The NFL has few guarantees; but one of those guarantees is the competitiveness of the NFC East.
Long an elite division, the NFC East is predictable in its own predictability. This season is no different, with two games separating the division's first-place team (New York Giants) and their last-place team (Dallas Cowboys).
To add to the confusion, the Giants' two losses this season have both come at the hands of NFC East teams in Philadelphia and Dallas.
New York is also the only NFC East team to play two division games this season. Washington still has yet to play their division rivals.
Six weeks into the season, the NFC East is as unpredictable as anyone could've predicted, with plenty of intriguing matchups between these four longtime rivals left. But which team has the best chance of coming out of the NFC East alive?
Odds of winning the division: 10 percent
The Dallas Cowboys outplayed the Ravens in Baltimore on Sunday, yet still fell short of leaving with the victory.
This was an upgrade from their last game against the Chicago Bears prior to their bye week, but it wasn't a good sign for their playoff chances.
If the loss wasn't bad enough, the Cowboys will also have to deal with not having DeMarco Murray next week in Carolina. While the Cowboys have announced that Murray's injury is only a sprain (h/t Nick Eatman, DallasCowboys.com), for precautionary reasons they will keep him out of their Week 7 game.
Healthy or not, the Cowboys have been as erratic this season as ever, but they can ill afford to be at this point. Dallas is well behind the eight-ball at 2-3, with their one saving grace being their Week 1 opening night victory over the New York Giants.
Their upcoming schedule is as far from a cakewalk as you could imagine despite playing five of their final nine games at home. Of their road contests, they still have to visit Philadelphia and Washington, as well as Atlanta, the NFL's lone undefeated team.
The Cowboys have shown themselves to be inconsistent, but with all four teams competing for the crown, they will have to consistently play well, or else they will find themselves in the NFC East basement.
Odds of winning the division: 20 percent
Much like the Dallas Cowboys, the Eagles already have a victory over the New York Giants in the bank, which could help them out if they are able to get it together.
But can Philadelphia get it together? Since starting the season 3-1, the Eagles have lost two straight games, with both losses coming by within three points.
They get a much-needed bye week this week. However, after the bye they will host the Atlanta Falcons, then have five games within their division.
This isn't a great situation for the Eagles by any means, especially with the way they have played. While Philadelphia has the pieces to put together a run toward the top, it will be an upward climb.
Their victory over the Giants does improve their chances, but there's a very good chance that it could be their only NFC East victory all season if they continue to turn the ball over at the rate that they do.
Odds of winning the division: 25 percent
Despite being only a half game up on Dallas and tied with Philadelphia, the Redskins are in a good spot at 3-3.
Part of this is because they still haven't played a game against any of their division rivals. While the first-place Giants are 0-2, Washington is able to say they have a shot at finishing an improbable 6-0 within the division.
Sure Dallas and Philadelphia can say that too due to their wins over New York, but Washington also has the easiest out-of-division schedule going forward. Their only non-division game is against an elite team at home against Baltimore on December 9th, and their toughest out-of-division road game is against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 8.
More will be known about Washington's chances after this Sunday's game against the Giants, but if Washington is able to grab the victory and push the Giants to 0-3 within the division, the Redskins' NFC East chances will start to look very good.
Other than the Giants, the Redskins have the best chance of coming out of this division.
Odds of winning the division: 50 percent
Due to owning the best record in the division, the Giants have the best chance of winning the NFC East. After the way they disposed of the San Francisco 49ers in Week 6, why would anyone deny that the Giants aren't only the best team in the division, but also in the top tier of the league?
Well, they are behind the rest of the division when it comes to their record within the division: They're 0-2 with losses against the Cowboys and Eagles.
The next two weeks will give New York a chance to even that record with games against Washington and Dallas, but after that the Giants face a tall task outside of their division.
The Giants still have home games left against the Steelers and Packers, but in December they will face two huge road tests in back-to-back weeks when they travel to Atlanta and Baltimore.
The Giants are in the driver's seat in the NFC East, and they are the best overall team in the division. But it is still far from sealed up. Two huge division losses could still come back to haunt them, and the Giants will have to string together more performances like their game against the 49ers in order to stay on top.