Fantasy football is all about reactions. Do you get get too excited after an obscure player has a big week and waste your waiver priority to pick him up? Do you underestimate a player's ability and fail to pounce on him when you have the chance?
Do you stare at your computer screen and yell obscenities at your fantasy live tracker when your running back loses a touchdown to a vulture?
That one might be me. But the point remains that how you react throughout the season could make or break your playoff push. With that in mind, let's take a look at some of Sunday's biggest performers and why you shouldn't expect those numbers again.
Brandon Bolden, RB, New England Patriots
- There are four running backs who have seen significant work for the Patriots after four weeks.
- The clear No. 1 is Stevan Ridley, and he's the only player who has seen (or likely will see) consistent snaps and production this season.
- Ridley had a huge game in Week 4 a year ago himself. For the rest of the season, he was completely irrelevant for fantasy owners.
- The Patriots are still a pass-first offense, which makes any of their running backs a risky proposition for fantasy owners.
There you have it. His 148 yards from scrimmage and a touchdown against the Buffalo Bills may sing a siren's song this week, but I'd stay away from Bolden.
Brian Hartline, WR, Miami Dolphins
But let's keep it real: Hartline isn't going to have another 31.3-point day in fantasy football. If he's available in your league, you should absolutely add him—his 48 targets this season are third-most in the NFL—but he's going to generally be a seven-to-12-point producer.
He's a great bye-week flex. Just don't expect him to win you any weeks moving forward.
Scott Chandler, TE, Buffalo Bills
Chandler currently has 12 receptions for 175 yards and four touchdowns in 2012, giving him 33.5 fantasy points on the season and 8.375 fantasy points per week—solid marks for a tight end.
Still, something about this feels so familiar...
Maybe that's because after three weeks last season, Chandler had nine receptions for 89 yards and four touchdowns. He was a hot name then too. He finished 2011 with a total of 38 receptions for 389 yards and six touchdowns.
In other words, after a hot start to the season, he disappeared. What's to say that won't happen again?
So I can't recommend you start Chandler as a TE1 just yet. I know you want to fall in love with him after four catches for 62 yards and two touchdowns against the Patriots, but I need to see some consistency from him before I start singing his praises.
And if last year is any indication, I won't be warming up the vocal chords anytime soon.
Andre Roberts, WR, Arizona Cardinals
Unless we are talking about the Calvin Johnsons or Larry Fitzgeralds of the world, touchdowns generally are a poor indication of a wide receiver's future fantasy value.
Thus is the danger with Roberts.
Which player is most likely to put up big numbers over the course of the season?
Yes, his six catches for 118 yards and two touchdowns is sure to attract the attention of fantasy owners everywhere. Yes, the fact that he's scored in three of the first four weeks of the season might convince some he's a quality asset to have.
But remember, coming into the game, he had just nine receptions for 111 yards on 16 targets. His touchdown production is out of proportion with his usage rate, suggesting a decline in those touchdowns is in order. He's not a bad WR4 to have around during the byes or when injuries hits, but mark my words: The touchdowns will dry up.
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