One last look before the final draft weekend. This time I’m going to break down the first five rounds of a recent 10-team PPR mock draft over at Fantasy Football Calculator.
1. Arian Foster (ADP 1.02)-
While Foster continues to go as the first player off the board in most mock drafts, I’ve noticed Ray Rice and Aaron Rodgers go over him lately. Why, not sure, but some people seem to feel Ben Tate has a real chance to cut into a decent amount of his workload.
To that I say poppycock. This guy is a stud and I don’t care if he doesn’t wow people with explosive plays like Adrian Peterson. A feature back for sure, Foster should be the top pick and you would be wise not to pass on him.
2. LeSean McCoy (ADP 1.03) -
McCoy landing as the second overall pick isn’t the norm as Ray Rice tends to go over him in many mocks. I like McCoy better, mainly because I think he fits perfectly in the Eagles offense and I’m a little concerned about the Ravens no-huddle offense.
3. Ray Rice (ADP 1.02)-
As mentioned above the Ravens are switching to an up-tempo offense as Joe Flacco will be counted on to make more plays. Rice is still an elite player, but perhaps he will need to get a little more production through the air to get back to last year's total yardage numbers.
In a PPR league, that would be welcomed because of the extra points for receptions.
4. Darren McFadden (ADP 1.07)-
The one knock on McFadden is his health, but expect him to finish the season averaging over 100 total yards from scrimmage a game.
With Michael Bush gone, McFadden will be the goal-line back and has a chance to finish with 12 or more touchdowns. When he’s on the field, McFadden is a top five fantasy back and can carry your team with some huge performances.
5. Chris Johnson (ADP 1.08)-
Based on what we’ve seen from Johnson in the preseason (and the past two seasons) we should expect him to struggle with consistency.
The star running back is out to prove he still has the same-old burst we have been accustomed to seeing throughout the early portion of his career. Expect good things, but don’t be surprised if he has a few pathetic performances.
6. Aaron Rodgers (ADP 1.04)-
Depth at the quarterback position should be the only reason Aaron Rodgers falls this far, and if you land him on the back half of the first round, feel good about. His two rushing touchdown effort against the Bengals is a reminder the veteran can still run.
While Rodgers will never be a runner like Cam Newton or Michael Vick, his production on the ground clearly sets him apart from other elite quarterbacks like Tom Brady, Drew Brees and Matthew Stafford.
7. Calvin Johnson (ADP 1.05)-
We all know Johnson is the best receiver in the game, and it’s not close. If anyone is worth a first-round pick at the receiver position, it’s Johnson and only Johnson. With Stafford throwing him the rock, Megatron is a threat to break single-season records throughout his prime.
8. Matt Forte (ADP 1.10)-
Not a fan of Forte in the first round, even in a PPR league. It’s not that Forte isn’t worth the pick as far as his skill set is concerned but more the players he now has around him.
Michael Bush will plow in the red-zone touchdowns and Forte will lose out on some of his reception opportunities as Jay Cutler can now spread the football around to quality targets.
9. Jamaal Charles (ADP 2.05)-
We should expect close to a 50/50 split in touches between Charles and Peyton Hillis. That said, Charles is clearly the more explosive runner of the two, and should pick up 40 receptions.
10. Maurice Jones-Drew (ADP 2.09)-
No way, this is a bust pick in the first few rounds of the draft. Jones-Drew could return from his holdout at anytime, but until he does, we need to anticipate him holding out into the season.
With Rashad Jennings having a great offseason, Jones-Drew won’t be handed the starting job right away and will likely work in a committee this year.
ADP comes courtesy of Fantasy Football Calculator.
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