Week 4 NFL Picks Against the Spread: Underdogs That Will Cover Your Bet

Zach Kruse@@zachkruse2Senior Analyst ISeptember 24, 2012

Week 4 NFL Picks Against the Spread: Underdogs That Will Cover Your Bet

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    An early look at the Week 4 NFL lines show at least three underdogs that could realistically cover the spreads. 

    If there's anything that we learned from the NFL's third week, it's that there will likely be more than three teams that cover the spread this coming weekend. The NFL is as unpredictable as it has been, with teams completely incapable of pulling off even the biggest of upsets. 

    Without picking anything completely outrageous, the following three slides cover the three underdogs capable of beating the spread in Week 4. 

    Note: All Week 4 lines taken from Footballlocks.com.

Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3

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    Maybe the Redskins (1-2) aren't as good as some portrayed them to be after a Week 1 win in New Orleans. But the Buccaneers (1-2) are even more unpredictable, and they needed their final drive Sunday in Dallas to crack 100 total yards offensively. 

    Washington will cover a three-point spread if the Buccaneers struggle that badly on offense again in Week 4. 

    From a betting standpoint, the Redskins are currently 1-0 against the spread as a road underdog. The Bucs are a perfect 3-0. Washington could end that run Sunday.

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles -2.5

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    The Giants were without two important offensive players, yet went into Carolina on a short week and trounced a Panthers team many were picking to win. The Eagles were later run over by the Arizona Cardinals on the road.

    But the Eagles open as favorites over the Giants in Week 4? 

    Vegas obviously knows something we don't. 

    While it wouldn't be a complete shock to see the Eagles beat an NFC East rival at home, the Giants look like a clear favorite on paper. Michael Vick may not make it through Week 4 with the kind of offensive line play he received in Arizona, and the Giants obviously have a number of talented pass rushers to begin with. 

    Also, keep in mind that Philadelphia is 0-3 against the spread in 2012. 

    The Giants can beat up Vick again and cover this close spread. 

San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs +1.5

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    The Chiefs' come-from-behind win in overtime Sunday is the kind of victory that can spring to life a talented but underachieving football team.

    The Chargers' loss at home, however, can be that kind of confidence-busting defeat that takes a week or two to get over. 

    Those two trains of thought could come together in Week 4, as the Chargers arrive in Kansas City as slight favorites. 

    The against the spread numbers favor the Chiefs, too. Kansas City is 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games at home against the Chargers. The Chiefs have also beaten the Chargers at Arrowhead in two straight games.