NFL Week 3 Highlights

Week 3 Scoreboard

Fantasy Football 2012: Top 60 Running Backs in Points-Per-Reception Leagues

Use your ← → (arrow) keys to browse more stories
Fantasy Football 2012: Top 60 Running Backs in Points-Per-Reception Leagues
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images
Bears running back Matt Forte (1,489 total yards, 4 TD in 12 games last year) collected 70 or more targets in each of the last four seasons (2008-11).

Here's my updated listing of the top 60 running backs in points-per-reception leagues.

This countdown will likely undergo a few changes before September. But right now, it's a reasonably accurate profile of my preseason rationale.

For an in-depth look at my top 30 PPR tailbacks, click here.

 

1. Ray Rice, Ravens
2. Arian Foster, Texans
3. LeSean McCoy, Eagles
4. Chris Johnson, Titans
5. Matt Forte, Bears
6. Maurice Jones-Drew, Jaguars
7. Fred Jackson, Bills
8. Darren McFadden, Raiders
9. Jamaal Charles, Chiefs
10. Steven Jackson, Rams
11. Darren Sproles, Saints
12. Ahmad Bradshaw, Giants
13. Marshawn Lynch, Seahawks
14. Frank Gore, 49ers
15. DeMarco Murray, Cowboys
16. Roy Helu, Redskins
17. Reggie Bush, Dolphins
18. Ryan Mathews, Chargers
19. Adrian Peterson, Vikings
20. Shonn Greene, Jets
21. Michael Turner, Falcons
22. Trent Richardson, Browns
23. C.J. Spiller, Bills
24. Jonathan Stewart, Panthers
25. Doug Martin, Buccaneers
26. BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Bengals
27. Toby Gerhart, Vikings
28. Donald Brown, Colts
29. Beanie Wells, Cardinals
30. Peyton Hillis, Chiefs

 

Breakdown of Nos. 1-30

**The five leading running backs in combined targets from 2010/11: Ray Rice (186), Darren Sproles (186), LeSean McCoy (159), Arian Foster (156) and Matt Forte (146).

**In his four pro seasons, Ray Rice has developed a pattern of 2,000 total yards and 70-plus catches in odd-numbered years, with totals short of that in even-numbered ones. Using that convoluted logic, Rice likely won't become just the 10th running back in NFL history to cross the 2,000-yard threshold in consecutive years this season.

**Of the top eight tailbacks in this countdown, Forte (1,487 total yards, four TDs) is the only one who endured a four-game stretch without 100 total yards last year. Normally, that wouldn't be such a deal-breaker, but we're talking about Forte—and his 7.1 TDs per season. Bottom line: Forte (who flirted with 2,000 total yards before a knee injury) should be a Round 1 lock in PPR drafts.

**Fred Jackson was the AFC's leading rusher at the time of his season-ending injury, a setback that helped perpetuate the Bills' late slide in 2011. In 10 games last season, Jackson averaged 137.6 total yards.

**On the flip side, C.J. Spiller tallied 563 total yards, five touchdowns and an NFL-high 32 targets from Weeks 13-17 last season.

**From Weeks 7-12 last year (a six-game span), DeMarco Murray amassed 915 total yards and two touchdowns. If he had finished the season with that stellar run, he'd be a top-10 pick in August.

**Roy Helu squeezed 1,019 total yards and three touchdowns out of only 200 touches (5.1 yards per touch). With 50 to 60 more touches—an ultra-conservative estimate for a high-end back—that's 1,300 easy yards. But to gain the ultimate respect in his second season, Helu must be a force around the goal line. Let's just hope the extra touches entails a bump in red-zone opportunities.

**LeSean McCoy is not likely to replicate his 20 total touchdowns (17 rushing) from last year, but he is a great candidate to eclipse 1,624 total yards—which included 11 games of 90-plus total yards.

In fact, I'll be shocked if "Shady" comes in under the 1,750-yard threshold, a testament to his expanding role in the Eagles offense.

 

31. Stevan Ridley, Patriots
32. Isaac Redman, Steelers
33. DeAngelo Williams, Panthers
34. Mikel Leshoure, Lions
35. Willis McGahee, Broncos
36. James Starks, Packers
37. Ben Tate, Texans
38. Evan Royster, Redskins
39. Tim Hightower, Redskins
40. Jahvid Best, Lions
41. Michael Bush, Bears
42. Ronnie Hillman, Broncos
43. Pierre Thomas, Saints
44. Jacquizz Rodgers, Falcons
45. Daniel Thomas, Dolphins
46. Ryan Williams, Cardinals
47. Mark Ingram, Saints
48. Rashad Jennings, Jaguars
49. LeGarrette Blount, Buccaneers
50. Isaiah Pead, Rams
51. Mike Tolbert, Panthers
52. Dexter McCluster, Chiefs
53. Felix Jones, Cowboys
54. Ronnie Brown, Chargers
55. David Wilson, Giants
56. Kevin Smith, Lions
57. Montario Hardesty, Browns
58. Robert Turbin, Seahawks
59. Cedric Benson, Packers
60. Kendall Hunter, 49ers

 

Breakdown of Nos. 31-60 

**If Adrian Peterson had never suffered a devastating knee injury (torn ACL in Week 16), Toby Gerhart (per-game averages of 96.8 total yards, two TDs in 10- touch games last year) likely wouldn't have accrued enough touches to be known as an elite handcuff.

**By extension, Peterson (1,109 total yards, 13 TDs in 12 games last year) would be classified as a "workhorse" back in fantasy circles and would be an easy top-five selection during the August drafts (standard- scoring). Instead, he'll have to share the limelight with Gerhart while recovering from an injury that will likely bump him into the 31-to-40 range on draft day.

**The fantasy optimist would point to Ben Tate collecting 1,000 total yards in a season where Arian Foster played 13 games. The fantasy pessimist would remind prospective owners that Tate eclipsed 100 total yards only once after Week 9 last year, and in the season's biggest game, a loss to the Baltimore in the AFC divisional playoffs, Tate had zero carries, zero catches and zero yards.

**For me, Tate's 2012 fate probably lies somewhere in the middle. If Foster (1,841 total yards, 12 TDs) is healthy all season, then Tate just isn't a strong candidate for 1,000 total yards. But in games where Foster gets shelved due to injury or fatigue, Tate is a reasonable weekly bet for 90 total yards and 0.5 touchdowns.

**Mikel Leshoure's decent ranking is an equal acknowledgement of his immense potential (1,893 total yards, 20 TDs with the University of Illinois in 2010) and the tenuous prospects of Jahvid Best getting on the field...and staying on the field in Detroit.

**Regardless of how Steven Jackson fits into each puzzle, I will prioritize Rams backup Isaiah Pead in the latter rounds of all standard-scoring and PPR drafts. His running style, physical upside and track record at the University of Cincinnati (1,578 total yards, 15 TD in 2011) hold great appeal to me. Fingers crossed on Pead sliding down to the 16th round.

 

Jay Clemons can be reached on Twitter, day or night, at @ATL_JayClemons.

Load More Stories

Follow B/R on Facebook

Out of Bounds

NFL

Subscribe Now

We will never share your email address

Thanks for signing up.