NFL Week 6 Picks: Underdogs That Will Win Outright on Sunday

Alex Ballentine@Ballentine_AlexFeatured ColumnistOctober 12, 2012

CHARLOTTE, NC - OCTOBER 07:  Russell Wilson #3 of the Seattle Seahawks hands the ball off to  Marshawn Lynch #24 during their game at Bank of America Stadium on October 7, 2012 in Charlotte, North Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

Looking at the lines for this Sunday's Week 6 NFL action, there are some upsets on the horizon.

For the most part the lines are fairly close this week, with only the Atlanta Falcons being favored by more than a touchdown. So while these upsets aren't considered "huge" by Vegas standards, they should surprise NFL fans and prove the oddsmakers wrong.

Here are the best bets to pull off the upsets outright. All spreads are provided by Bovada.

Cleveland Browns (+3) over Cincinnati Bengals

The Cleveland Browns stand alone as the only team in the league that is still winless.

The Browns are three-point underdogs against the Cincinnati Bengals this week, but expect them to notch their first "W" of the season.

These two teams already met once this season when the Browns traveled to Cincinnati in Week 2 and lost in heartbreaking fashion as the Bengals sealed a 34-27 victory with around two minutes left. In that game, the Browns fell behind 14-3 early and were forced to play catch up.

With this game taking place in Cleveland, expect the Browns to get off to a better start and hang with the Bengals, allowing Trent Richardson to get more involved with the offense.

Given his 109-yard performance in Cincinnati, that's a very good thing for the Browns offense.

St. Louis Rams (+4) over Miami Dolphins

The 3-2 St. Louis Rams travel to Miami this week and are four-point underdogs against the 2-3 Dolphins.

The Rams struggled to a 1-2 start on the season, but have since rebounded with back-to-back impressive victories against the Seattle Seahawks and Arizona Cardinals. Since the Rams-Cardinals game was on Thursday night, the Rams will get a few extra days of rest and preparation for the Dolphins, so they should be ready.

The Dolphins are coming off a win in Cincinnati, but have losses to the Cardinals and New York Jets that were highlighted by inconsistent play from Ryan Tannehill, who has two touchdowns and six interceptions on the year.

The Rams secondary has been solid all season, racking up eight interceptions so far. As long as they continue to play well, they should force Tannehill to make enough mistakes to get the win.

Seattle Seahawks (+4) over New England Patriots

How many times will the oddsmakers give the Seahawks points at home?

According to an article by Greg Garber of, the Seahawks have won an impressive 64.6 percent of their home games in the last decade as opposed to 37.3 percent of their games on the road. That's over a 25 percent difference in wins and losses.

While home-field advantage is often debated, there is no doubt that Seattle benefits from its raucous stadium. With New England making the cross-country trip one week after a home win against the Broncos, this will be a tough test for Tom Brady's team.

Besides the obvious factor of home-field advantage, the Seahawks have looked legitimate this season, especially on the defensive side of the ball.

The 'Hawks are in the top five in the league against the run and the pass. They haven't given up more than 16 points more than once this season, and that was in Week 1. The Seahawks should get a huge win at home against the favored Patriots.