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A -3.5 spread in favour of the New England Patriots is putting too much stock in the home advantage of the Seattle Seahawks.
While the Seattle crowd will certainly play its part, it won't be enough to stop the Patriots from piling up the points. The Seahawks do boast a stout run front that can shut down Stevan Ridley and Brandon Bolden.
The problem is that if the Patriots can match the pace they set against the Denver Broncos, then Seattle head coach Pete Carroll won't be able to rotate his linemen. That means there could be a lot of time on the field for road graders like Red Bryant and Alan Branch.
A fast-tempo New England attack will also slow down the pass rush threat posed by hybrid rush ends Chris Clemons and Bruce Irvin. Eventually Tom Brady and company will wear down the Seahawks' defense.
Not to mention that Seattle rookie quarterback Russell Wilson could struggle against the Patriots' defense. Bruising back Marshawn Lynch will find yards tough to come by against a big front led by tackle tandem Kyle Love and Vince Wilfork.
That means Wilson will have to try his hand against an opportunistic secondary. Given his recent interceptions, that probably won't lead to success for the Seahawks' offense. Expect the Patriots to take this one by 10 or more points.
Pick: Patriots ATS.