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-Quick first bit of advice for Matt Forte owners:
While you should be thrilled that you may have Forte's services back as soon as the MNF matchup against the Dallas Cowboys, do not make the same mistake an opponent I am facing currently has made.
He has Matt Forte in his RB slot and Cedric Benson in his flex. My readers here are very smart, and many of you likely already know why this is a stupid managerial oversight on my opponent's part.
The flex position in this league is available to wide receivers, running backs and tight ends. If you are starting Forte this week, you are taking a risk because the game is on Monday night. If there is a setback during warm-ups or soreness crops up Sunday night or Monday morning, you will need to find a replacement for the Bears/Cowboys game.
You want to have as many options as possible in this scenario, not just running backs.
-Peyton Hillis. Well, what a disaster this has been for fantasy football owners. Many thought that by drafting Hillis they were making a relatively low-risk move at the flex position that could pay off big.
The Kansas City Chiefs were sure to bring Jamaal Charles back slowly from injury, and OC Brian Daboll was going to coach Hillis back up to their shared 2010 form in Cleveland. Now Hillis is throwing his helmet, walking around in a boot and showing explicit signs that owners may have a little more of the 2011 version of Peyton Hillis than they had hoped for.
Hillis is doubtful for tomorrow's matchup at home versus the San Diego Chargers, which puts the cherry on top of this diaper sundae for fantasy owners—especially those who may have very unfortunately drafted Donald Brown of the Indianapolis Colts, who is on bye this week.
If Shaun Draughn is available in your league, pick him up immediately and start him if you feel uncomfortable at the flex and would like to plug in a solid RB option.
I have San Diego as the 13th-best matchup for opposing RBs this week, and we have seen that Draughn is a reliable producer over three games when either Hillis or Charles were limited.
-If you are a Steven Jackson owner and you are not trying like crazy to unload him, you are not doing things correctly.
Jackson runs like old people...well...run. His groin pull is going to limit him once again if he does play against the Seattle Seahawks tomorrow, who represent my second-worst matchup of Week 4 against opposing fantasy runners.
The worst part of this is that it's tough to sell on Jackson right now while his stock is so low. This is a situation where I look for a very uninvolved-type owner as a possible trade partner. These are the hardest types to make trades with because:
1) They think you are better than they are at fantasy. You are more informed, therefore they are obviously on the bad side of the trade.
2) They don't check their trades often or put too much thought into what this move might mean for their overall roster. You are sometimes forced into a position where you must deal with these owners, though. This is one.
I would look for underperforming talent on his roster, or possible injury concerns. The uninformed owner will give high value to Steven Jackson's name recognition, and may be willing to trade an underperforming player he autodrafted and is not familiar with in exchange for him.
Think Jordy Nelson and a "throw in" runner like Ben Tate for Steven Jackson and your best name-recognition bench wide receiver.
Running Backs To Sell High On
Jamaal Charles, Kansas City Chiefs
Michael Turner, Atlanta Falcons
Darren McFadden, Oakland Raiders
Running Backs To Buy Low On
Lesean McCoy, Philadelphia Eagles
Rashard Mendenhall, Pittsburgh Steelers
Stevan Ridley, New England Patriots
Running Backs To Not Buy Low On
Chris Johnson, Tennessee Titans
Steven Jackson, St. Louis Rams
Ahmad Bradshaw, New York Giants
Game of the Week For Fantasy RB Production
Cincinnati Bengals (No.5 RB matchup) and Benjarvus Green-Ellis versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (No. 3 RB matchup) and Maurice Jones-Drew. We can call it the "Hyphen-Bowl."