During the late 1990s and early 2000s, the running backs dominated this award. Terrell Davis, Barry Sanders and Marshall Faulk won it so much they probably don't even know where all their trophies are.
But in the last five years, Tom Brady and Drew Brees have changed that, each taking home the honor twice.
Passing league, indeed.
As long as we continue to see three guys throw the ball over 600 times and another 14 throw it over 500 times, this will only continue to be a quarterback award.
It also makes it hard to predict when everyone and their sister is out there gunning the ball like it's going out of style.
Of the obvious top three gunslingers, Aaron Rodgers and the Packers get ahead too quickly, limiting his attempts, and I see a slight step back for Drew Brees without Sean Payton running the show, opening the door for Brady.
There's also the fact that Brady has four All-Pro targets—up from three from a year ago—to throw to, the running backs are as inexperienced as ever and the defense is far from a finished product. Yeah, that's going to be fair.