NFL Odds Week 2: Predicting Which Teams with Rookie QBs Will Cover

Timothy Rapp@@TRappaRTFeatured ColumnistSeptember 12, 2012

NEW ORLEANS, LA - SEPTEMBER 09:    Robert Griffin III #10 of the Washington Redskins celebrates a 40-32 win against the New Orleans Saints during the season opener at Mercedes-Benz Superdome on September 9, 2012 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

It's the year of the rookie quarterback, and outside of Robert Griffin III, it was a pretty rough start for the rookie signal-callers in Week 1.

Mama said there would be weeks like this, but the 1-4 start for the young guns was pretty ugly. 

But how will Andrew Luck, Ryan Tannehill, Brandon Weeden, Russell Wilson and of course RGIII fare in Week 2? And more importantly for the degenerate gamblers among us, will they be able to cover?

Never trust a rookie, the saying used to go. Now, nearly one out of every six teams in the NFL starts one at quarterback. My, how the times have changed. Let's pick some games.


MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-1.5) at Indianapolis Colts

Sorry, Andrew Luck and Indianapolis, but I don't think you're going to beat the Vikings. The thing is, I think Adrian Peterson and the Vikings will simply run the ball with too much success against you.

This is a pretty tough game to call (and I would stay the hell away from it, to be honest), but I was actually impressed by how Christian Ponder played against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Away or not, I simply think the Vikings have a better squad.

But this one will probably come down to the wire.


OAKLAND RAIDERS (-3) at Miami Dolphins

If the Raiders can limit their turnovers and figure out how to snap the ball when they try to punt, they should be able to win this one. If I'm being honest, I simply think the Dolphins are a dreadful football team, and starting rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill doesn't help.

So take the Raiders. And for heaven's sake, don't watch this game if you don't have to.


Cleveland Browns at CINCINNATI BENGALS (-7)

Let's just keep it real here; the Cleveland Browns have a horrible offense. I still think Trent Richardson is a stud, but who else on the offense at the skill positions—Brandon Weeden included—inspires any confidence?

I'm not going to hold my breath while you think about that.

Here's the thing—the Bengals have a pretty good defense themselves, even if they didn't show it against the Baltimore Ravens. And their best player, A.J. Green, won't have Joe Haden shadowing him all over the field. 

I don't expect the Bengals to blow out the Browns. But I do expect them to win by more than seven points.


DALLAS COWBOYS (-3) at Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks are a tough team at home; I get that. But the Dallas Cowboys were extremely impressive on both sides of the ball against the defending world champion New York Giants and came away with a huge opening-week win.

Meanwhile, the Seahawks lost to a team that played John Skelton and Kevin Kolb at quarterback in Week 1. Russell Wilson was ho-hum. And I highly doubt the Seahawks will have much success running the ball on Dallas. 

I don't see how you don't lay the points with Dallas here, quite frankly. Seattle will be a decent team this year, but they'll be starting 0-2.


WASHINGTON REDSKINS (-3) at St. Louis Rams

Finally, a rookie quarterback that will cover! Hooray! God bless Robert Griffin III!

There's a part of me that thinks this Rams team is going to be much better than people think this year. Still, I was so impressed with how RGIII and the 'Skins started this season on the road against the New Orleans Saints, I can't help but pick them in this one over the Rams. 

The combination of poise, athleticism and intelligence RGIII displayed was nothing short of magnificent. The Rams played really well against the Detroit Lions, but for at least one more week, I'm staying on the RGIII bandwagon.


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