per-reception scoring systems the outlook is slightly better, although not by much. Green has picked up four receptions in each of his last two games. However, taking into account those catches and the receiving yards that went with them, Green was good for just over 12 fantasy points in PPR leagues in Week 8.
Granted, that's not the sort of stat line that's going to single-handedly win you a fantasy football game, but you could do a lot worse for a bye-week fill-in, injury replacement, or lower-end flex play. Ultimately, at the end of the day, that's where Alex Green's fantasy value lies as long as he holds on to the starter's job in Titletown.
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